Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Reports that OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate is near USD 50 billion, below earlier estimates of about USD 70 billion, reignited doubts about AI capital spending and drove a semiconductor-led selloff: SOX -3.4%, NDX -1.39%. US jobless claims fell to…
MUFG notes the euro is stabilising after sliding from 1.1600 to 1.1200 on higher global yields, French fiscal concerns before April/May presidential elections and a terms-of-trade hit from refined energy prices. German GDP forecasts were revised up to 1.3%…
The dollar may stay firm near term on a hawkish Fed and fragile markets, with short-lived dips. EUR/USD is back above 1.120 but the French risk premium persists, and 1.110/1.112 could be tested. Canadian September job rebound should support a December BoC…
CBA launched the AGSVIX, an implied-volatility gauge for Australian government bonds comparable to the US MOVE index. Although yields rose this year on upside inflation surprises, the index shows uncertainty fell, as modelling attributes volatility swings…
US equities closed mixed: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.3%, Dow +0.1%, with the semiconductor index down 3.4% on AI-revenue concerns. Brent rose 4.1% above USD104/bbl and WTI 3.6% to USD91.49 on Middle East tensions, though Trump ruled out strikes on Iran before…
MUFG reports the PBOC formally rejected claims that the yuan is undervalued ahead of China-EU trade negotiations, arguing devaluation will not resolve global structural imbalances and pushing back on the IMF. US Treasuries rallied on solid 30-year auction…
Australia's October Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment Index fell 4.7% to 80.4, back to deeply pessimistic levels; sentiment dropped 20% between responses before and after the RBA's September rate hike. US September payrolls rose just 29k versus 89k expected, with…
Peru's August GDP is expected to grow 3.3% y/y, only modestly below July's 3.6%, while Brazil's activity remains sluggish at around 1% y/y. Next week's highlights include US CPI and Latam activity data. Brazilian assets rallied on Bolsonaro's rising election…
Oil retreated after President Trump said the US would not attack Iran before November midterms; Brent traded below USD 103/b and WTI near USD 90/b. Gold advanced toward USD 4,200/oz as lower Treasury yields supported demand, with 10-year breakevens near flat.…
Westpac's review of its 2026 forecasts shows a higher near-term inflation picture but also growth risks, conditions it says favour the RBNZ moving cautiously on the OCR in the lead-up to Christmas. No OCR level, CPI figure or growth number is given in the…
CORRA has frequently set 0-5bps above the BoC's target since mid-2023, with volatility rising and occasional deviations above 5bps. BoC measures — a 5bp deposit-rate cut, more term repos and infrastructure changes — have not fully resolved the pressure,…
French business creations rose 12% y/y over the first eight months of 2026, up from 5.3% in 2025, led by information and communication technologies. Bankruptcies increased 5.3% y/y from January to July, slower than 2025's 3.6% rise, after an 8% q1 surge.…
Peru's central bank unexpectedly held its policy rate at 4.25% for a 13th straight month, contrary to market consensus favoring a hike. Chile's September CPI rose 0.4% m/m, keeping annual inflation at 4.1%, while Mexico's headline inflation edged up to 3.45%…
The ECB's September minutes confirm a unanimous Governing Council view that a worsening inflation outlook and economic resilience justified a 25bp hike to a 2.50% deposit rate, though the tone was less hawkish than President Lagarde's press conference. Some…
September saw Treasury yields surge sharply while high-quality credit spreads barely moved. The 2-year rose 57bp to 4.91%, the 10-year 49bp to 5.21%, and the 30-year reached 5.54%, yet AAA spreads held at 27bp. Lower-quality credit widened significantly: BB…
Saxo's options brief notes the S&P 500 fell 0.22% while the equal-weight index lost 0.78% and the Russell 2000 1.31%, yet index option pricing barely followed. Implied correlation at 11.28 remains elevated while dispersion at 36.11 is middling. A new earnings…
The November 3 midterms could end unified government. The baseline, a Democratic House and a neck-and-neck Senate, implies legislative gridlock while the White House keeps leeway on tariffs, immigration, deregulation and foreign policy. Fiscal sticking…
Gold is caught between macro headwinds and strategic demand. A 3% dollar rally and a 50bp rise in US Treasury yields, with 10-year real yields near 3%, have pushed gold down about 5%. Yet ETF holdings rose to a four-year high of 3,149 tonnes, up 72 tonnes…
The dollar index holds near year-to-date highs as US rate markets cut expected October Fed hikes to about 5bps from 10bps, with FOMC minutes showing no urgency; gains are driven more by euro-area fiscal and political risk than domestic data, as French-German…
September FOMC minutes showed most participants expected another rate increase by year-end, keeping the dollar supported. ING sees DXY grinding toward 102.85 while markets already price a December hike to 4.25% plus 50bp next year. French debt unrest keeps…