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US equities fell as tech slid on AI safety comments, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% and Nasdaq 0.6%. The US 10Y yield briefly breached 5% for the first time since October 2023, with markets pricing about a 90% probability of a 25bp Fed hike. Middle East tensions…
Credit spreads were calm and tightened last week even as the UST 1-10Y curve rose by 18-27bps w/w, suggesting the move was a rates shock rather than a credit shock. Asia USD IG OAS narrowed 1bp to 56bps, HY 11bps to 313bps. SGD credit total returns fell 0.18%…
Queensland overtook Western Australia to rank first in CommBank's revised State of the States index for the June quarter 2026, with dwelling investment up 16.8% y/y, the strongest nationally, and business investment up 9.0%. South Australia jumped two places…
J.P. Morgan argues India's equity market is emerging as the largest liquid non-AI hedge as global investors trim crowded AI exposures. Earnings recovery has broadened from mid and small caps, which grew 25%+ for six to seven straight quarters, to large caps…
Macquarie Asset Management has deployed over US$4bn in India across two decades and, after a 2018-2022 period of managing existing assets rather than fresh deployment, says it is time to invest again. The firm will keep roads and renewables as core focus…
MUFG's base case (55% probability) is a neutral 25bp hike at the September 2026 FOMC, with a 12/0 vote sought by Chair Warsh. The SEP is expected to shift the 2026 median dot to two hikes and lift the long-run dot to 3.125%, preserving an eventual easing…
MUFG sees euro area growth holding near 0.3% Q/Q in 2026 (1.0% full year) despite the energy shock, with HICP re-accelerating to 3.3% in August and set to peak near 4%. Two further ECB hikes (October and December) take the deposit rate to 3.00% by year-end…
The US dollar index has firmed around 1.0% over four straight sessions, helped by hawkish Fed repricing that lifted 2-year yields nearly 30bps and pushed the 10-year above 5.0%, the highest since mid-2007. Equity volatility remains low and FX spillovers…
RBI's June 2026 FX measures attracted about USD 136bn by 31 August, lifting FX reserves to USD 785bn and banking system liquidity above INR 10 trillion. MUFG expects a shallow 50bp repo hike cycle to 5.75% by end-FY2026/27, with 25bp moves in December 2026…
MUFG notes markets are dominated by surging developed-market yields, with US 10-year yields hitting 5%, oil staying near $105/bbl on Middle East and Russia-Ukraine supply risks, and rising fears of an AI spending slowdown after top US AI CEOs backed slower…
ASB Bank announced Vittoria Shortt will step down after almost nine years as CEO and Managing Director, effective 11 December 2026. Sinead Taylor, currently Group Executive Institutional Banking and Markets at Commonwealth Bank, will succeed her on 12…
Markets opened the week risk-off after Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline closure, reportedly lasting weeks, and AI leaders' calls to slow development; President Trump's pushback against AI controls limited US equity losses. Brent rose 1.6% to $106.3/bbl and…
The US 10-year Treasury yield has touched 5%, driven mainly by higher real yields for good, bad and ugly reasons, and ING says a 25bp Fed hike may not cap the back end. Whether or not the Fed hikes, the 10yr is liable to test 5% again. A journey toward 6% is…
Mexico's 2027 Economic Package keeps gradual fiscal consolidation, cutting Public Sector Borrowing Requirements to 3.9% of GDP from 4.1% in 2026, while public debt-to-GDP still rises. Revenues are projected at MXN 9,156.5bn. The Finance Ministry's macro…
Deutsche Bank's PERSPECTIVES Special argues that leading North American sports leagues and the English Premier League are a growing, increasingly sophisticated investment opportunity. Scarce assets, recurring media and sponsorship revenues, global audiences,…
Man Group argues the 10-year US Treasury yield reaching 5% signals sovereign paper shifting from risk-free anchor to portfolio risk, driven by sticky inflation, heavy debt loads and weak fiscal credibility. Treasury Secretary Bessent's $6bn buyback of 10- to…
A potentially historic El Niño is developing against a fragile global backdrop. NOAA assigns a greater than 90% probability it reaches 'very strong' levels between October and December 2026, and a 69% probability it becomes a historic event. The bigger risk…
SMBC forecasts July headline retail sales to bounce 0.7% m/m and ex-autos 0.6%. Real retail sales sit 1.7% below their pre-Covid trend, dragged by a restrictive-rate housing market with elevated prices, weak affordability and low turnover that suppresses…
State Street argues secondary funds are shifting from a liquidity backstop to a strategic private-markets tool. Transaction volume reached an estimated $230 billion in 2025, over 40% above the prior year, with secondary-strategy AUM projected to more than…
State Street argues secondary funds have evolved from a niche liquidity venue into a strategic portfolio tool for institutional investors. The secondaries market reached an estimated $230bn of transaction volume in 2025, over 40% above the prior year and a…