Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
The article discusses how dovish comments from the Fed's Waller provided a temporary relief in rates markets, but a strong ISM services report reverted some of the decline. Markets remain data-sensitive, and the upcoming US payrolls and CPI will determine…
Schroders has shifted its RBA view from an extended pause to a near-certain September rate hike following hotter July CPI and strong household spending data. The fund has repositioned by cutting short-end AUD duration, reducing FX exposure, and adjusting US…
Charles Schwab's educational report examines market bubbles, highlighting their defining characteristics, the difficulty of predicting their peaks, and the challenges in quantifying them. It cites historical examples like the dot-com bubble and academic…
Natixis notes that Fed Governor Waller's September vote will depend on next week's CPI data, reducing hike odds to 52%; expects August jobs data to disappoint. Rates strategy is neutral directionally but more confident in 2s10s steepeners. In LatAm, Brazil's…
Scotiabank Economics reports that Canadian exports fell 2.3% in July 2026, ending five consecutive monthly gains, largely due to volatile gold and oil prices which have since rebounded. Exports to the US declined 6.6% m/m but rose 11% y/y, while the share of…
Natixis expects the ECB to hike all three key rates by 25bp at the September 10 meeting, bringing the deposit facility to 2.50%, and then hold rates steady through end-2027, conditional on easing Middle East tensions and no second-round inflation effects. The…
The U.S. ISM Services PMI rose to 55.4 in August 2026 from 54.1, extending expansion to 26 months, with demand indicators strong but employment contracting and prices surging, keeping the Fed cautious.
SMBC expects the Fed to hike rates in September and December 2026, reversing all 2025 cuts by spring 2027, amid above-target PCE inflation and solid growth. They foresee a flatter yield curve due to a hawkish Fed and Treasury buybacks. AI capex is booming but…
Asia's economic growth continues to outpace other major regions, driven by AI-related investment, intra-regional trade, and supply chain diversification. India's strong domestic demand and export growth bolster the region. However, rising inflation pressures…
The report discusses how US yield curve dynamics are increasingly driving dollar moves, with a flatter curve being dollar-positive and a steeper curve dollar-negative. ING revises its forecasts to a stronger dollar into year-end due to Fed hawkishness, delays…
ING thinks CIS-4 currencies (Azerbaijani manat, Kazakh tenge, Uzbek soum, Armenian dram) remain supported in the near term due to higher fuel prices, persistent carry trade, and portfolio inflows. Inflation risks are rising but from different starting points,…
Scotiabank Economics' September 3, 2026 Daily Points report highlights rising oil prices due to US-Iran conflict, expectations for US and Canadian jobs reports, a mild hawkish hold by Bank Negara Malaysia, and Swiss franc strength on better GDP and CPI data.…
Schroders' fixed income commentary for August 2026 highlights a fractured global rates cycle, with the RBA edging toward a hike despite slowing growth, the Fed's new Chair avoiding forward guidance, and the BOJ signaling tightening. The fund maintains a…
MUFG's US Macro Strategy team previews the August 2026 nonfarm payrolls report, forecasting 70k job additions and an unemployment rate uptick to 4.2%, both slightly above consensus. They anticipate a muted market reaction unless there is a significant…
ING Research challenges market expectations of three Bank of England rate hikes, arguing that a weak UK jobs market and cooling core inflation will instead lead to at least one rate cut by September 2027, likely in April 2027. Despite solid H1 growth, ING…
The eurozone economy remains resilient despite the energy shock, with moderate growth expected. The ECB is likely to raise rates in September, and further hikes are possible. Risks include inflationary pressures and French fiscal concerns.
ING Think's report analyzes how Germany's three September state elections, despite covering only ~8% of the electorate, could shape federal reform prospects through indirect political signals. It identifies four triggers: the costly firewall against the AfD,…
MUFG's Middle East Daily report covers oil prices stabilizing despite geopolitical risks, gold rebounding on eased inflation fears, and strong performance in Gulf non-oil sectors, alongside credit market dynamics and Saudi Arabia's return to international…
ING expects the Federal Reserve to hike rates on 16 September, with the ECB also set to raise rates in September as an 'insurance' move; the Bank of England likely to hold with rate cuts in 2027, and the Bank of Japan to hike by 25bp to 1.25% in September…
The Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh has shifted to a more hawkish stance after his Jackson Hole speech, making a September insurance hike more likely than a hold. ING now expects a 25bp hike as a one-off risk-management move, with rates stable through…