Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
MUFG keeps a cautious IDR bias, expecting USD/IDR at 18,350 in Q4 2026 and 18,500 in Q1 2027. Drivers include elevated US yields, an oil-driven trade balance squeeze, a harder Bank Indonesia trade-off and MSCI's consultation on reclassifying Indonesia from…
Westpac lowered its New Zealand 2027 GDP growth forecast by 0.3ppts to 2.7%yr, citing higher assumed energy prices and a steeper near-term path for long-term interest rates that weigh on consumption and residential investment. A weaker NZ dollar…
Capital-to-regional migration in Australia matched its record June quarter high, last seen in 2021, per the CBA-RAI Regional Movers Index. Outflows to regions exceeded inflows by 30%, with Sydney and Melbourne the main sources and regional NSW and Victoria…
Westpac expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise rates 25bp in November, citing cost-plus pricing behaviour, pass-through of non-labour costs and above-average award wage increases that keep demand ahead of supply. Australian unemployment held at 4.7%…
Scotiabank's weekly preview argues Canadian core inflation remains at or above the BoC's 2% target, with traditional core running near 3% m/m SAAR for four straight months and another firm print expected, supporting the view that policy is too loose. BoC…
National resale activity weakened in September: unit sales fell 2.3% m/m (sa), erasing nearly half of April–July gains, with a 7.7% y/y (nsa) decline. New listings eased 1.8% m/m. The sales-to-new listings ratio slipped to 48.8% and months of inventory rose…
Mexico dominates next week's Latam calendar with retail sales, bi-weekly October CPI, unemployment and August IGAE activity data. Headline bi-weekly inflation is forecast at 0.5% m/m and 3.7% y/y, with core at 0.2% m/m and 3.7% y/y. Activity is expected to…
US bonds and equities stayed volatile as TSMC's cautious AI outlook and a 1.3% September PPI rise, the largest monthly gain in four and a half years, followed a hot CPI print. Yet the 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 5.09%, near a three-week low, as risk…
SMBC's October 2026 US macro forecast projects real GDP growth slowing from 4.0% annualized in 2026 Q3 to 2.3% by 2027 Q4, with Q4/Q4 growth of 2.7% in 2026 and 2.3% in 2027. Core PCE inflation is expected to ease from 3.2% in 2026 Q4 to 2.5% by 2027 Q4. The…
US September CPI accelerated to 3.7% y/y, with core at 2.6% y/y and 0.3% m/m, as price pressures broadened across goods, shelter and services. PPI jumped 1.3% m/m (6.3% y/y). Retail sales rose 0.8%, but ex-auto/gas gained just 0.2%. TD expects the Fed to skip…
US inflation surprised higher, driven by tariffs and broad price pressures, but ING expects tariff refunds, cooling rents and 3% wage growth to bring inflation near 2% by Q2 next year. The AI investment boom, about a third of GDP growth this year, keeps…
US industrial production rose 0.7% MoM and 2.2% YoY in September 2026, beating the 0.4% consensus, with August revised up 0.1ppt. Manufacturing gained 0.3% MoM despite a 3% drop in auto volumes; utilities jumped 3.5% on data-centre demand and mining edged up…
MUFG notes UK August GDP rose 0.1% M/M, defying its -0.2% forecast, lifting the 3m/3m rate to 0.7% and annual growth above 2% for the first time since the post-pandemic rebound, driven by professional services and IT. MUFG tracks 2026 average growth at 1.5%,…
Non-energy import prices rose 6.0% y/y in September, the fastest since 2022, with capital goods up 8.4% y/y, the fastest since December 1987. SMBC attributes this to the AI buildout plus an effective tariff rate that has climbed to 9% from a post-substitution…
Belgium's coalition failed to agree a three-year €10bn savings package, chiefly blocked by one party's opposition to raising standard VAT from 21% to 22%. The general policy statement was postponed; focus shifts to a 2027 budget with €4bn savings, ideally…
US September inflation drifted higher, yet Natixis argues a Fed pause is more likely than not, giving room to complete scaling into 2yr longs. Treasuries rallied despite bad inflation data and a silent Warsh, suggesting the market is forming a floor. The bank…
SMBC argues the post-CPI Treasury rally suggests the economy's sensitivity to rate levels has increased, with stress among weaker AI and high-yield borrowers tightening financial conditions. But continued equity gains keep economy-wide tightening modest, so…
Hungarian average gross wage growth accelerated to 8.4% YoY in August 2026, beating ING's 7.2% forecast and marking a second straight acceleration. Net real earnings rose 8.6% YoY. ING attributes upside partly to one-off overtime tied to heatwaves and the…
Saxo's commodity weekly says the Bloomberg Commodity Index is set for a marginal 0.1% weekly decline, staying up about 35% year-to-date, with energy strength offsetting losses in metals and grains. Gold steadies as Treasury yields and the dollar reverse…
Three-month implied correlation fell 5.94% to 12.04, the largest move on the board, while the equal-weighted S&P 500 rose 1.36% versus the headline index's 0.33%. Volatility moved rather than vanished: the bond volatility measure rose 3.45% to 102.50.…