Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
The EU's manufactured goods trade deficit with China reached €400bn over twelve months, driven by a 7% y/y rise in imports in H1 2026. However, exports excluding Germany have stabilised and even grown, with declines concentrated in automotive and electronics.…
MUFG expects the 10-year JGB yield to stay elevated with an upward bias in October, as concerns persist that the BoJ will tighten too slowly. The Fed is projected to hike 25bp on Oct 28 while the BoJ holds on Oct 29-30. Fiscal policy is the key: the FY27…
The report argues that resilient nominal growth, not inflation or fiscal fears, is driving Treasury yields higher, with the 10-year near 5%. Higher borrowing costs are pressuring low-quality credit and narrowing market breadth, yet stocks have stayed near…
Latin American equities stood out as a diversifier in Q3 2026, supported by attractive valuations and an improving policy mix, while global equities stayed resilient despite higher yields. US Q2 GDP grew 2.2% annualised, core inflation reached 3.0%, but…
Schroders argues Australia's equity market faces higher-for-longer bond yields, with Australian bonds at 5.4% and Japan's 10-year yield above 3%. The ASX200 rose 2.7% over the past year but fell in September. Firmus's $8b IPO, the second-largest in Australian…
EU construction output is forecast to grow just 0.5% in 2026 after 1.8% decline in 2024 and 2.3% growth in 2025, per ING Research. Infrastructure and Germany's modest rebound (first growth since 2020, after a >10% fall over 2020-25) support activity, while…
Spain's 29 November snap election likely hands power to a PP-Vox coalition, with a new cabinet perhaps only in early 2027. Intesa keeps its growth forecasts of 2.5% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027, as September inflation reached 5% on HICP while core held at 3.2%.…
Natixis reports Brazil's first-round presidential vote: Senator Flavio Bolsonaro took 47.03% against incumbent President Lula's 45.16%, with other mostly center-right candidates combining for 7.79%. Natixis believes Bolsonaro is likely to win the October 25…
A screen of 512 option underlyings found 21 names far from their own implied volatility norms at the 2 Oct 2026 close. Brazil ETF EWZ ranked 100 ahead of its 4 October presidential vote. US health care names (MRK, DHR, BMY) showed elevated rank into…
Societe Generale argues that transaction banking is entering a hybrid phase in which traditional finance and digital assets are combined. It observes that stablecoins are changing cross-border payments, drawing a parallel to the eurodollar market's rise,…
Markets enter the week cautiously after Friday's weak 29k US payrolls print, with politics dominating. Quebec votes tonight: the separatist PQ may win around 30% and a minority or slim majority, yet majorities oppose both the PQ and separation. Quebec already…
Foreign investors held about $9.2 trillion of US Treasury debt at end-2025, roughly 31% of publicly held debt, but foreign holdings have grown more slowly than total Treasury supply. Within foreign holdings, private investors now account for 58.1% versus…
The Iran war and lost Russian refining capacity pushed diesel prices far beyond the move implied by crude oil, flipping the historical diesel-oil spread correlation positive. Using local projections that isolate diesel-specific shocks, Scotiabank estimates a…
The report highlights that a softer US September labor market update and downward PCE inflation revisions dramatically lowered market expectations for an October Fed rate hike, aligning with the house view. In Australia, the RBA delivered its fourth hike of…
Speculative dollar longs against eight IMM futures surged 39% to USD 25.3 billion in the week to 29 September 2026, the highest in four weeks, as the 10-year Treasury yield jumped 27bp to 5.24%. Managed money sold 18 of 25 commodity futures, cutting WTI-Brent…
State Street and Barclays argue that systematic credit investing was historically constrained by trading frictions, but recent market developments—growth in electronic trading, credit ETFs and portfolio trading—have reduced these barriers. The paper describes…
Natixis expects France's 2027 draft budget (PLF/PLFSS) to miss its 5.0%-of-GDP deficit target by about 0.5pp, forecasting 5.5% — a slight deterioration from 5.4% in 2026. With a fragmented National Assembly and presidential elections in April-May 2027, the…
The US is pursuing a government-led mine-to-magnet strategy combining domestic production, friend-shoring with Australia and Brazil, and recycling to reduce reliance on China's rare earth supply chain. Federal support now includes purchase agreements, price…
The US rare earth supply chain remains vulnerable because its weaknesses are downstream: processing, heavy rare earth separation, and magnet manufacturing. Despite record output at Mountain Pass and some neodymium-iron-boron magnet production in Texas, the US…
Natixis' Q2 2026 EV quarterly reports China EV exports surged more than 120% in H1 2026 while domestic car sales fell over 20% YoY, lifting EVs above 45% of China's car exports. NEV penetration reached 27% globally in Q2 2026, up from 26% in Q1, though NEV…