Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
ING's James Smith argues that markets are pricing a more aggressive hiking cycle than warranted, with investors expecting four more ECB hikes, a similar path from the Bank of England, and no rate cuts for at least four years. He identifies three conditions…
Natixis argues that a hotter-than-expected August CPI report has cemented a 25bp Fed hike at the September meeting, with headline CPI at 0.4% m/m (3.4% y/y) and core at 0.29% m/m (2.4% y/y), though the firm remains optimistic that inflation will continue to…
UBS CIO argues that equities can withstand rising yields and oil prices because global growth remains solid, earnings are forecast to grow strongly, and AI-related investment is a powerful tailwind. Brent crude is around USD 105.5/bbl amid Middle East…
The Bloomberg Commodity Total Return Index is on track for a fifth straight weekly gain and a record high, up about 2% on the week and over 36% year-to-date, but gains are increasingly concentrated in energy. Brent crude jumped more than 6% on Thursday after…
August US CPI report showed headline inflation rising 0.4% m/m and 3.4% y/y, while core CPI came in hotter than expected at 0.29% m/m and 2.4% y/y. This data is sufficient to nudge the Fed into a rate hike at the upcoming meeting, though it does not signal a…
US August CPI matched consensus at 0.4% MoM/3.4% YoY, but core inflation rose 0.3% MoM (0.290% to three decimals) versus 0.2% expected, well above the 0.17% monthly pace needed to steer annual inflation toward the Fed's 2% target. With Chair Kevin Warsh…
SMBC expects the FOMC to raise the fed funds target range by 25bp to 3.75–4.00% at next week's meeting, as firm data and persistent inflation convince Chair Warsh to reassert the Fed's price-stability commitment. Ten-year yields have backed up about 25bp…
Implied volatility rank (IVR) places today's implied volatility within an underlying's own 52-week range on a 0-100 scale, making different underlyings comparable. On 10 September 2026, Broadcom's IV was 37.7% with an IVR of about 7.9, while Coca-Cola's IV…
The options market underpriced the week almost everywhere: by the final session the Nasdaq 100 fund had used 91% of its expected band, gold 99% and the bitcoin fund 97%, while the S&P 500 spent 161% and closed below its lower bound. Premium was bid for a…
Natixis estimates euro area R-star at 2.2%, marginally below the ECB deposit rate of 2.5%, implying a only modestly restrictive policy stance. The report argues that real interest rates and R-star share common global drivers - productivity, demographics, the…
ING expects the Bank of England to keep Bank Rate on hold at 3.75% at its 17 September 2026 meeting with another 6-3 vote. While the gas and oil price surge means inflation could peak at or above 4% this winter — putting the UK in the Bank's adverse energy…
ING previews a busy CEE/CCA week: Poland's August CPI is seen at 3.4% YoY with core at 3.2%, the July current account deficit around €1.9bn (12-month rolling deficit 1.1% of GDP) and industrial production at 8.3% YoY. The Czech National Bank is expected to…
The G7 foreign exchange market is being driven by three converging forces: a yen surge to a seven-month high on expected BOJ tightening, Brent crude above $100 per barrel following US-Iran military escalation, and a synchronized global tightening cycle with…
The 14-18 September 2026 calendar is dominated by three G10 central bank decisions: the FOMC is expected to leave the target fed funds rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, the Bank of England is forecast to hold Bank Rate at 3.75%, and the Bank of Japan is expected…
Commerzbank argues that despite renewed US-Iran hostilities around the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed Brent just above USD 100 per barrel, a gradual de-escalation is likely as both sides face economic pressure. Covert 'dark transits' with transponders…
Global bond yields surged on September 10, 2026, after the ECB delivered a hawkish 25-bp hike and raised its 2027 and 2028 inflation forecasts, sending the German 2-year yield up 16 bp—its largest front-end jump in over 18 months—while crude oil prices spiked…
Oracle and Adobe reported earnings on 10 September 2026, offering contrasting AI narratives. Oracle's cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121% to USD 7.4bn, with 850 MW of data-centre capacity added and remaining performance obligations reaching USD 664bn,…
Natixis expects the Bank of England to keep Bank Rate unchanged at its 17 September 2026 meeting with a 6-to-3 voting split, as headline CPI rose to 2.9% on energy effects while core inflation held at 2.6% and private-sector regular pay growth cooled to 2.8%.…
The Bank of Japan is widely expected to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25% at its 18 September meeting, with markets nearly pricing in another 25bp hike by year-end. Short-dated JPY rates have surged since July, partly driven by US Treasury FX…
Standard Chartered's Transaction Banking insight argues that the next phase of finance will be defined by orchestration rather than speed. As payments, trade, digital assets and agentic AI multiply into a network of networks, banks that act as…