Latest China releases, policy documents, indicators and institution research. Research includes primary and explicitly related coverage.
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China's September exports rose 36.3% YoY, the fastest since 2021, beating market and ING forecasts. Imports grew 31.0%, led by tech products, while the monthly trade surplus hit a 20-month high of $133.5bn. The 3Q26 surplus reached $938.1bn, 7.8% above the…
MUFG notes the euro is stabilising after sliding from 1.1600 to 1.1200 on higher global yields, French fiscal concerns before April/May presidential elections and a terms-of-trade hit from refined energy prices. German GDP forecasts were revised up to 1.3%…
China's growth momentum has improved, as composite PMIs from NBS and RatingDog returned to expansion in September for the first time since June, supported by fiscal measures after Q1 underdelivery. The construction PMI rebounded 3.4 points from a…
MUFG reports the PBOC formally rejected claims that the yuan is undervalued ahead of China-EU trade negotiations, arguing devaluation will not resolve global structural imbalances and pushing back on the IMF. US Treasuries rallied on solid 30-year auction…
Natixis feedback from BMW's Capital Markets Day: BMW introduces an intermediate 2028 Automotive EBIT margin guidance of 3-5% (vs 1-3% for FY2026), with the 8-10% target pushed to the early 2030s. Fixed cost cuts (+1.5pp), variable cost cuts (+0.5pp) and PPA…
German exports fell 0.8% month-on-month in August 2026, a second straight decline after -0.5% in July, while imports rose 0.9% and the trade surplus widened to €19.5bn. ING flags low river water levels as a possible drag. Structurally, China's share of German…
Westpac lowered its New Zealand 2027 GDP growth forecast by 0.3ppts to 2.7%yr, citing higher assumed energy prices and a steeper near-term path for long-term interest rates that weigh on consumption and residential investment. A weaker NZ dollar…
Westpac expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise rates 25bp in November, citing cost-plus pricing behaviour, pass-through of non-labour costs and above-average award wage increases that keep demand ahead of supply. Australian unemployment held at 4.7%…
US September inflation drifted higher, yet Natixis argues a Fed pause is more likely than not, giving room to complete scaling into 2yr longs. Treasuries rallied despite bad inflation data and a silent Warsh, suggesting the market is forming a floor. The bank…