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North Asian currencies, led by the Korean won, have strengthened significantly, though USD/KRW may struggle to sustain sub-1350 levels. The Chinese yuan continues a steady appreciation, while the Indonesian rupiah and Philippine peso face depreciation risks.…
Westpac's latest Australia & NZ Weekly report discusses the Q2 2026 national accounts, which were seen as an 'inkblot test' with hawkish and dovish interpretations. Westpac expects the RBNZ to pause in October and hike in December, with a peak of 4.00% by…
TD Economics' September 11, 2026 weekly review describes a market backdrop dominated by a deepening global bond selloff and a renewed energy shock. WTI crude briefly breached $100/bbl for the first time in four months amid periodic U.S.-Iran tensions over the…
Scotiabank Economics maintains its June forecast with Canada's growth expected at 0.9% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027, while the Bank of Canada is likely to raise rates twice late this year. The US GDP growth forecast is 2.0% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027, with the…
Scotiabank Economics expects the upcoming week to feature escalation risks in the Canada-US tariff war, with Canada imposing retaliatory tariffs on C$28 billion of US imports, while Canada pivots toward attracting C$1 trillion in investments over five years.…
Intesa Sanpaolo's Forex Flash highlights a high-volatility FX environment driven by divergent central bank policies, with the Japanese yen outperforming as the BOJ is set to hike while the Fed may hold. The dollar is under short-term pressure, the euro is…
Canada’s economic calendar will be quiet next week after a recent run of data pointed to a gradually improving domestic backdrop. Economic activity rebounded through the second quarter, supported by stronger household spending and business investment, while…
Canada's August employment data surprised to the downside with a loss of 41.7k jobs, though the unemployment rate held at 6.4% as the labor force shrank. Hours worked surged 0.6% m/m and are tracking a 5.0% q/q SAAR gain in Q3, the strongest since 2021Q4,…
Scotiabank Economics' Daily Points for September 4, 2026, highlights that markets await US and Canadian jobs reports, with Canada testing recent strong momentum and US nonfarm payrolls expected to be lacklustre. German factory orders show strength, and BoC…
TD Economics notes a complicated outlook for Canada and nervous bond markets in the US, with the BoC holding at 2.25% but signaling hawkish risks from oil, while the Fed faces a close call on September rates amid strong data and rising yields.
For August 2026, OCBC Research observes that Asian and US high-yield (HY) credit outperformed investment-grade (IG), driven by resilient fundamentals, low defaults, and spread compression. Record US IG issuance and elevated volatility at the long end of the…
Westpac IQ balances growth and inflation risks in Australia and globally, noting resilient consumer but soft demand, RBNZ tightening path, and US Fed's cautious stance with potential hikes if inflation persists.
RBC Economics notes that Canada's August labour market report shows a partial reversal of earlier gains, with the unemployment rate holding at 6.4% and hours worked rising strongly, suggesting continued improvement despite impending U.S. tariff impacts. The…
Scotiabank Economics' September 3, 2026 Daily Points report highlights rising oil prices due to US-Iran conflict, expectations for US and Canadian jobs reports, a mild hawkish hold by Bank Negara Malaysia, and Swiss franc strength on better GDP and CPI data.…
OCBC Research's Daily Credit Snapshot reports stabilizing risk sentiment with US equities up, oil prices down despite Middle East tensions, and mixed US labor data. Credit spreads showed slight widening in investment grade and tightening in high yield. The…
ING maintains a bullish medium-term view on the US dollar, citing higher front-end rates and rising energy prices, with near-term upside risks remaining. The report notes intervention fears in USD/JPY after a sharp yen move, hawkish expectations for the ECB…
Saxo Bank's Market Quick Take for September 3, 2026, highlights a rebound in shares and bonds as oil prices steadied. Key themes include cooling US job growth, persistent inflation concerns, a rebound in tech stocks, a strong yen rally, and steadying crude…
Risk sentiment stabilized with US equities closing higher, while oil prices dipped despite geopolitical tensions. OCBC highlights continued Singapore growth momentum with upgraded MAS SPF forecasts, and notes softer US labor data with reduced Fed rate hike…
MUFG's JPY Monthly report for September 2026 highlights the impact of coordinated Japan-US FX intervention (JPY15.4tn since late July) in containing yen weakness, with markets now expecting a BOJ rate hike in September (over 90% priced in) partly due to US…
MUFG Research notes the yen's strength as BoJ rate hike expectations build, particularly after Takata's speech hinting at larger hikes. MUFG doubts hikes larger than 25bps but sees 100bps over 12 months as plausible. The bank highlights USD/JPY downside risks…