Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
The ECB hike discount is stretched, but hard to lean against given high uncertainty. Liquidity conditions will continue to tighten. Repo markets should absorb the adjustment, but a higher reserve requirement, year-end pressures or ECB borrowing stigma could…
President Trump's rejection of Iran's proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has revived supply-disruption fears, pushing Brent above USD 107 while global bond yields hit fresh cycle highs. Gold broke below USD 4,230 support and silver tumbled over 4% as…
MUFG argues the macro backdrop remains supportive of a stronger US dollar, with the dollar index near year-to-date highs and next resistance at the 24 June high of 101.80. Oil near USD110/bbl on stalled US-Iran talks keeps upward pressure on US yields;…
The dollar's recent rally faces downside risks as markets await US September jobs data, with October FOMC hike pricing at 16bp. ING expects a consensus 90k payrolls print with possible August revisions lower, keeping hike odds above 50% but unlikely to…
MUFG reviews September central bank week: the ECB and Fed hiked 25bp, the BoE held, and the BoJ hiked 25bp in a 7-2 vote. From 9 to 25 September, US and European curves flattened while Japan's steepened slightly. A split BoJ vote and reflation-linked…
TD Economics reports the global bond selloff intensified, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to a 19-year high of 5.22% on strong PMIs, hawkish Fed unity and weak auction demand. WTI fell 6% to about $94 on Saudi pipeline resumption, though refined products…
MUFG expects the BoE to deliver 25bp hikes in November and February, taking Bank Rate to 4.25%, after hawkish MPC comments and PMI price pressures. UK fiscal headroom has likely shrunk by about £15bn, leaving under £10bn before energy support decisions. In…
The ECB could raise rates in December unless the Gulf crisis resolves quickly, as energy costs push euro area inflation higher while consumption and confidence stay fragile. The UK and Japan are slowing but rate rises are still likely by year-end. In the US,…
Intesa Sanpaolo forecasts Italy's gross government issuance at EUR545bn in 2026, down from an estimated EUR547bn in 2025, with net issuance of EUR100bn. The plan features EUR256bn of BTPs and EUR183bn of BOTs, alongside BTP inflation-linked (EUR34bn), CCTeu…
Natixis expects euro area headline inflation at 3.55% yoy in September, up from 3.25% in August, with core at 2.55% from 2.40%. Rising energy prices are the primary driver: Brent near $102/bbl, up 51% yoy, is set to exert stronger upward pressure on headline.…
This is Intesa Sanpaolo's macroeconomic calendar for 28 September–2 October 2026, listing scheduled data releases and central bank events for the US, eurozone, Germany, France, Italy, Spain, UK, Japan, China and Switzerland. Consensus points to a US September…
Natixis expects one more Fed hike in December and an elevated U.S. Treasury curve, keeping the Mexican peso under pressure. Banxico held its policy rate at 6.50% unanimously in September, stating it will not react mechanically to U.S. monetary policy but will…
The CNB's September minutes read more hawkish than the press conference, with the board judging inflation risks tilted to the upside. Core inflation, services prices, food and an oil-driven energy shock are cited, alongside above-target wage growth. ING…
Commodities showed resilience despite the US 10-year yield hitting a 19-year high above 5.2% and a stronger dollar. Precious metals fell about 2% with gold down 1.8% to test $4,235 support. Industrial metals gained 0.8%, led by copper up 1.5% on tight China…
Energy-market rebalancing is slipping further away. The partial Hormuz blockade, Red Sea disruption and attacks on Saudi infrastructure keep oil and gas prices elevated, lifting inflation and delaying rate cuts. Under the baseline, assuming oil below $80 from…
The dollar starts next week dominant, near two-month highs, supported by a hawkish Fed and Treasury yields at multi-decade peaks; markets price an 83% chance of a further October hike. EUR/USD sits near 1.14 after a 300-pip monthly slide, GBP/USD near 1.32,…
Eurozone M3 money supply grew 3.5% year-on-year in August 2026, up from 3.4% in July, while private-sector credit rose 3.6%. Household loan growth held at 3.1%, corporate loans slowed to 4.2% from 4.4%. The ECB's balance sheet reduction still weighs on M3.…
Scotiabank's week-ahead preview sees September US nonfarm payrolls at 75k with unemployment steady at 4.1%, fading August's 162k as weather, local-government education and leisure hiring reverse. Canada's July GDP is tracked near +0.1% m/m with Q3 around 2%…
MUFG warns that a tougher external backdrop—higher US Treasury yields and Brent above $100/bbl—leaves Asia FX with a narrow path. The next US payrolls report is the key catalyst; consensus expects 100k jobs and unemployment at 4.1%. MUFG keeps a bias for…
The yen is the top performer after Japan's Finance Minister Katayama said President Trump expressed concern over yen weakness, while Growth Minister Kiuchi noted the communication that rate hikes are on the radar. US Treasury yields fell modestly, tightly…