Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Oil is higher but modest, with Brent at US$106 and WTI at US$102, pressing long-end bond yields on inflation fears. Markets price each of the Fed, BoC, ECB, BoE and BoJ for roughly 50bps of hikes by year-end. Equities slip broadly. Canadian existing home…
State Street expects the FOMC to hike on September 16 and again in December after August core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, though it disputes the case for tightening. The ECB delivered a second 25bp hike to a 2.50% deposit rate and signalled more. The BoJ is expected…
Escalating Middle East conflict, including constrained flows through Hormuz and the Saudi East-West pipeline, points to higher-for-longer energy prices. ABN AMRO revises eurozone inflation to peak near 4% and return to target only by Q4 2027, with 2027…
Emerging market hard currency bonds outperformed in August 2026, with shorter-maturity bonds leading year-to-date as higher US Treasury term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks under pressure long duration. The 10-year US Treasury ended at 4.75%,…
Short-dated EM hard currency bonds outperformed longer-dated paper over the first eight months of 2026, as rising US 10-year Treasury yields, higher term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks tested duration. EM hard currency spreads stayed firm,…
AI-slowdown warnings hit semiconductors and lifted volatility, while markets priced a 92% chance of a 25bp Fed hike to 3.75%-4.00%. The US 10-year yield cleared 5.02% for its highest since 2007. Brent stayed below $110 for a fourth day on Middle East supply…
The dollar finally aligned with supportive drivers: elevated front-end rates, oil near $107, and soft risk sentiment. DXY notched its strongest session since the Jackson Hole speech. USD/JPY briefly hit 155 and may extend to 156-157. The Fed hiked as…
Citi's Supply Chain Financing report finds global trade durable through 2025 tariff shocks. Payment flows stayed strong; shipping normalized. From 2019-2024, North & East Asia exports shifted to emerging markets (Latin America +59%, Middle East & Africa +52%,…
A Standard Chartered and Zanders whitepaper argues tokenization is a strategic evolution of corporate treasury rather than a technology project. The value lies in compressing financial latency: cross-border payments still take 2-3 days, driving settlement…
US equities fell as tech slid on AI safety comments, with the S&P 500 down 0.5% and Nasdaq 0.6%. The US 10Y yield briefly breached 5% for the first time since October 2023, with markets pricing about a 90% probability of a 25bp Fed hike. Middle East tensions…
Markets opened the week risk-off after Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline closure, reportedly lasting weeks, and AI leaders' calls to slow development; President Trump's pushback against AI controls limited US equity losses. Brent rose 1.6% to $106.3/bbl and…
The US 10-year Treasury yield has touched 5%, driven mainly by higher real yields for good, bad and ugly reasons, and ING says a 25bp Fed hike may not cap the back end. Whether or not the Fed hikes, the 10yr is liable to test 5% again. A journey toward 6% is…
The ECB raised policy rates by 25bp to 2.50%, a unanimous, scenario-robust decision, reaffirming a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach with no pre-commitment. Inflation risks are tilted to the upside; growth risks to the downside. Lagarde struck a…
Poland's July current account deficit widened to €2.4bn from €2.2bn in June, keeping the 12-month rolling gap at 1.1% of GDP. A larger goods deficit (€1.8bn) and a surprise fall in the services surplus to €2.7bn drove the move. China became Poland's top goods…
MUFG expects the BoJ to raise its uncollateralized overnight call rate target from around 1% to around 1.25% at the September meeting, a move the market has priced with greater than 90% probability. The 10-year JGB yield is likely to remain volatile in the…
A triple threat of AI growth concerns, elevated bond yields and an oil price spike has driven broad risk-off flows, lifting the US dollar. The week ahead is packed with the FOMC, BoE and BoJ, while a 25bp BoJ hike is fully priced and Fed Chair Warsh is…
Natixis US rates technicals flag a significant breakdown in the 5s30s curve, with the next chart target at 39bps and 50% retrace/100% extension confluence at 39.1bps. 2yr yields have broken the 4.54% retracement with little support until 5.04% (April 2024…
Natixis expects the FOMC to raise the policy rate to a 4.0% upper bound at the September 2026 meeting, the first hike in three years and the first under Chair Warsh. August core CPI came in above expectations on one-off factors, cementing hike expectations. A…
Oil gained roughly 2–3% after a Saudi pipeline shutdown and postponed Middle East talks with Iran, pressuring stocks and bonds. Equities fell across major indexes, with Nasdaq down about 1.5%. US Treasury yields were little changed after Friday's CPI-driven…
BNP Paribas' 11 September 2026 markets snapshot shows Brent at $104.73, up 17.1% in a week and 72.1% year to date, alongside gold at $4363. Euro-area yields rose sharply, with Bund 10Y at 3.48% and OAT 10Y at 4.35%, while US Treasury 10Y was 4.97%. EUR/USD…