ING argues that the US Treasury's buyback program is not about financing via the TGA but about the signal of potential future expansion, which has tightened swap spreads. Meanwhile, eurozone growth is beating consensus, adding upward pressure on euro rates,…
Citi provides a framework for global cash concentration, classifying markets into liberal, semi-restrictive, and restrictive currency environments, and offering tailored liquidity solutions for each. The report highlights Asia-Pacific as a significant…
ANZ Research highlights the increasing sophistication of scams targeting Australians, emphasizing that scams exploit universal human behaviors rather than specific demographics. The report notes AI's role in scaling attacks and offers practical advice for…
Invesco argues that despite the US national debt surpassing $40 trillion, market concerns are overblown when viewed in context of rising household wealth and resilient earnings. Higher Treasury yields and oil prices are seen as manageable near-term issues,…
OCBC's Daily Treasury Outlook highlights a tense market environment with rising UST yields, geopolitical risks, and mixed economic data. The report covers key central bank meetings, inflation data, and corporate earnings, providing insights on FX, rates, and…
PIMCO's credit market analysis highlights a persistent visibility gap in default forecasting, noting that traditional models underestimate credit stress. The firm recommends a diversified approach across public and private credit, with a defensive tilt…
The U.S. has imposed 50% tariffs on about 5% of Canadian exports, prompting Canada to plan dollar-for-dollar counter-tariffs starting September 8. These measures could reduce Canadian GDP growth by 0.4-0.7 percentage points over the next year, with inflation…
OCBC Research notes that in late August 2026, China's economy is undergoing a bumpy transition from old to new growth engines, with July data showing soft domestic demand and structural investment weakness, while AI and advanced manufacturing provide…
Scotiabank Economics reports stronger Mexican economic activity in June, revised Q2 GDP growth of 2.1% y/y, and contained inflation in early August. Industrial activity rebounded, services remained robust, and inflation stayed below expectations, supporting a…
UBS CIO advises investors to stay invested amid elevated long-end US Treasury yields, favoring short- to medium-maturity quality bonds and gold as a diversifier, while expecting equities to benefit from broadening earnings growth.
Apollo and Athene highlight the growing retirement savings gap due to aging populations, rising inflation, and underprepared retirees, advocating for private market integration and innovative annuity products to secure lifetime income. They position their…
Scotiabank Economics assesses the collapse of Canada-US trade talks, noting muted market reactions, modest macro impact, and risks in both directions.
RBC Economics assesses the new U.S. Section 338 tariffs on a subset of Canadian exports, noting the limited macro impact but significant sectoral and regional effects, while highlighting heightened uncertainty and implications for BoC policy and CUSMA…
RBC Economics expects Canada's Q2 GDP to confirm a strong rebound, with growth above 3% annualized, driven by net trade, consumer spending, and investment, though momentum is expected to moderate in H2 2026 due to tariffs and population decline.
Nomura's analysis of AI's impact on Asia's labor market since the launch of generative AI models shows that AI-related hiring (131K jobs) has outpaced AI-related firings (61K jobs), indicating a net positive effect so far. However, the aggregate figures mask…
Westpac's NZ Weekly Economic Insight highlights persistent diesel price pressures on firms and rising dairy returns due to El Niño supply concerns.
Westpac argues that the recent rise in long-dated global bond yields reflects both structural factors (higher government deficits, AI investment boom, aging populations) and cyclical factors (data center construction), and expects longer-dated yields to…
Westpac reports that Australia's July labour force survey was softer than expected, with employment falling by 15,800 and unemployment rising to 4.5%, though partly due to rounding. The broader trend indicates gradual labour market cooling, with employment…
Scotiabank Economics' Latam Weekly report highlights Mexican and Brazilian CPI data, USMCA developments, Chile's technical recession, and strong Mexican exports. Key views include potential US tariff reductions on autos, Chile's sub-1% GDP growth for 2026,…
Scotiabank Economics sees a possible US-Canada trade deal lowering effective tariffs, which could lift 2027 Canadian growth and close the output gap, while the Fed's Jackson Hole speech, payroll revisions, and inflation data will guide markets. Canadian bank…