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Asian chip stocks plunged after a Chinese memory design advance by CXMT; the Kospi fell 6.12%, triggering a sell-side curb, with Samsung and SK Hynix hit. US bank earnings and key data (US CPI, Fed speakers) loom. Oil eased to USD 105.50 after Monday's spike,…
RBA minutes show the board unanimously raised the cash rate 25bp to 4.60% in September and remains open to further increases if required. Members cited stronger domestic capacity pressures, higher oil prices and AI-related demand as inflation risks. CBA's…
US equities closed mixed: S&P flat, Dow +0.4%, Nasdaq -0.4%, with memory-chip and semiconductor names down 4-10% after China's CXMT DRAM progress. Brent rose 1.8% to USD106.7/bbl and WTI 2.0% to USD93.7/bbl on Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia and continuing…
Scotiabank keeps its broad growth outlook largely unchanged: US activity is more resilient than earlier estimated after upward revisions (Q2 GDP +2.2%), while Canadian growth holds up and is expected to accelerate in 2027. Tighter financial conditions partly…
ING expects EUR/USD to stay offered in a 1.10-1.15 range into year-end as French debt concerns echo the 2018 Italian episode rather than a Greek-style default. Modest fiscal consolidation should cap the OAT-Bund spread sell-off. A hawkish September Fed and…
ING argues EUR/USD stays pressured in a new 1.10-1.15 range over three to six months, as solid US growth and a hawkish Fed combine with French budget unrest; the French episode is likened to Italy's 2018 election-driven debt stress rather than Greece's 2012…
A weekend attack on Riyadh airport briefly pushed Brent above USD 105.50 before it reversed to near USD 103.70, as resilient crude flows, Russia's partial diesel export ban lift and an energy ceasefire offset tensions. Gold stalled above USD 4,200 at USD…
CommBank's Wage and Labour Insights show annual wage growth steady at 3.3% and quarterly growth unchanged at 0.8% in the three months to September 2026, while monthly annualised growth slowed to 3.3% from 3.5% in August. The bank says the Fair Work…
OCBC's weekly macro view sees global demand stabilising unevenly, led by AI investment. The Fed keeps further rate hikes in play, supporting the USD but capping breakout odds, while French fiscal fears cap EUR upside. Indonesia's headline CPI rose to 3.3% YoY…
OCBC expects US September headline CPI at 0.6% MoM on fuel, with core at 0.2%, while Singapore's advance 3Q26 GDP is seen at 5.7% YoY and MAS is anticipated to steepen the S$NEER slope by 25bps to 1.5%. The 10-year UST yield closed at 5.243% and the S&P 500…
Westpac NZ argues higher fuel costs, a weaker NZD and a soft housing market have shifted the near-term outlook. Annual CPI is expected to dip to 3.7% in September before rising to a three-year high of 4.2% by December, half a point above Westpac's prior…
Westpac's Australia and NZ Weekly argues that statistical revisions — to US PCE inflation, UK productivity and Canadian population — show measurement is imperfect and warrant humility in policy pronouncements. Australian data showed consumer sentiment down…
Scotiabank's Global Week Ahead frames the coming week around US inflation data, the start of Q3 earnings season and central bank communications at the IMF/IIF Annual Meetings in Bangkok. The bank argues the Bank of Canada should fade jobs data and concentrate…
The USD sits near year-to-date highs with momentum easing. MUFG expects the Fed to hold rates this month absent a big September CPI upside surprise, noting recent USD strength increasingly reflects overseas weakness, notably euro area energy-shock and French…
Scotiabank expects no change in Canadian September employment (0k) and unemployment at 6.5%, versus consensus of +10k. US University of Michigan October sentiment is forecast at 47.0, down from 48.1, with consumers bleak on the outlook yet still spending as…
CBA launched the AGSVIX, an implied-volatility gauge for Australian government bonds comparable to the US MOVE index. Although yields rose this year on upside inflation surprises, the index shows uncertainty fell, as modelling attributes volatility swings…
Australia's October Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment Index fell 4.7% to 80.4, back to deeply pessimistic levels; sentiment dropped 20% between responses before and after the RBA's September rate hike. US September payrolls rose just 29k versus 89k expected, with…
Westpac estimates Australia's November monthly CPI at 0.4%mth, holding the annual pace at 3.8%yr. October CPI was flat, trimming the December-quarter trimmed mean estimate to 0.8%qtr/3.2%yr. Electricity (+16%), gas (+3.2%) and auto fuel (+2.3%) lift November,…
Bonds are under pressure from higher oil prices on escalating Strait of Hormuz attacks, renewed EGB fractures, and a hawkish global central bank tone (RBI hike, possible BCRP move). Treasury and Canadian yields rose in bear steepeners, with long-end yields up…
French bonds outperformed, with yields down about 10bp across the curve and spreads over bunds tighter, after National Rally leader Marine Le Pen proposed cutting the deficit from 5-6% to just over 2% by 2032 and called for ECB action. Quebec's election…