RBC Economics expects US housing starts to remain subdued amid elevated mortgage rates, while industrial production is set to accelerate. Tariff impacts are seen as limited with no major demand destruction, and the LEI is expected to continue signaling…
SMBC's US Rates Strategy report discusses the limitations of AI-based inflation forecasts, favors steepening the 5s30s curve, and expects modest improvements in inflation and labor data to keep the Fed on hold. The report also highlights opportunities in swap…
July retail spending was weak, with headline retail sales down 0.6% MoM and the control component down 0.4%, trimming Q3 real PCE tracking to +2.2%. Despite the slowdown, SMBC remains optimistic on Q3 GDP and consumer outlook, expecting a rebound in August…
Invesco's SteelPath monthly commentary highlights that midstream energy equities outperformed broader markets in July 2026, driven by Middle East conflict and higher commodity prices. The Alerian MLP Index rose 6.85% on a price basis and 7.56% total return,…
OCBC Research expects the US Fed to hold rates in September following soft inflation data, with the S&P 500 hitting record highs. Oil prices declined, easing inflation concerns, while geopolitical risks persist. Core producer prices remain elevated,…
Standard Chartered's report highlights that Middle East conflict-driven fuel price shocks will disproportionately hit airline earnings, with margins falling at least 20% across all regions in 2026. Over 90% of airlines are projected to generate returns below…
HSBC highlights the Americas as the richest opportunity set for international mid-market companies, citing US scale, Mexico's manufacturing and fintech growth, and Brazil's natural resources. It underscores the need for local expertise due to regulatory,…
HSBC highlights Southeast Asia as a compelling region for business expansion, citing strong economic resilience, diverse markets, and robust connectivity. The report identifies key opportunities across Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines,…
UBS CIO expects the US dollar to soften over time amid fiscal concerns and moderating data, while recommending selective positioning in high-yielding currencies, gold, and broad commodities. The report highlights opportunities in GBP, NOK, AUD, NZD, CNY, and…
SMBC notes that July 2026 healthcare PPI inflation slowed to 0.12% MoM, the lowest since February 2026. As healthcare prices feed directly into PCE, this is likely to keep the Fed's preferred inflation measures contained, with forecasts of 0.15% headline and…
PIMCO notes that recent U.S. labor market data show a rare divergence: falling unemployment alongside a declining employment-to-population ratio, driven by structural labor supply contraction (especially retirements of older workers). This has tempered labor…
OCBC Research's Daily Treasury Outlook for 13 August 2026 covers mixed US equities with benign CPI data easing Fed hike concerns, while geopolitical risks persist. Key topics include China's PBOC reinterpreting loan growth signals, Indonesia's ethanol fuel…
Standard Chartered argues that the primary risk for AI investments is overcommitment to long-dated capital, not low returns. Despite recent equity corrections, AI monetization is improving, with cloud demand and enterprise adoption strong. The bank estimates…
UBS CIO expects global stocks to continue rallying after recent highs, driven by moderating US inflation and broad earnings strength. They see further gains for the S&P 500 but highlight attractive opportunities in Europe, Japan, and Asia ex-Japan.…
J.P. Morgan has revised its 2026 silver price forecast downward to a yearly average of $70/oz from $84/oz, citing a normalization of physical market tightness, softening industrial demand (particularly from solar), and expected Fed rate hikes. The bank sees…
SMBC Nikko expects the US intraday repo market to grow to as much as $1 trillion, roughly one-third of overnight SOFR volumes, driven by efficiency gains in liquidity and collateral management, with rates likely below pro-rated overnight rates and capped by…
RBC Economics reports that Canadian consumer spending remained resilient in Q2 2026, driven by savings drawdowns and higher debt, despite weak real wage gains and elevated energy costs. Core retail sales excluding gas stations rose 2.4% Q/Q, with…
The report highlights that US equities slipped amid pre-CPI caution and the Strait of Hormuz impasse, with small-business surveys showing a tight labor market but no renewed inflationary pressure. The RBA held rates but maintained a hawkish tone, while…
Standard Chartered's Q3 2026 review highlights significant regulatory and market developments that are expanding the offshore RMB ecosystem. Key measures include QFI access to CGB futures, the launch of HKEX CGB futures, expanded HKMA RMB liquidity facility,…
UBS CIO expects cooling core inflation to allow the Fed to hold rates steady through year-end, supporting quality fixed income. They favor short- to medium-maturity bonds as high starting yields provide a cushion against further rate increases. Oil price…