Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
CBA launched the AGSVIX, an implied-volatility gauge for Australian government bonds comparable to the US MOVE index. Although yields rose this year on upside inflation surprises, the index shows uncertainty fell, as modelling attributes volatility swings…
US equities closed mixed: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.3%, Dow +0.1%, with the semiconductor index down 3.4% on AI-revenue concerns. Brent rose 4.1% above USD104/bbl and WTI 3.6% to USD91.49 on Middle East tensions, though Trump ruled out strikes on Iran before…
MUFG reports the PBOC formally rejected claims that the yuan is undervalued ahead of China-EU trade negotiations, arguing devaluation will not resolve global structural imbalances and pushing back on the IMF. US Treasuries rallied on solid 30-year auction…
Australia's October Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment Index fell 4.7% to 80.4, back to deeply pessimistic levels; sentiment dropped 20% between responses before and after the RBA's September rate hike. US September payrolls rose just 29k versus 89k expected, with…
Peru's August GDP is expected to grow 3.3% y/y, only modestly below July's 3.6%, while Brazil's activity remains sluggish at around 1% y/y. Next week's highlights include US CPI and Latam activity data. Brazilian assets rallied on Bolsonaro's rising election…
Oil retreated after President Trump said the US would not attack Iran before November midterms; Brent traded below USD 103/b and WTI near USD 90/b. Gold advanced toward USD 4,200/oz as lower Treasury yields supported demand, with 10-year breakevens near flat.…
Spain called a snap general election for 29 November, adding political uncertainty to a eurozone already focused on France's fiscal troubles. Yet Spain keeps outperforming: GDP has averaged about 3.0% y/y since 2024 versus 1.2% for the euro area, unemployment…
Westpac estimates Australia's November monthly CPI at 0.4%mth, holding the annual pace at 3.8%yr. October CPI was flat, trimming the December-quarter trimmed mean estimate to 0.8%qtr/3.2%yr. Electricity (+16%), gas (+3.2%) and auto fuel (+2.3%) lift November,…
US Treasuries calmed with solid 10yr and 30yr auctions, pulling the 10yr yield below 5.25% and putting the sell-off on pause rather than ending it. Swap spreads have tightened since the buyback announcement, contrasting with France. Italian 10yr spread over…
Scotiabank has revised Peru's 2026 GDP growth forecast down to 3.2% from 3.5%, assuming an 'Extraordinary' Coastal El Niño that will shrink primary sectors by nearly 2%, subtracting about 1 percentage point from growth. A 4.5% expansion in non-primary…
Westpac's review of its 2026 forecasts shows a higher near-term inflation picture but also growth risks, conditions it says favour the RBNZ moving cautiously on the OCR in the lead-up to Christmas. No OCR level, CPI figure or growth number is given in the…
US stocks slipped from record highs, with the S&P 500 down 0.2%, as Brent crude rose 3.8% to USD 104/bbl on reports of possible fresh US strikes on Iran and Gulf of Mexico hurricane shut-ins. The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.36%, a 24-year peak. UBS CIO…
India's transformation continues as government incentives and global partnerships expand local manufacturing and exports, notably in semiconductors and defence. Rising incomes are shifting consumption from essentials to extras and from basic to premium,…
CORRA has frequently set 0-5bps above the BoC's target since mid-2023, with volatility rising and occasional deviations above 5bps. BoC measures — a 5bp deposit-rate cut, more term repos and infrastructure changes — have not fully resolved the pressure,…
The NBP held rates in October 2026 and Governor Glapiński flagged rising inflation risks from the Middle East energy shock, but stressed the increase is supply-driven with limited pass-through and no second-round effects. Core inflation was modest and likely…
French business creations rose 12% y/y over the first eight months of 2026, up from 5.3% in 2025, led by information and communication technologies. Bankruptcies increased 5.3% y/y from January to July, slower than 2025's 3.6% rise, after an 8% q1 surge.…
Peru's central bank unexpectedly held its policy rate at 4.25% for a 13th straight month, contrary to market consensus favoring a hike. Chile's September CPI rose 0.4% m/m, keeping annual inflation at 4.1%, while Mexico's headline inflation edged up to 3.45%…
Agentic commerce, where autonomous AI agents search, compare and buy on consumers' behalf, is forcing retailers to redefine physical stores. ING Research argues adoption is strongest in standardised, repeat categories like consumer electronics and personal…
The ECB's September minutes confirm a unanimous Governing Council view that a worsening inflation outlook and economic resilience justified a 25bp hike to a 2.50% deposit rate, though the tone was less hawkish than President Lagarde's press conference. Some…
September saw Treasury yields surge sharply while high-quality credit spreads barely moved. The 2-year rose 57bp to 4.91%, the 10-year 49bp to 5.21%, and the 30-year reached 5.54%, yet AAA spreads held at 27bp. Lower-quality credit widened significantly: BB…