Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
ING estimates Polish CPI rose to 4.2% year-on-year in September 2026, above the NBP's 2.5% +/-1pp target band, driven mainly by an energy shock: higher crude prices plus the expiry of fuel tax relief and the reinstatement of 23% VAT on fuels, with fuels alone…
The September Fed hike temporarily closes the window for broad USD weakness, as markets shift from pricing cuts to hikes. Amundi still expects the Fed to deliver less tightening than priced, so any renewed dollar strength should be limited and weakness should…
Amid a fragmenting global order, growth is concentrated and inflationary pressures persist. Amundi expects major central banks to keep tightening, but by less than markets price. Fiscal policy is gaining importance, yet faces limited room. Summer events —…
Corporate bond yields have risen mainly on higher benchmark yields, while credit spreads remain broadly resilient. AI-related financing is reshaping issuance, but deep credit markets should absorb the extra supply, with solid fundamentals and robust demand…
Canada's Q2 GDP was revised up to 3.8% q/q SAAR and Q3 is tracking 2%, rapidly eroding slack. July GDP was 0.0% m/m, August flash +0.2%. The output gap is now around -0.5%, down from -1.4% in Q1. Scotiabank Economics argues the BoC likely needs to begin…
Natixis' survey of 45 respondents on Brazil's October 4 election shows a split market reaction. A Lula win is dominated by fiscal-responsibility concerns (76%), with 83% expecting USD/BRL above 5.30 by end-October. A Flavio Bolsonaro win is seen as…
State Street Investment Management argues that nature degradation and biodiversity loss create financially material risks for companies whose operations and supply chains depend on ecosystem services. IPBES is cited as estimating that more than half of global…
TD Economics expects Canadian home sales to drop about 5% in 2026, with no recovery of that lost ground in 2027, as elevated bond yields keep fixed mortgage rates high. Average prices are seen roughly flat this year and below 2% growth next year. The Bank of…
Scotiabank's Derek Holt previews a data-heavy session that includes Canadian GDP for July and a Bank of Canada speech on repo markets and monetary policy implementation. He expects modest market moves, with US consumer confidence, JOLTS and Fed speakers also…
Eurozone ESI fell to 97.9 in September from 98.4, the first decline in four months, driven by consumer confidence dropping to -16.5 amid rising fuel prices. Manufacturing and services sentiment improved. Selling-price expectations rose only in manufacturing…
This institutional research article addresses the practical challenges of applying sustainability preferences within fixed income portfolios, with specific attention to sovereign bond holdings. The authors note that carbon intensity figures reported for…
HSBC's 25th EM Sentiment Survey (102 investors, USD424bn AUM) shows bulls down to 50% from 60%, neutral at 44% and bears back at 5%, leaving net sentiment at 45% — still a 16th straight positive reading. Risk appetite rose to 6.6 from 6.1 and cash climbed to…
Natixis' China Corporate Monitor 2026 argues that wide-ranging monetary, fiscal, property and consumption support has lowered financing pressure and stabilized parts of the economy, but has failed to ignite a corporate recovery. Weaker domestic demand has…
The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate 25bp to 4.60% in a unanimous, hawkish decision, keeping the door open to further tightening if inflation does not return sustainably to target. Governor Bullock cited tight labour markets, excess demand and…
OCBC's credit weekly reports an accelerating sell-off driven by rates: UST yields rose 5-11bp at the front end and up to 18bp at the long end. IG spreads proved more resilient than HY, though IG's longer duration produced larger negative total returns and…
US equities fell as Brent settled 0.9% higher at USD105.3/bbl and the US 10Y yield rose about 7bps to 5.25%, with markets pricing roughly a 70% chance of another 25bp hike in October. US IG spreads widened 2bps to 82bps and HY 9bps to 303bps. Singapore August…
German house prices rose 0.3% QoQ in Q2 2026 and 0.6% YoY, yet remain 8.2% below the 2022 peak and over 5% above the 2024 trough. A 100bp mortgage rate surge has cut new mortgage lending volume by over 1.5% in the first seven months of 2026, depressing…
The RBA raised the cash rate 25bps to 4.6% in September 2026, a unanimous decision, with hawkish guidance that further increases may be needed. Westpac reads a November hike as the base case absent a lasting Middle East resolution or a sharp fall in energy…
US equities fell Monday as US-Iran ceasefire talks stalled, pushing Brent toward USD107/bbl. The S&P 500 lost 0.8%, erasing its September gain; the Nasdaq fell 0.9% and the Dow 0.7%. The 10Y UST yield rose about 7-9bp to 5.24-5.25%, a 19-year high, with the…
Dovish ECB comments and Gulf tensions have tilted EUR/USD risks to the downside; the pair may test summer lows of 1.1320-30 if US data surprise. The RBA hiked to 4.60% but admitted considering a hold, pressuring AUD below 0.700. Oil at $107/bbl keeps bond…