Latest United States releases, policy documents, indicators and institution research. Research includes primary and explicitly related coverage.
| Date | Release | Actual |
|---|---|---|
| 10/20/2027 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report | — |
| 10/13/2027 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report | — |
| 10/06/2027 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report | — |
| 09/30/2027 | Gross Domestic Product | — |
| 09/30/2027 | Personal Income and Outlays | — |
| 09/29/2027 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report | — |
| 09/22/2027 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report | — |
| 09/15/2027 | FOMC Policy Decision | — |
| Indicator | Latest | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Price Index | 336.298 | 09/01/2026 |
| Core Consumer Price Index | 338.896 | 09/01/2026 |
| Core PCE Price Index | 130.455 | 08/01/2026 |
| Federal Funds Target Range — Lower Limit | 3.75 | 09/16/2026 |
| Federal Funds Target Range — Upper Limit | 4 | 09/16/2026 |
| PCE Price Index | 131.579 | 08/01/2026 |
| Real Gross Domestic Product | 2.2 | 04/01/2026 |
| Total Nonfarm Payrolls | 159044 | 09/01/2026 |
| U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield | 5.1 | 10/15/2026 |
| U.S. 2-Year Treasury Yield | 4.77 | 10/15/2026 |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2 | 09/01/2026 |
| JOLTS Job Openings | 7079 | 08/01/2026 |
US September inflation drifted higher, yet Natixis argues a Fed pause is more likely than not, giving room to complete scaling into 2yr longs. Treasuries rallied despite bad inflation data and a silent Warsh, suggesting the market is forming a floor. The bank…
US industrial production rose 0.7% MoM and 2.2% YoY in September 2026, beating the 0.4% consensus, with August revised up 0.1ppt. Manufacturing gained 0.3% MoM despite a 3% drop in auto volumes; utilities jumped 3.5% on data-centre demand and mining edged up…
SMBC argues the post-CPI Treasury rally suggests the economy's sensitivity to rate levels has increased, with stress among weaker AI and high-yield borrowers tightening financial conditions. But continued equity gains keep economy-wide tightening modest, so…
MUFG reports the USD is on course to weaken this week, ending four straight weekly gains. After jumping to a fresh year-to-date high on stronger September US CPI, the dollar quickly gave back those gains. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates this month;…
Fed Chair Warsh gave no policy guidance, which markets read as endorsing current pricing; the October hike probability dropped from 26% to 14% and the 2-year yield fell 3-4bps. The dollar was broadly unchanged. Warsh dwelt on AI, calling it a near-term…
Three-month implied correlation fell 5.94% to 12.04, the largest move on the board, while the equal-weighted S&P 500 rose 1.36% versus the headline index's 0.33%. Volatility moved rather than vanished: the bond volatility measure rose 3.45% to 102.50.…
RBA Assistant Governor Christopher Kent said monetary policy transmission remains intact despite mortgage offset buffers, with the exchange rate, wealth, saving and borrowing-cost channels all functioning. The harder question is whether conditions are…
MUFG keeps a cautious IDR bias, expecting USD/IDR at 18,350 in Q4 2026 and 18,500 in Q1 2027. Drivers include elevated US yields, an oil-driven trade balance squeeze, a harder Bank Indonesia trade-off and MSCI's consultation on reclassifying Indonesia from…
Westpac lowered its New Zealand 2027 GDP growth forecast by 0.3ppts to 2.7%yr, citing higher assumed energy prices and a steeper near-term path for long-term interest rates that weigh on consumption and residential investment. A weaker NZ dollar…