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Brent crude trades back above USD 106 after Houthi attacks on Saudi Aramco's headquarters and Iran's tanker strikes in Hormuz. Gold holds near USD 4,160 ahead of US September CPI, with Williams signalling one more hike this year and none in 2027. Chipmakers…
MUFG holds that more volatile market conditions remain the key risk. G10 FX volatility has retraced after spiking as the dollar strengthened on surging sovereign bond yields. MUFG judges risks skewed toward a further leg up in yields. On the Middle East,…
AI hardware stocks extended losses, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down a sixth straight session on Chinese DRAM competition and doubts over debt-funded AI capex; CoreWeave bond yield jumped to 15% from 9.625% at issue. The IMF lifted 2026 global…
Natixis reports stalled US-Iran talks and widening conflict after Houthi strikes shut Riyadh's King Khalid airport on 10 October, while UKMTO logged 12 attacks on commercial vessels around Hormuz in 5-11 October. Brent rose 3% to USD104/bbl on 8 October and…
APAC's $2.5 trillion ETF industry has digitised its primary market, replacing fax-based orders with automated portals. But multiple bespoke portals have deepened fragmentation, raising costs and operational risk for Authorized Participants. Citi argues the…
China's September exports rose 36.3% YoY, the fastest since 2021, beating market and ING forecasts. Imports grew 31.0%, led by tech products, while the monthly trade surplus hit a 20-month high of $133.5bn. The 3Q26 surplus reached $938.1bn, 7.8% above the…
China's September PPI inflation rose to 5.0% YoY, the highest since 2022 and above forecasts, while CPI edged up to 0.9% YoY. Energy and tech drove gains, but food, rent and autos still dragged. ING judges the worst of deflation may have passed, though…
MUFG's Economic Monthly for September 2026 reviews ASEAN, India and Australia. Singapore's real GDP growth eased to 5.9% y/y in Q2, Indonesia to 5.3% y/y, Thailand to 1.9% y/y and the Philippines to 2.3% y/y, while Malaysia accelerated to 6.0% y/y and…
MAS sprang a surprise by leaving its exchange-rate policy stance unchanged in October, versus consensus for very slight tightening. MUFG reads the forward guidance as implying Singapore's central bank stays on hold, with the appreciating S$NEER band leaning…
Brent December futures trade up 0.4% at USD 106.13/b and WTI near USD 94.51/b as a missile strike on Saudi Aramco HQ and persistent Strait of Hormuz shipping attacks keep a wide geopolitical risk premium. Gold sits near USD 4,161/oz before US September CPI.…
Commonwealth Bank's 2026 AGM address reports cash net profit after tax up 7% to A$11bn, cash EPS up 44 cents, a fully franked final dividend of $2.70 taking the full-year payout to $5.05 per share, and growth at or above system in all five core product…
Commonwealth Bank Chair's 2026 AGM address frames a year of heightened uncertainty: geopolitics, rapid technology change and rising regulatory expectations. CBA reported FY26 cash net profit after tax of $11 billion, up 7%, a final dividend of $2.70 per share…
RBC Economics' October 2026 outlook shows policy rates and bond yields across seven economies. The Fed funds midpoint is projected to rise from 3.625% in late 2025 to 4.38% by Q3-26 and stay there through 2027. The Bank of Canada cuts to 2.25% by Q4-25, then…
PIMCO reports nonlisted BDC redemptions have eased from peak but remain well above the 5% quarterly threshold, so managers are preserving liquidity, moderating deployment and tightening financing conditions. New direct-lending loans now carry wider spreads,…
SMBC forecasts tomorrow's US CPI at 0.5% headline and 0.2% core. Although 31% of small businesses (net) are raising prices, the historical link between that NFIB series and inflation breadth broke down in 2024, likely due to weakening wage growth and high…
Scotiabank argues the BoC should ignore Friday's weak Canadian jobs report and stay focused on inflation, since the 70k September public-sector decline (58k health/education, 46k in Quebec) looks implausible during an election. It urges an external…
Mexico's IMAI rose 3.5% y/y in August, the strongest since April 2024, with gains in nearly all components. Utilities rose 1.6%, construction 7.5% (civil engineering 17.6%, building 7.0%), manufacturing 3.2% (petroleum/coal 21.4%, electronics 12.2%, transport…
UBS CIO expects another solid US third-quarter earnings season even as September headline inflation is projected to reaccelerate and elevated oil prices weigh on sentiment. The firm forecasts 28% S&P 500 EPS growth, led by AI: AI-related spending is estimated…
Europe is framed by negative coverage, but three mechanisms explain the bias: bad news sells and generates follow-up stories, EU budget negotiations surface losses rather than compromise, and the Commission sets deliberately ambitious targets. Despite this,…
Korean chip stocks fell 6.12% overnight, breaking the Kospi below 6,000 and triggering a sell-side curb, while the S&P 500 closed virtually unchanged at 7,807.24. The divergence reflected low three-month implied correlation (11.75) and dispersion, not a broad…