Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
UBS CIO keeps a constructive 6-12 month view on risk assets after Brent fell 0.7% to USD 101.5/bbl, Middle East crude exports topped pre-war levels on four of the last seven September days, and the G7 agreed to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude…
MUFG argues the appeal of JGB yields to overseas real-money investors, key for stable absorption, has diminished. After deducting FX hedging costs, relative JGB attractiveness has fallen versus major government bonds, especially at 10-year maturities, because…
As of 2 October 2026, Brent crude rose to $102.25 (+1.8% w/w, +68.0% YTD), gold fell to $4,145 (-4.7% w/w, -4.1% YTD), and the DXY strengthened to 101.93 (+1.5% w/w, +3.7% YTD). US 10-year Treasury yield eased 1.2bp to 5.28%, while Bund 10Y edged up 0.2bp to…
The EU's manufactured goods trade deficit with China reached €400bn over twelve months, driven by a 7% y/y rise in imports in H1 2026. However, exports excluding Germany have stabilised and even grown, with declines concentrated in automotive and electronics.…
MUFG expects the 10-year JGB yield to stay elevated with an upward bias in October, as concerns persist that the BoJ will tighten too slowly. The Fed is projected to hike 25bp on Oct 28 while the BoJ holds on Oct 29-30. Fiscal policy is the key: the FY27…
The report argues that resilient nominal growth, not inflation or fiscal fears, is driving Treasury yields higher, with the 10-year near 5%. Higher borrowing costs are pressuring low-quality credit and narrowing market breadth, yet stocks have stayed near…
Latin American equities stood out as a diversifier in Q3 2026, supported by attractive valuations and an improving policy mix, while global equities stayed resilient despite higher yields. US Q2 GDP grew 2.2% annualised, core inflation reached 3.0%, but…
Spain's 29 November snap election likely hands power to a PP-Vox coalition, with a new cabinet perhaps only in early 2027. Intesa keeps its growth forecasts of 2.5% for 2026 and 1.9% for 2027, as September inflation reached 5% on HICP while core held at 3.2%.…
Societe Generale argues that transaction banking is entering a hybrid phase in which traditional finance and digital assets are combined. It observes that stablecoins are changing cross-border payments, drawing a parallel to the eurodollar market's rise,…
Markets enter the week cautiously after Friday's weak 29k US payrolls print, with politics dominating. Quebec votes tonight: the separatist PQ may win around 30% and a minority or slim majority, yet majorities oppose both the PQ and separation. Quebec already…
Foreign investors held about $9.2 trillion of US Treasury debt at end-2025, roughly 31% of publicly held debt, but foreign holdings have grown more slowly than total Treasury supply. Within foreign holdings, private investors now account for 58.1% versus…
The Iran war and lost Russian refining capacity pushed diesel prices far beyond the move implied by crude oil, flipping the historical diesel-oil spread correlation positive. Using local projections that isolate diesel-specific shocks, Scotiabank estimates a…
The report highlights that a softer US September labor market update and downward PCE inflation revisions dramatically lowered market expectations for an October Fed rate hike, aligning with the house view. In Australia, the RBA delivered its fourth hike of…
Speculative dollar longs against eight IMM futures surged 39% to USD 25.3 billion in the week to 29 September 2026, the highest in four weeks, as the 10-year Treasury yield jumped 27bp to 5.24%. Managed money sold 18 of 25 commodity futures, cutting WTI-Brent…
The US is pursuing a government-led mine-to-magnet strategy combining domestic production, friend-shoring with Australia and Brazil, and recycling to reduce reliance on China's rare earth supply chain. Federal support now includes purchase agreements, price…
Natixis' Q2 2026 EV quarterly reports China EV exports surged more than 120% in H1 2026 while domestic car sales fell over 20% YoY, lifting EVs above 45% of China's car exports. NEV penetration reached 27% globally in Q2 2026, up from 26% in Q1, though NEV…
A weak US September payrolls print of 29k cooled October Fed hike odds to 20%, lifting the Nasdaq 100 to a record close. The euro fell to a new cycle low of 1.1161 against the dollar, pressured by French fiscal turmoil and widening OAT-Bund spreads, which…
Athene executives describe a 'fortress balance sheet' with over $400 billion in total assets, $75 billion of total liquidity excluding private assets, and a $35 billion capital stock they say exceeds public peers, supported by lower leverage, an…
The euro is repricing lower on French fiscal risk, driving broad euro weakness and pushing the dollar index to new 2026 highs. The ECB's tightening cycle is seen as more vulnerable to repricing than the Fed's, leaving EUR/USD under pressure with a 1.1100/1120…
Saudi Aramco's deep OSP cut to Asia and a fresh 100m bbl G7 strategic reserve release push December Brent down 0.7% to USD 101.56/b and WTI to about USD 90/b. Gold opens at USD 4,133/oz, down 0.2% after a 3.4% weekly loss, with sub-20% odds priced for a Fed…