Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Ahead of the September 2026 FOMC, Intesa Sanpaolo calls the decision a close call, with markets assigning roughly 90% probability to a hike to 3.75-4% and fully pricing two hikes by year-end. The report had previously expected a December move but now sees a…
Barclays publishes a treasurer's playbook for the full M&A lifecycle. Early decisions on credit strategy, leverage, liquidity and funding mix can shape transaction success; planning around timelines, deleveraging and contingencies improves execution…
Poland's August CPI was confirmed at 3.4% YoY, with fuel prices up 24.2% YoY and adding roughly 0.5pp versus July. Energy supplied more than half of the annual increase, while food deflation deepened and core inflation stayed near 3.2% YoY. With Brent above…
Escalating Middle East conflict, including constrained flows through Hormuz and the Saudi East-West pipeline, points to higher-for-longer energy prices. ABN AMRO revises eurozone inflation to peak near 4% and return to target only by Q4 2027, with 2027…
Natixis expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise the cash rate by 25bps to 4.60% on September 29, after 75bps of hikes since February. Q2 GDP improved to +0.4% QoQ, and July CPI surprised on the upside with trimmed mean at +3.6% YoY. Officials Hunter…
In August 2026, EM debt proved resilient. Hard currency sovereigns returned +0.89% (JP Morgan EMBI GD), led by spread tightening of 10bps to ~235bps, as Treasury yields steadied at 4.75% on the 10-year. Local currency debt returned +0.90% (GBI-EM GD), driven…
Emerging market hard currency bonds outperformed in August 2026, with shorter-maturity bonds leading year-to-date as higher US Treasury term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks under pressure long duration. The 10-year US Treasury ended at 4.75%,…
Short-dated EM hard currency bonds outperformed longer-dated paper over the first eight months of 2026, as rising US 10-year Treasury yields, higher term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks tested duration. EM hard currency spreads stayed firm,…
Europe has lifted defence spending from roughly 1.4% of GDP in 2019 to an estimated 2.4% in 2026, en route to 3.5% by 2035, ING writes. The remaining 1.1 percentage points implies only about 0.1pp of GDP per year, or roughly €50 per person annually over a…
UK private sector payrolls fell another 34k in August, down 0.8% year-on-year, with retail and hospitality job losses exceeding 3% annualised. Private sector wage growth appears to have floored at 2.9%, or about 3.3% adjusted for compositional effects. ING…
AI-slowdown warnings hit semiconductors and lifted volatility, while markets priced a 92% chance of a 25bp Fed hike to 3.75%-4.00%. The US 10-year yield cleared 5.02% for its highest since 2007. Brent stayed below $110 for a fourth day on Middle East supply…
QQQ closed at USD 709.18 on 14 September 2026 as the VIX rose about 8% to 17.10 and crude settled at USD 104.01, up 3.96%. Yet QQQ implied volatility was only 18.26%, with an implied volatility rank of 26, about a quarter up its one-year range. The 16 October…
The dollar finally aligned with supportive drivers: elevated front-end rates, oil near $107, and soft risk sentiment. DXY notched its strongest session since the Jackson Hole speech. USD/JPY briefly hit 155 and may extend to 156-157. The Fed hiked as…
Citi's Supply Chain Financing report finds global trade durable through 2025 tariff shocks. Payment flows stayed strong; shipping normalized. From 2019-2024, North & East Asia exports shifted to emerging markets (Latin America +59%, Middle East & Africa +52%,…
Citi's commodities head Max Layton says the US-led blockade of Iran is driving Tehran to escalate across multiple fronts until the blockade breaks or a diplomatic solution emerges. Inventories near 95-100 days globally, well above 1970s levels, and a Q4…
ING expects China's 3Q26 GDP growth to stay near or below the low end of the target range, with risks tilted below its 4.5% YoY forecast and 4.6% call for 2026. August data showed retail sales up just 0.4% YoY and YTD fixed asset investment down 7.2% YoY,…
The US 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% on 14 September, the first time since October 2023, driven by higher energy prices, renewed inflation concerns, expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy and heavy US government borrowing. Saxo Bank argues…
BMO announced a strategic investment in Radical Ventures' new Radical Breakouts Fund, a late-stage venture strategy that has secured more than US$1 billion in institutional commitments. BMO separately plans to mobilize up to $70 billion in new capital over 10…
A Standard Chartered and Zanders whitepaper argues tokenization is a strategic evolution of corporate treasury rather than a technology project. The value lies in compressing financial latency: cross-border payments still take 2-3 days, driving settlement…
Brent settled at $105.68/bbl after the 7m b/d East-West pipeline shutdown, with prices supported until Saudi supply visibility improves. Middle distillate cracks stay near records above $80/bbl despite a Russia-Ukraine energy-infrastructure halt. TTF trades…