Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
MUFG reports the dollar index consolidating just above 102 ahead of Wednesday's US September CPI, with the 2-year Treasury yield down about 20bp from its 29th September peak after softer PCE and NFP data. The rate market prices roughly 5bp of Fed hikes this…
Westpac NZ argues higher fuel costs, a weaker NZD and a soft housing market have shifted the near-term outlook. Annual CPI is expected to dip to 3.7% in September before rising to a three-year high of 4.2% by December, half a point above Westpac's prior…
Westpac's Australia and NZ Weekly argues that statistical revisions — to US PCE inflation, UK productivity and Canadian population — show measurement is imperfect and warrant humility in policy pronouncements. Australian data showed consumer sentiment down…
Scotiabank's Global Week Ahead frames the coming week around US inflation data, the start of Q3 earnings season and central bank communications at the IMF/IIF Annual Meetings in Bangkok. The bank argues the Bank of Canada should fade jobs data and concentrate…
China's growth momentum has improved, as composite PMIs from NBS and RatingDog returned to expansion in September for the first time since June, supported by fiscal measures after Q1 underdelivery. The construction PMI rebounded 3.4 points from a…
The global economy stays resilient despite a renewed energy shock that hits Europe harder than the US, with AI, defence and energy-transition capex driving near-trend growth. Inflation remains elevated, keeping the ECB, Fed and BoE hawkish; ABN AMRO expects…
Italy has passed a new electoral law aimed at curbing fragmentation and encouraging pre-election coalitions, which briefly tightened the 10Y BTP-Bund spread but left the move limited given implementation risk. Natixis forecasts the spread at 90bp by end-2026…
MUFG expects Asia FX to trade range-bound in the week ahead, driven by US September CPI, Treasury yields and China activity, inflation and credit data. A softer US inflation print would support high-yielding Asian currencies and help stem equity outflows,…
Natixis's Americas note flags Brazilian election victory for Bolsonaro alongside a surprise Peru hold: BCRP kept its policy rate at 4.25% when a 25bp hike was expected, citing low supercore inflation of 1.8% y/y despite headline at 4.5%. The note also says…
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is set for its first weekly gain in three, up 1.7% and 35% year-to-date, with all sectors higher. Brent holds above $100 while diesel and gasoil exceed $200 on >10% refining capacity loss. Gold recovers toward $4,200 as ETF…
Natixis expects September core CPI at 0.19% m/m and headline CPI at 0.6% m/m, both in line with consensus, reinforcing its view that underlying inflation keeps drifting lower. It sees little evidence of reacceleration: tariff and energy shocks are acyclical…
MUFG notes the euro is stabilising after sliding from 1.1600 to 1.1200 on higher global yields, French fiscal concerns before April/May presidential elections and a terms-of-trade hit from refined energy prices. German GDP forecasts were revised up to 1.3%…
ING expects the Monetary Authority of Singapore to tighten policy modestly, lifting the SGD NEER band slope to about 1.5% annual appreciation, alongside robust third-quarter GDP. India's CPI is seen accelerating sharply to 5.4% on food and fuel. China's CPI…
US equities closed mixed: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.3%, Dow +0.1%, with the semiconductor index down 3.4% on AI-revenue concerns. Brent rose 4.1% above USD104/bbl and WTI 3.6% to USD91.49 on Middle East tensions, though Trump ruled out strikes on Iran before…
MUFG reports the PBOC formally rejected claims that the yuan is undervalued ahead of China-EU trade negotiations, arguing devaluation will not resolve global structural imbalances and pushing back on the IMF. US Treasuries rallied on solid 30-year auction…
Natixis feedback from BMW's Capital Markets Day: BMW introduces an intermediate 2028 Automotive EBIT margin guidance of 3-5% (vs 1-3% for FY2026), with the 8-10% target pushed to the early 2030s. Fixed cost cuts (+1.5pp), variable cost cuts (+0.5pp) and PPA…
Taiwan's September trade surplus reached a record US$3.6bn, exceeding the prior month's US$22.3bn figure as reported, with exports up 60.9% YoY to a six-month high and imports up 51.7% YoY. Growth was concentrated in machinery and electrical equipment,…
German exports fell 0.8% month-on-month in August 2026, a second straight decline after -0.5% in July, while imports rose 0.9% and the trade surplus widened to €19.5bn. ING flags low river water levels as a possible drag. Structurally, China's share of German…
For two decades, low Asian labour costs suppressed global goods inflation, but ageing populations and rising incomes are eroding that disinflationary impulse. Manufacturing is shifting to capital, technology and power, with AI supply chains concentrated in…
Westpac New Zealand Economics has revised its 2026/27 farmgate milk price forecast up by 25c to $9.75/kg, citing stronger than expected milk powder prices and shifting global demand from fats to proteins. A confirmed super-sized El Niño presents upside risk…