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Scotiabank Economics maintains its June forecast with Canada's growth expected at 0.9% in 2026 and 2.2% in 2027, while the Bank of Canada is likely to raise rates twice late this year. The US GDP growth forecast is 2.0% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027, with the…
Scotiabank Economics expects the upcoming week to feature escalation risks in the Canada-US tariff war, with Canada imposing retaliatory tariffs on C$28 billion of US imports, while Canada pivots toward attracting C$1 trillion in investments over five years.…
In August 2026, global equities advanced, led by technology stocks amid strong earnings and AI investment, while bond markets faced rising yields and hawkish central bank signals. Commodities gained on agriculture and geopolitical concerns, with gold…
In August 2026, global equities rose, driven by strong tech earnings and AI investments, while bond yields increased on hawkish central bank signals. Commodities gained, led by agriculture, with gold supported by dollar weakness. The month ended with caution…
Natixis assesses Asian currencies using PPP and BEER models, finding JPY, KRW, IDR, INR undervalued and AUD overvalued. It highlights policy-driven misalignments and potential corrections.
Article | 4 September 2026 1 THINK Economic and financial analysis Article | 4 September 2026 ASIA WEEK AHEAD CHINA INDIA Asia week ahead: Key data on China, Taiwan, India, Japan, Korea Markets will focus on trade and inflation data from China…
MUFG's Asia FX Weekly report highlights key catalysts for Asian currencies, including China's mixed economic data, US CPI ahead of the FOMC, and expectations for gradual CNY appreciation. The report also covers various Asian currencies such as KRW, INR, VND,…
According to MUFG's Asia Macro Notebook for September 2026, August PMIs across Asia indicate a broadening growth momentum, driven by technology and AI-related demand, while China's recovery remains uneven with continued weakness in services, construction, and…
Asia's economic growth continues to outpace other major regions, driven by AI-related investment, intra-regional trade, and supply chain diversification. India's strong domestic demand and export growth bolster the region. However, rising inflation pressures…
Nomura introduces a Chip Shortage Index (CSI) to track semiconductor supply-demand imbalances, which it identifies as a key driver of the AI-era business cycle. The index currently reads 103.8, indicating a severe shortage that is expected to sustain elevated…
Westpac IQ's September 2026 Agriculture Report highlights a resilient Australian farm sector with farm GVA growth upgraded to 0.9% for 2026, driven by stronger crop production and robust livestock output. Commodity prices are expected to rise, with the…
US dollar softened after weak ADP employment data, but inflation pressures persist due to rising oil and agricultural prices. Asian FX faced mixed moves, with KRW strengthening on robust exports and BNM expected to hold rates. Treasury yields dipped but…
Natixis reports that Hong Kong's re-export trade is being rewired: it plays a smaller role in distributing Chinese-made goods but a larger role in sourcing foreign goods for China and intermediating trade between overseas markets. This shift is driven by tech…
MUFG's Asia FX report warns that regional currencies face headwinds from rising US Treasury yields and higher oil prices, driven by a hawkish Fed repricing and geopolitical tensions. The report highlights increased odds of a September Fed rate hike, a surge…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…
GLOBAL ECONOMICS Visit our website at scotiabank.com/economics | Follow us on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics | Contact us by email at scotia.economics@scotiabank.com SCOTIABANK FORECAST September 9, 2026 Contributors Olivier Gervais Director, Modelling and…
BNP Paribas reports improved Eurozone survey data and inflation, keeping the ECB on track for a September hike. US growth slowed but remains resilient, with sticky inflation and a mixed labor market. The UK sees solid growth but sticky inflation, with the BOE…
Saxo Bank's Market Quick Take highlights Jackson Hole and Fed Chair Warsh's speech as the key event, with markets positioning for a hawkish tone. Equities show a narrow tech-led rally in the US, while Europe falls on French political risk. Bitcoin holds near…
ING's Asia week ahead focuses on GDP releases from India and Australia, China's PMIs, Philippines inflation, Japan's retail sales and industrial production, and Korea's trade and inflation. India's GDP growth is expected to ease to 7.5% YoY but remain robust;…
ING Think expects a quiet FX session with focus on Fed Chair Warsh's speech and long-end Treasury performance. They foresee limited dollar movement, with potential gains if hawkish signals emerge. EUR/USD likely rangebound supported by ECB tightening…