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September US headline CPI rose 0.6% MoM, 3.7% YoY, on a 9.1% gasoline surge; core rose 0.3% MoM, 2.6% YoY. October hike pricing rose above 50% before easing to 35%, while the Fed's Collins backed a further hike. The S&P 500 fell 1.11%, Nasdaq 1.88%; the 2Y…
Westpac's October 2026 Outlook says markets have had little respite: bond yields have jumped, led by US 10-year benchmarks up 27bps above 5% and French bonds up 40bps, driven by real yields after the Fed's September hike. Westpac expects one more Fed hike,…
The dollar gave back gains made after a stronger-than-expected September US CPI, with the index falling from a year-to-date high of 102.95 toward 102.00. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped about 18bps to 4.95% post-CPI before retreating to near 4.70%. MUFG…
US September headline CPI rose to 3.7% y/y versus 3.6% consensus, and core to 2.6% y/y. The 2-year Treasury yield spiked toward 4.95% before easing to 4.80%, while DXY touched 102.95, then eased to 102.50. MUFG says elevated yields and oil prices intensify…
Schwab's Short Interest Monitor flags ten equities with elevated and rising short interest, each above $2 billion market cap and at least 10% of shares short. Reddit appears for the first time on AI-search referral concerns, a possible Google data-licensing…
RBC cardholder data show Canadian core retail sales, excluding gasoline and autos, rose 0.4% on a three-month average in September, down from 0.6% in August. Discretionary services led at 1%, easing from 1.5%, while discretionary goods were flat at -0.1%.…
September core CPI rose 0.33% m/m SA and headline CPI 0.65%, both above consensus on core, lifting core y/y to 2.6% and headline to 3.7%. Core goods (+0.3%) and core services ex-housing (+0.4%) show pass-through from commodities and tariffs. PCE is tracking…
September core CPI rose 0.33% m/m, above the 0.2% consensus. The report argues that shelter inflation stabilizing near 3.2% y/y has removed a key source of disinflationary momentum, leaving core CPI trending sideways and inflation likely to stay elevated near…
Natixis assesses LatAm's uneven El Niño exposure. Peru is most exposed (fishing, agriculture), Colombia highly exposed via drought hitting agriculture and hydropower, risking energy and food inflation. Brazil and Chile are ambiguous. Argentina may gain 1.08%…
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell about 8% in five sessions, with Kospi down over 12% since the start of October, on worries about AI spending durability, Chinese memory competition, higher-for-longer rates and OpenAI revenue confusion. UBS reads the…
September US core CPI rose 0.3% MoM/2.6% YoY, above the 0.2%/2.5% consensus, with shelter, airfares and used vehicles adding pressure and gasoline up 9.1% MoM. Markets now price a 45% chance of an October Fed hike, up from about 20%. ING still expects a…
Poland's August current account deficit widened to €3.6bn, exceeding ING's €2.1bn estimate and July's €1.9bn, driven by a larger goods deficit and primary income outflows. Energy imports, AI-related equipment purchases and likely military deliveries from…
September US CPI came in hotter than expected and broad-based: headline rose 0.6% m/m and 3.7% y/y, core 0.34% m/m and 2.6% y/y, with gasoline up 9.1% m/m accounting for over half the monthly all-items increase. Natixis says the print revives debate for the…
The investment team keeps a constructive growth view, citing resilient manufacturing and services activity concentrated in AI and technology capex, while housing and rate-sensitive sectors face headwinds. Labor data show a low-hiring, low-firing market.…
Scotiabank Economics forecasts a Bank of Canada hike of 100bp to a 3.25% terminal rate and two more Fed hikes to a 4.5% fed funds target. US September CPI is called at 0.6% m/m headline and 0.3% core, with the FOMC likely to skip October. Governor Macklem…
The S&P 500 closed at 7,805.45, down 0.02%, as a 3.04% biotech decline and a 1.80% energy gain cancelled out. Chipmakers fell for a sixth session and J&J dropped 5.3% on a talc charge, while Saudi supply attacks lifted oil. VIX1D jumped 38.86% to 10.72 ahead…
Green bonds now make up 58% of the global labeled bond universe, per State Street Investment Management. The report says green bonds typically share the same credit risk and yield profile as comparable conventional bonds from the same issuer, letting…
OCBC Research argues the 2026 US midterms are a contest of weakness: Democrats are favoured to win both chambers, with the Democratic-sweep scenario carrying a 62% implied probability on Polymarket, but dissatisfaction with Republicans, not enthusiasm for…
MAS left SGD NEER policy settings unchanged on 14 October 2026, surprising markets that had expected modest tightening, while cutting its 2026 core inflation forecast to 1.5-2.0% from 1.5-2.5%. Q3 GDP grew 5.4% year-on-year. ING sees the balance of inflation…
ING expects September US CPI at 0.7% headline and 0.3% core MoM, 0.1pp above consensus, which should reinforce the dollar's floor and support some USD re-strengthening. Markets may modestly raise October Fed hike odds, but pricing above 50% (now 20%) likely…