Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Natixis notes that Fed Governor Waller's September vote will depend on next week's CPI data, reducing hike odds to 52%; expects August jobs data to disappoint. Rates strategy is neutral directionally but more confident in 2s10s steepeners. In LatAm, Brazil's…
Schroders' analysis of the US-Iran conflict identifies six key lessons for emerging market debt investors: US military power remains central but favors distant engagement; Iran acts as an asymmetric disruptor; a deterrence triangle persists among the US,…
Scotiabank Economics reports that Canadian exports fell 2.3% in July 2026, ending five consecutive monthly gains, largely due to volatile gold and oil prices which have since rebounded. Exports to the US declined 6.6% m/m but rose 11% y/y, while the share of…
• Exports dip after five consecutive monthly increases (chart 1). The value of Canadian exports fell by 2.3% in July, with declines in seven of the 11 exports categories. However, the volatile gold and oil categories drove the monthly decline, in part…
BMO Capital Markets asserts that agriculture is increasingly exposed to energy market volatility in addition to weather risks, with rising input costs compressing margins and prompting strategic shifts in farm operations. The report highlights a transmission…
Apollo highlights that Europe's infrastructure investment needs are substantial due to energy demand, transition, and digitization, requiring 'significant rewiring'. With structurally higher interest rates and stickier inflation, financing is more expensive,…
Natixis expects the ECB to hike all three key rates by 25bp at the September 10 meeting, bringing the deposit facility to 2.50%, and then hold rates steady through end-2027, conditional on easing Middle East tensions and no second-round inflation effects. The…
The U.S. ISM Services PMI rose to 55.4 in August 2026 from 54.1, extending expansion to 26 months, with demand indicators strong but employment contracting and prices surging, keeping the Fed cautious.
SMBC expects the Fed to hike rates in September and December 2026, reversing all 2025 cuts by spring 2027, amid above-target PCE inflation and solid growth. They foresee a flatter yield curve due to a hawkish Fed and Treasury buybacks. AI capex is booming but…
RBC Economics notes that Canada's August labour market report shows a partial reversal of earlier gains, with the unemployment rate holding at 6.4% and hours worked rising strongly, suggesting continued improvement despite impending U.S. tariff impacts. The…
Asia's economic growth continues to outpace other major regions, driven by AI-related investment, intra-regional trade, and supply chain diversification. India's strong domestic demand and export growth bolster the region. However, rising inflation pressures…
The report discusses how US yield curve dynamics are increasingly driving dollar moves, with a flatter curve being dollar-positive and a steeper curve dollar-negative. ING revises its forecasts to a stronger dollar into year-end due to Fed hawkishness, delays…
ING thinks CIS-4 currencies (Azerbaijani manat, Kazakh tenge, Uzbek soum, Armenian dram) remain supported in the near term due to higher fuel prices, persistent carry trade, and portfolio inflows. Inflation risks are rising but from different starting points,…
Scotiabank Economics' September 3, 2026 Daily Points report highlights rising oil prices due to US-Iran conflict, expectations for US and Canadian jobs reports, a mild hawkish hold by Bank Negara Malaysia, and Swiss franc strength on better GDP and CPI data.…
Schroders' September 2026 commentary on the Australian High Yielding Credit Fund highlights market saturation from record issuance, spread underperformance, and the impact of new issues such as Alphabet's AUD bond. The report provides insights into the…
Schroders' fixed income commentary for August 2026 highlights a fractured global rates cycle, with the RBA edging toward a hike despite slowing growth, the Fed's new Chair avoiding forward guidance, and the BOJ signaling tightening. The fund maintains a…
MUFG's US Macro Strategy team previews the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report, forecasting 70k job additions and an unemployment rate uptick to 4.2%, both slightly above consensus. They anticipate a muted market reaction unless there is a significant…
ING Research challenges market expectations of three Bank of England rate hikes, arguing that a weak UK jobs market and cooling core inflation will instead lead to at least one rate cut by September 2027, likely in April 2027. Despite solid H1 growth, ING…
ING expects China's economic recovery to stall in H2 2026 with a widening K-shaped divergence, prompting a slight GDP forecast cut to 4.6% YoY. Policy response is likely incremental and targeted, with a possible 10bp rate cut before year-end. Inflation…
ING Think's report analyzes how Germany's three September state elections, despite covering only ~8% of the electorate, could shape federal reform prospects through indirect political signals. It identifies four triggers: the costly firewall against the AfD,…