Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Schroders has shifted its RBA view from an extended pause to a near-certain September rate hike following hotter July CPI and strong household spending data. The fund has repositioned by cutting short-end AUD duration, reducing FX exposure, and adjusting US…
SMBC expects the Fed to hike rates in September and December 2026, reversing all 2025 cuts by spring 2027, amid above-target PCE inflation and solid growth. They foresee a flatter yield curve due to a hawkish Fed and Treasury buybacks. AI capex is booming but…
The report discusses how US yield curve dynamics are increasingly driving dollar moves, with a flatter curve being dollar-positive and a steeper curve dollar-negative. ING revises its forecasts to a stronger dollar into year-end due to Fed hawkishness, delays…
MUFG's Middle East Daily report covers oil prices stabilizing despite geopolitical risks, gold rebounding on eased inflation fears, and strong performance in Gulf non-oil sectors, alongside credit market dynamics and Saudi Arabia's return to international…
Danske Bank maintains a constructive global growth view despite energy-driven headwinds, expecting AI investment to support activity for at least a year. Central bank paths diverge: ECB keeps rates at 2.50% through 2027, Fed hikes twice; FX and bond forecasts…
ING believes global long-end bond yields are under persistent upward pressure despite appearing fair in absolute terms. Key drivers include a slow Bank of Japan pushing 30-year JGB yields to 4.2%, US fiscal deficits with the 10-year Treasury yield near 5%,…
Schroders raises equity exposure, particularly in US equities and technology, following a July selloff, while cutting duration and maintaining a cautious stance on credit. The fund increased its equity weight from 35% to 37.4% delta-adjusted, added 1% to both…
Risk sentiment stabilized with US equities closing higher, while oil prices dipped despite geopolitical tensions. OCBC highlights continued Singapore growth momentum with upgraded MAS SPF forecasts, and notes softer US labor data with reduced Fed rate hike…
MUFG's JPY Monthly report for September 2026 highlights the impact of coordinated Japan-US FX intervention (JPY15.4tn since late July) in containing yen weakness, with markets now expecting a BOJ rate hike in September (over 90% priced in) partly due to US…
US dollar softened after weak ADP employment data, but inflation pressures persist due to rising oil and agricultural prices. Asian FX faced mixed moves, with KRW strengthening on robust exports and BNM expected to hold rates. Treasury yields dipped but…
MUFG reports that gold-USD correlation strengthened amid debasement fears from sticky inflation, energy prices, and US fiscal concerns, though Fed rate-hike signals at Jackson Hole eased fears.
Fixed Income Commentary September 3, 2026 Debt Research Bonds/Rates 【 Fixed Income Commentary 】 Differences of opinion among central bank policymakers and implications for term premia (original Japanese report issued on September 3, 2026) Key points ■ Recent…
ING argues that rising US long-term yields are driven by inflation and fiscal deficits, with real yields playing a dominant role due to issuance pressure and AI-driven productivity optimism. The base case sees the 10-year Treasury yield testing 5%, while…
UBS CIO discusses the recent rise in global bond yields and its complex impact on currencies, highlighting that not all high yields support currencies. They favor NOK, NZD, GBP, and CNY for their attractive carry and fiscal foundations, expect EURUSD to move…
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% but delivered a hawkish shift, removing language that the rate was appropriate and warning that upside risks to inflation have increased. This opens the door for rate hikes as early as October, with markets…
The report from OCBC Research on 2 September 2026 highlights a risk-off day in markets, driven by US-Iran conflict escalation and a global bond rout, leading to surging oil prices and higher Treasury yields. Credit spreads widened in IG and HY, while Asia USD…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 2 September 2026 Daily Treasury Outlook Highlights Global: US equities sold off broadly at the start of September as a deepening global bond rout and…
Saxo Bank reports that oil prices surged above USD 95 on heightened US-Iran tensions, which fanned inflation and rate-hike fears, leading to a global selloff in equities and bonds. The yen showed strength on hawkish BoJ rhetoric, and the NZ dollar fell after…
MUFG's Middle East Daily for September 2, 2026, highlights surging oil prices due to renewed US-Iran hostilities, with Brent near $96/b and WTI near $91/b amid heightened Strait of Hormuz risks. Gold declines as inflation and rate hike concerns intensify,…
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% but adopted a hawkish tone, removing language that the current rate is appropriate and warning of increased upside risks to inflation. This has led markets to price in 75-100 bps of hikes by mid-2027, with…