Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
State Street argues that Dividend Aristocrat strategies offer a differentiated way to stay invested in equities amid extreme market concentration in AI-linked mega-cap technology. Global equities are in a fourth consecutive year of double-digit returns, but…
Brent crude has surged above USD 107/b and WTI trades near USD 102/b as Houthi advances toward the Bab al-Mandeb Strait compound existing threats to Saudi and wider Gulf exports, with Riyadh's August output falling 1.9mb/d to 6.24mb/d, the lowest since 1990.…
Oil's spike above USD 100 following escalating Middle East supply disruptions and a Saudi production slump to 6.23 million b/d pushed global bond yields to multi-decade highs, with the 10-year US Treasury approaching 5% and the 2-year at a cycle high above…
Energy prices, not the ECB's widely anticipated hike, are driving rates markets. With Brent above US$100/bbl, the EUR front-end fully discounts three more ECB hikes to a 3.25% deposit rate by mid-2027, and the 10-year Bund yield has topped 3.5% for the first…
ING expects the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25% on Friday, with two more hikes to 1.75% by April 2027. Taiwan's CBC decision is a coin flip between a 12.5bp hike and a hold. China's August activity data should show industrial…
US equities fell about 0.6% as Brent and WTI surged more than 6% to around USD108 and USD103 per barrel, their highest since May, after Iran attacked vessels near the Strait of Hormuz. US August PPI accelerated to 5.4% y/y from 4.8%. Jobless claims fell to…
US producer inflation accelerated to 5.4% YoY in August and energy prices jumped, with Brent up over 6% near USD108 on Strait of Hormuz tensions. Markets price a roughly 70% probability of a 25bp Fed hike at the 15-16 September meeting. The ECB raised its…
Westpac reinstated its call for a 25bp RBA hike in November after the National Accounts showed domestic demand more resilient than expected, with stronger household incomes and a large pipeline of data centre and renewable energy investment slowing…
MUFG's FX Daily Snapshot argues the September 11 US CPI report is pivotal for Fed hike expectations and the dollar. Stronger PPI has lifted implied hikes to 18bp ahead of the FOMC, up from 13bp. An in-line or stronger 0.2% m/m CPI reading would sustain hike…
MUFG expects the September FOMC and BOJ meetings to reinforce a more differentiated Asia FX environment amid Brent above $100/bbl. With the Fed on hold and elevated US yields, a 25bps BOJ hike would tighten global liquidity and risk unwinding yen-funded carry…
MUFG flags that Asia FX and rates resilience to higher US Treasury yields may not persist near-term, since rising yields now reflect tighter policy expectations and higher risk premia, with Brent at $109/bbl and US 10-year yields a whisker from 5%. The desk…
The JPY has been the best-performing G10 currency over the past week, extending its rebound after USD/JPY failed to break back above 160.00 at the start of September and broke below support at 155.00. A 25bps BOJ hike is almost fully priced for the upcoming…
Iranian officials warned they are prepared to escalate the conflict if US attacks continue, driving oil prices sharply higher and global bond yields up on inflation concerns. Brent rose 7.7% to US$109/bbl and WTI gained 8.1% to US$104/bbl, while the S&P 500…
Scotiabank's September 2026 FX Outlook adopts a broadly bearish USD stance, arguing the DXY is in the early stages of a bearish reversal as rate differentials erode and G10 central banks turn hawkish. The Fed is forecast to hold at 3.75% through 2027, while…
Scotiabank Economics analyzes the ECB's September 2026 decision to raise the deposit facility rate by 25bp to 2.50%, the second hike of the cycle. The ECB's revised baseline forecasts show headline inflation at 3.0/2.5/2.1% for 2026/27/28 and core at…
Natixis analyzes Mexico's proposed 2027 budget, which reduces the public sector financing requirement to 3.9% of GDP from 4.1% in 2026, with gross debt rising modestly to 55% of GDP. Revenues are set to increase to 23.0% of GDP on stricter tax deduction…
MUFG forecasts August 2026 US headline CPI at 0.32% MoM (3.3% YoY) and core CPI at 0.23% MoM (2.4% YoY), matching the Bloomberg median consensus. The team assigns roughly 50% probability to a 0.2% core print, 30% to 0.3% and 20% to 0.1%. A 0.2% core outcome…
Natixis reviews the ECB's September 10, 2026 decision to keep its three key policy rates unchanged at 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90%, a move widely expected and likely unanimous. The accompanying staff projections revised headline inflation to 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in…
The National Bank of Poland Governor Adam Glapinski turned less dovish at his September 2026 press conference than in July, signalling an extended period of stable rates rather than a possible cut, as Middle East conflict-driven energy prices lifted August…
The ECB raised its deposit rate to 2.5% in a widely anticipated move, with staff projections showing inflation at 3% this year, 2.5% in 2027, and 2.1% in 2028. Growth forecasts were revised up to 0.9% for 2026 and 1.4% for 2027. The meeting carried a slightly…