Westpac's weekly report notes that Australian rate hike odds have risen but are not yet odds-on, with the RBNZ decision and domestic data (Q2 GDP, private credit, dwelling approvals) in focus. The report emphasizes a 'short duration nation' theme and the need…
The report is an interview-style article where ANZ's incoming Non-Executive Director shares her perspective on the transition from executive to board governance, emphasizing the board's role in oversight rather than management. She highlights that focusing on…
OCBC Research's Daily Treasury Outlook for 31 August 2026 highlights a hawkish Fed stance, with increased probability of a September rate hike, and key economic data releases ahead, including US CPI and nonfarm payrolls. The report also covers regional…
ING highlights that escalating US-Iran military strikes have pushed Brent above $90/bbl amidst risks to Persian Gulf oil flows, and warns of supply tightness in diesel and LNG. Gold faces headwinds from hawkish Fed comments, while agricultural markets show…
China's August PMIs showed mixed signals: manufacturing rebounded but stayed contractionary, while non-manufacturing remained weak, indicating sluggish domestic demand and limited rebound.
Natixis expects Colombia's 2026 GDP growth at 2.8% and 2027 at 2.9%, boosted by reconstruction after the August 2026 earthquake. Inflation is forecast at 6.6% in 2026, above target, with risks from El Niño. Fiscal deficit is seen widening to 7.2% of GDP in…
Natixis reviews Chair Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech, which delivered a hawkish message without explicit forward guidance. The firm expects September's rate decision to hinge on August CPI data and leans toward another hold if inflation cools, despite…
France's public spending as a share of GDP remains among the highest in the euro area, ranking second in 2025 at 57.3% of GDP, driven by structurally elevated healthcare and social protection outlays, particularly pensions, which reached 13.4% of GDP in 2024.…
Natixis remains neutral on the long end of the UST curve, citing elevated uncertainty from the Treasury buyback program, while maintaining a bullish view on the belly (5-year) and swap spread flatteners. US inflation data was marginally hot but not…
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The calendar from Intesa Sanpaolo Research Department lists key macroeconomic releases and central bank events for the week of August 31 to September 4, 2026. It highlights advanced economies' inflation prints, PMIs, and the US labor market data, with a…
Intesa Sanpaolo projects euro area gross government issuance at EUR 1494 billion in 2026, up from EUR 1330 billion in 2025, with net issuance rising from EUR 486 billion to EUR 577 billion. The report details monthly and quarterly issuance by issuer and…
Intesa Sanpaolo forecasts Italy's 2026 gross government bond issuance at EUR 545bn, with total net issuance of EUR 100bn, driven primarily by BTP issuance of EUR 253bn. The report provides a detailed monthly calendar and highlights a heavy redemption schedule…
Italian business and consumer confidence rose in August 2026, led by construction and services, although household spending remains cautious. GDP growth may continue in Q3 but at a slower pace, with 2026 growth forecast at 0.8-0.9%.
The Eurozone ESI improved to 98.4 in August, the highest since January, with broad sector gains, signalling resilience despite fuel and gas risks, supporting an ECB rate hike in September that may be the last. GDP is seen growing ~0.3% q/q in H2 2026 and just…
Intesa Sanpaolo expects the dollar to consolidate in the near term but sees a structurally weaker dollar over the medium term, with the yen having the best appreciation potential among major currencies if BoJ normalization continues and yield differentials…
Commerzbank reports that the German economy has turned upward, with GDP growing 0.35% per quarter on average over the last three quarters, equivalent to an annualized growth rate of 1.5%, exceeding the estimated potential growth of less than 1%.
AQR's analysis shows that tax-aware equity strategies can offer substantial liquidity through partial withdrawals without fully liquidating positions or significantly harming investment objectives. Withdrawal capacity is greater for long-short strategies than…
Westpac expects Australian GDP to rise 0.2% q/q and 1.7% y/y in Q2 2026, with domestic demand above trend but net exports dragging due to high import content. Productivity is seen falling 0.2% q/q, partly due to a temporary energy supply shock and investment…
Westpac IQ's report 'Short duration nation' argues that Australia's financial system is structurally biased toward short-duration assets and floating-rate mortgages, unlike the US's 30-year fixed-rate mortgage model. This is due to tax incentives, APRA's…