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A weak US September payrolls print of 29k cooled October Fed hike odds to 20%, lifting the Nasdaq 100 to a record close. The euro fell to a new cycle low of 1.1161 against the dollar, pressured by French fiscal turmoil and widening OAT-Bund spreads, which…
Athene executives describe a 'fortress balance sheet' with over $400 billion in total assets, $75 billion of total liquidity excluding private assets, and a $35 billion capital stock they say exceeds public peers, supported by lower leverage, an…
The euro is repricing lower on French fiscal risk, driving broad euro weakness and pushing the dollar index to new 2026 highs. The ECB's tightening cycle is seen as more vulnerable to repricing than the Fed's, leaving EUR/USD under pressure with a 1.1100/1120…
Saudi Aramco's deep OSP cut to Asia and a fresh 100m bbl G7 strategic reserve release push December Brent down 0.7% to USD 101.56/b and WTI to about USD 90/b. Gold opens at USD 4,133/oz, down 0.2% after a 3.4% weekly loss, with sub-20% odds priced for a Fed…
The S&P 500 rose about 0.7% over the past month, but only technology (+7.1%) and communication services (+3.3%) gained; every other sector fell, with financials -7%, materials -6.6%, utilities -6.2% and real estate -6.1%. Higher yields hurt via richer bond…
Australian credit markets face persistent inflation, renewed rate volatility and record issuance. The RBA raised the cash rate 25bp to a 15-year high, with markets pricing a terminal rate near 5%. Index spreads widened 3bps, with higher-beta names…
US headline PCE inflation held at 3.4% YoY and core at 3.0% in August, still above the Fed's 2% goal, with energy rebounding 2.3% MoM and goods inflation rising to 3.6% from 3.3%. Pay growth slowed to 0.1% MoM and 3.0% YoY, signaling labor slack. Australia's…
ICE Brent repeatedly broke below $100/bbl last week but settled above, balancing G7-IEA plans to release 100m barrels (diesel front-loaded over 20 days), recovering Saudi East-West pipeline flows and higher Hormuz volumes against persistent Persian Gulf…
A Societe Generale expert-view note frames China as the pivot of a "Great Automotive Transition," presented as a conversation with Guido Van Hauwermeiren, Vice Chairman, Automotive & Mobility. The supplied text provides no forecasts, targets or figures; it…
With 10-year yields above 5% in the US and Australia, the manager argues high-quality bonds again offer income plus a hedge if synchronized tightening into an oil supply shock slows growth. It favours front-end Australian government bonds, expects RBA cuts in…
September brought a violent global bond repricing, with the US 10-year yield rising over 50bp to 5.28% and the 30-year to 5.63%, on strong US growth, an oil supply shock and a hawkish Fed hike to 4%. Equities held up at the index level (S&P 500 -0.35%, Nasdaq…
Renewed Gulf conflict pushed oil above US$100 and drove developed-market bond yields to multi-decade highs. The Fed, ECB, RBA and BOJ all tightened as markets priced further hikes. Schroders argues elevated starting yields — portfolio yield ~6.5% — provide an…
US September nonfarm payrolls rose just 29k versus ~90k expected, with August revised down to 133,000; unemployment edged up to 4.2% and average hourly earnings rose only 0.1% MoM (3.0% YoY). The S&P 500 gained 0.73% on Friday, led by tech, while the 10-year…
September US nonfarm payrolls rose just 29k versus 90k consensus, with unemployment at 4.2% and wage growth at 0.1% m/m, weakening the case for an October Fed hike. Yet the 10-year Treasury yield rebounded intraday from 5.15% to about 5.29% and the 2-year…
The euro fell to fresh year-to-date lows against the dollar (1.1161) and yen (176.41) as fiscal contagion fears from a French government bond sell-off intensified. The 10-year French yield neared 5.0%, with its spread over Bunds above 140bps, while the 2-year…
USD/JPY opened September at 159.77 and traded both sides of 157 as the BOJ hiked to 1.25% and the Fed raised 25bp. Washington now treats yen undervaluation as a leader-level issue, and a move above 160 would likely trigger stronger warnings and possible…
This fixed-income calendar previews Japan data for October 5-9, 2026. MUMSS forecasts August total cash earnings at +3.5% YoY versus +3.7% consensus, regular pay at +2.9%, a current-account surplus of JPY3,211.4bn, real household spending down 3.8%, and a…
New Zealand's recovery is uneven but resilient, with filled jobs up 0.9% in the year to August and agriculture driving regional growth. Inflation pressures persist in rate-insensitive sectors; annual CPI hit 4.1% in June and fuel costs are rising again.…
BNP Paribas market review as of 2 October 2026 shows Brent at $102.25, up 68% year-to-date, and gold at $4,145, down 4.7% over the week. US 10-year Treasury yield is 5.28%, with a 1-week change of -1.2bp, while the OAT-Bund spread widened by 38.2bp. EUR/USD…
Westpac reads the RBA's September 2026 unanimous 25bp hike to 4.60% as opening the door to a follow-up move in November, absent a lasting resolution of the Middle East conflict or another event that significantly lowers Australia's energy cost outlook. The…