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ING reads Czech September confidence as consistent with sub-par expansion. Consumer confidence rose 2.8 points to 105.1, which ING treats largely as a correction; business confidence fell 1.8 points to 98.4, below expectations and the long-run average, led by…
Statistics Canada's new methodology (CBSA exit-entry data and pending permit-extension applicants) revised recent non-permanent resident and total population estimates sharply higher, though history Q3-2021 to Q3-2025 was revised lower. Population now stands…
MUFG's FX quant framework argues the 2026 yen appreciation differs from past corrections: the traditional drivers of structural yen weakness have shifted. The US-Japan 10-year nominal yield differential has narrowed to roughly 209bps from about 399bps during…
UBS CIO argues the recent Treasury selloff, which pushed the 10-year yield above 5.1% for the first time since 2007, need not derail markets. The firm expects the Fed to hike once more in December and then hold, with disinflation and favorable base effects…
The US ten-year Treasury yield closed above 5.11% for the first time since 2007 after a flash composite PMI of 58.4. Bond volatility spiked, with MOVE up 21.50% to 95.45, above all 59 prior sessions, while the VIX rose only 6.83% to 15.18. Rate-sensitive…
Natixis argues Germany's 2026 collective bargaining round should not trigger euro-area second-round effects. Nominal wage growth is forecast to slow to about 3.8% in 2026 and 3.0% in 2027 from 4.4% in 2025, with negotiated wages at 2.6% YoY in June 2026 and…
ING argues US manufacturing is genuinely reviving after three stagnant years, with the ISM production index back above 50 and order books firm. Growth of 1.5-2% annually over three years is forecast, but the headline masks bifurcation: advanced…
French confidence lost momentum in September as the business climate fell to 96 and consumer confidence held at 86, far below long-term averages. The 10-year OAT yield briefly reached 4.70%, its highest since 2008, adding fiscal and financing pressure. ING…
Alternative investments are easier to access, but Julius Baer argues the real challenge is now portfolio architecture. Evergreen fund structures reduce operational friction and enable diversified alternatives portfolios for private investors. Success…
Gold trades near USD 4,262/oz, down about 4% this month, pressured by rising Treasury yields, an 18-year-high 10-year real yield of ~2.78%, and a ~1.5% stronger dollar. Yet gold ETFs added almost 50 tonnes in September and Chinese demand topped 1,000 tonnes…
An escalation between Houthi attacks and Saudi Arabia reached Riyadh on 19 September while US-Iran indirect talks opened in New York. The East-West pipeline is only partially operational, so Saudi Arabia has rerouted more crude through Hormuz and cancelled…
Global bonds extended their slide, with the US 10-year yield at 5.1142% and the 30-year near 5.4%, pressuring US equities. Robust US September PMIs (manufacturing 57, services 58.7) reinforced growth expectations. Iran said the Strait of Hormuz would stay…
The German Ifo index rose for a fifth consecutive month to 89.9 in September, from 88.8, its highest in over a year, with both current assessment and expectations improving. ING attributes the resilience to fiscal stimulus reaching the real economy and more…
Indian equities are a core holding with earnings growth re-accelerating to about 14-16% in 2026-27 from below 10% in 2025, and valuations back near long-term averages. But they are not an AI growth story like Korea or Taiwan, whose earnings trajectory is far…
The dollar rally looks stretched after DXY broke above 101.0 on strong US PMIs, higher oil and soft risk sentiment; absent upside US data surprises, ING expects a correction toward 100-100.5. EUR/USD's break below 1.140 is stretched undervaluation, with…
The global fixed income sell-off continues without clear resolution, with the US dollar strengthening as US yields rose across the curve. The 2-year Treasury yield has climbed roughly 60bps this month, approaching the scale of the March move after the…
Australia's unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in August from 4.5% in July, despite employment rising by 39,000 as participation climbed 0.2pp to 67.1%. Part-time jobs increased by 46,000 while full-time fell by 6,000; hours worked rose 0.7% m/m and…
State Street Investment Management defines impact investing around three tenets: intentionality, contribution and measurement, with investor additionality as the defining requirement. Because secondary-market trades provide no new capital to issuers,…
This research article maps a spectrum of capital spanning traditional, sustainable, sustainable-oriented (SOI) and impact approaches. Its central claim is that sustainability-related objectives become progressively more explicit and prioritized relative to…
US flash composite PMI rose to 58.4 in September, with services at 58.7 and manufacturing at 57.0, prompting a sharp sell-off in Treasuries. The 10-year yield closed above 5.11%, a post-GFC high, and the 2-year reached 4.89%. Equities fell, the dollar…