ING THINK reports that escalating Middle East tensions have driven crude oil, diesel cracks, and European gas prices higher, while gold prices eased. The report also highlights soybean price strength due to US biofuel policy and weather concerns.
ING expects the dollar to strengthen further, driven by a hawkish Fed under Chair Kevin Warsh and higher energy prices, with DXY grinding higher to 100.10/20. EUR/USD is seen dropping towards 1.15 by month-end, USD/CHF challenging July highs near 0.82, and…
ING expects the ECB to deliver a 25bp rate hike at next week's meeting, positioning it as an 'insurance' move amid resilient growth, elevated energy prices, and market turmoil. The bank sees limited scope for further hikes beyond September, noting the deposit…
ING THINK discusses the Czech 2027 draft budget, which widens the deficit and raises borrowing needs to a record high, pressuring Czech government bonds and increasing the risk of a CNB rate hike.
The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting in September 2026, balancing domestic recovery against elevated risks from US tariffs and higher energy prices. RBC expects rates to remain unchanged through 2026, with…
The report from OCBC Research on 2 September 2026 highlights a risk-off day in markets, driven by US-Iran conflict escalation and a global bond rout, leading to surging oil prices and higher Treasury yields. Credit spreads widened in IG and HY, while Asia USD…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 2 September 2026 Daily Treasury Outlook Highlights Global: US equities sold off broadly at the start of September as a deepening global bond rout and…
The report notes a broad risk-off tone with stocks lower and yields up, driven by oil price pressures from renewed US-Iran hostilities and hawkish surprises, particularly from the BoJ. The BoC is expected to hold rates this meeting and wait for October's…
Saxo Bank's article discusses the impact of rising bond yields (5% on the US 10-year) on equity markets, emphasizing the need for selectivity. It identifies winners (cash-generative companies with strong balance sheets, financials, energy, commodities,…
Saxo Bank's report highlights that energy majors have strongly outperformed Big Tech amid AI-driven investment cycles. Seven energy majors delivered 38.5% average returns versus 18% for the Magnificent Seven, driven by commodity scarcity and elevated refining…
Saxo Bank analyzes Apple's CEO transition to John Ternus, emphasizing that he inherits a powerful ecosystem rather than a turnaround. The key focus for investors should be on ecosystem growth, services momentum, product innovation, and capital allocation. AI…
Saxo Bank reports that oil prices surged above USD 95 on heightened US-Iran tensions, which fanned inflation and rate-hike fears, leading to a global selloff in equities and bonds. The yen showed strength on hawkish BoJ rhetoric, and the NZ dollar fell after…
Natixis US Rates Technical Chartbook for September 1, 2026, by John Briggs, provides technical analysis of US Treasury yields and curves. Key points include bearish momentum in 10-year Bund yields, resistance levels for US 2s/5s/10s/30s yields, curve…
Natixis assesses the far-left French proposals to cancel or restructure French public debt held by the Eurosystem, concluding that such measures would be legally, institutionally, and financially counterproductive, with limited benefits and high risks of…
Euro area headline inflation accelerated to 3.26% yoy in August 2026, above expectations, driven by a sharp energy price increase, while core inflation declined to 2.41% yoy. Natixis projects 2026 average headline and core inflation at 2.8% and 2.4%…
Natixis' Middle East Weekly Tracker highlights continued diplomatic talks alongside renewed military attacks. Oil prices rose due to re-emerging Hormuz risk premium, GCC CDS remained stable, equity markets were mixed, foreign investment outflows eased, and…
The article is a summary of the SOCIETE GENERALE Eurofinance 2026 conference, with a focus on oil prices pressure from Iran conflict and Trump's limited verbal influence, plus some expert views and events.
Julius Baer's 2026 report highlights the evolution of Indian family offices from wealth preservation to active investment, with rising numbers, institutionalization, governance reforms, greater focus on alternatives, AI adoption, and increasing globalization.…
Eurozone inflation rose to 3.3% y/y in August 2026, driven entirely by energy prices, with core inflation easing. Intesa Sanpaolo expects the ECB to hike rates once more in September, but sees reduced odds of further increases unless Middle East conflicts…
ING THINK sees Poland's 2027 budget as having mixed implications for the bond market: while headline borrowing needs look encouraging, fiscal consolidation delays, a high deficit, and potential supply pressures from quasi-sovereign issuers could weigh on…