Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
The dollar stays firm despite lower oil and risk-friendly sentiment, as hawkish Fed comments dominate. Barkin said one hike may not tame inflation; jobless claims are below 200k and ADP hiring improved. Brent slipped under $100/bbl on Iranian talks and the…
Policymakers appear to be trying to contain 30-year Treasury volatility through buybacks, support for the yen, a more credible hawkish Fed and active curve management. But none of this removes the fiscal deficit, heavy Treasury issuance or AI-driven corporate…
Global financial conditions are tightening as inflation rises and most central banks raise rates, with the PBOC as the exception. Hong Kong retains a major liquidity pool, with IPO fundraising rebounding since 2025 and HIBOR below SOFR. China's RMB usage in…
US equities were mixed as financials rotated into tech, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a record while the Dow fell 0.4%. WTI dropped 5.5% to USD90.52/bbl and Brent fell 1.8% to USD98.53/bbl after Iran signalled the Strait of Hormuz could reopen within seven days…
Brent fell below USD 99/b and WTI traded near USD 90/b as Saudi Arabia moved toward restoring its 7m b/d East-West pipeline and US-Iran contacts were described as 'very productive.' Gold edged lower to about USD 4,340/oz on Fed restrictive-rate signals,…
Euro area September flash PMI rose to a 41-month high of 53.1, beating consensus, with manufacturing firm and services at a 10-month high. The services output price gauge climbed to 56.0, the highest since February 2024, suggesting energy-driven price…
Mixed US-Iran headlines left market pricing of geopolitical risk little changed: Trump's UN threat to "annihilate" Iran was offset by reports of "very productive" official talks. Brent fell 1.9% to US$98.5/bbl; LME copper rose 0.6% to US$14,748/mt on firmer…
SMBC's US economist forecasts a sharp Q3 2026 growth spike to 5.0% annualized, followed by a Q4 slowdown to 0.7%, with core PCE at 3.1% year over year through 2026. Unemployment drifts to 4.0% by 2027. The rates strategy team expects one more 25bp hike in…
The National Bank of Hungary kept its base rate at 5.50% on 22 September 2026, pausing its summer easing cycle with a hawkish tone and a new 2.5% inflation target from 2028. ING expects inflation below 3% for the rest of 2026 before some acceleration, and…
TD Economics expects US growth slightly above trend in 2026/27 on expansionary fiscal policy, loose financial conditions, AI investment and a resilient consumer, with unemployment drifting to 4% by Q1-2027. Core PCE is not seen reaching 2% until Q4-2027, so…
This is a Franklin Templeton insights library index page rather than a single research note. Its article listings show a September 2026 house view that the Federal Reserve, under chair Kevin Warsh, has returned to hiking rates for the first time since 2023;…
SMBC's Joseph Abate examines the trajectory of US Treasury debt service costs. Net interest expense is projected to rise to 4.6% of GDP by 2036 from 3.2% currently, exceeding the 1991 peak when debt/GDP was 44% versus 100% today. Higher rates and a rising…
Monday's S&P 500 gain of 1.49% was carried by Meta, up 11.34%, while the 30-day index volatility measure moved only 0.41%. Single-stock implieds rose, with VXN up 5.70% to 20.39 and dispersion up 7.83% to 35.79. Correlation fell for a third session, COR3M…
The Fed's first rate hike in three years made for a bumpy week in credit. US and Asia USD IG spreads tightened 2-3bp w/w, while HY widened (Asia +10bp, US +2bp) but partially retraced. Asia dollar primary stayed quiet at USD3.3bn, with SoftBank Group expected…
Risk sentiment improved on positive US-China summit headlines, a fourth straight Brent decline to $101.9 and lower long-end Treasury yields; the S&P 500 rose 1.5% and Nasdaq 2.3%, US IG spreads held at 75bp while US high yield tightened 3bp to 264bp. Asia USD…
Hawkish remarks from non-voting Fed officials Goolsbee and Musalem lifted front-end USD rates even as Brent briefly fell below $100/bbl, breaking the usual oil-dollar link. ING sees near-term dollar upside, with DXY possibly reaching 101.0 by month-end, while…
Wall Street rallied on AI and semiconductor strength, with the Nasdaq Composite closing at a record and the Nasdaq 100 up 2.83%. Meta and AMD led gains, AMD crossing a $1 trillion market value. Oil rebounded after four sessions, Brent at $102 and WTI at…
US equities rallied as AI optimism, easing energy prices and positive US-China trade headlines lifted sentiment. S&P 500 rose 1.5% and Nasdaq advanced 2.3% to a record close; Meta jumped 11% on its Muse AI agent, while AMD passed USD1t market cap. Brent fell…
Oil rebounded from four declines, with Brent above USD 101/b and WTI near USD 98/b, as Hormuz, Saudi export, Libyan and Red Sea disruptions offset US-Iran diplomatic hopes. Gold edged up to about USD 4,360/oz as lower oil eased inflation and Fed tightening…
MUFG argues Meta's new consumer AI assistant Muse, which topped US mobile charts and lifted chipmakers AMD and Intel, may mark the next phase of AI growth toward a billion new users. Value could shift from model intelligence to orchestration applications,…