Man Group's framework, based on Coasean transaction cost economics, argues AI simultaneously lowers contract enforcement costs (favoring outsourcing/fragmentation) and coordination costs (favoring integration/consolidation). The net effect depends on industry…
UBS CIO assesses the AI trade amid circular financing concerns. Robust demand, strong monetization, and rising advance orders support a constructive view on AI infrastructure. Despite risks from circular financing and hyperscaler free cash flow, the bank…
China's central bank accelerated gold purchases in July, adding 640,000 ounces, marking the 21st consecutive month of buying. This reflects a strategic diversification of reserves amid price weakness. Other key insights include softer July inflation data,…
OCBC Research flags that the July US jobs report appears weak despite a lower unemployment rate, as falling labor force participation masks underlying hiring stalls. The firm argues this supports the Fed holding rates steady in September and questions the…
Apollo highlights sports as a $2.5 trillion global industry with media rights exceeding $60 billion annually, noting assets compounding at 13% per year for six decades. Institutional capital entry is still early, and most franchises remain under-levered at…
Barclays Research highlights that the rapid growth of AI will significantly increase US energy demand and competition for land with utility access, with implications for the grid, consumers, and corporate sustainability. Analysts Will Thompson and Betty Jiang…
Franklin Templeton's Global Macro team highlights that the renewed Middle East conflict in July 2026 lifted oil prices and pushed sovereign yields higher, while favoring select developed and emerging markets with positive fundamentals and supply chain…
HSBC's ninth Funding the Future Survey, covering over 200 global investors with USD2.32trn AUM, finds improving sentiment but increasing concentration in AI and mega-deals. Private market investors are more optimistic over 12 months than the next quarter,…
The report contrasts the credit market dynamics between U.S. dollar and euro investment grade bonds, highlighting how artificial intelligence (AI) investment is a key differentiator. It notes that U.S. IG bonds have outperformed euro IG due to stronger…
Invesco's global market strategist argues that despite dramatic headlines on oil, inflation, Fed policy, tech consolidation, and Japan, the broader market backdrop remains constructive. The report emphasizes that these disruptions are unlikely to change the…
HSBC highlights the growing consumer surplus from free personal-use AI tools, estimating US$172bn in early 2026, rising to US$250bn by 2027 (0.8% of US GDP, 1.5% of consumer spending). The surplus stems from avoided purchases and saved time, with larger…
UBS CIO highlights strong US earnings and easing rate expectations as drivers of sustained risk-on sentiment. They maintain a constructive outlook on equities, favor quality short- and medium-maturity bonds, and recommend diversification away from…
Apollo's 2026 Midyear Credit Outlook highlights that while credit fundamentals remain resilient, record financing needs and tight spreads leave little room for error. AI adoption is creating a divide across credit markets, with financing the AI buildout…
Citi's regulatory update highlights global regulators' focus on AI risks, UK fund management reforms, and T+1 settlement preparations. Key developments include the FCA's Mills review on AI in retail finance, MAS's agentic AI framework, ESRB's upgrade of…
RBC Economics reports that Canada's labour market improved again in July 2026, with employment rising 75k and unemployment falling to a two-year low of 6.4%. Job growth is being supported by strong gains in manufacturing, construction, and services, while…
RBC Economics expects the July CPI to show a modest core increase of 0.2% m/m (2.4% y/y) and headline of 0.1% m/m (3.3% y/y), with core services staying sticky due to wage growth and demographics, while shelter and airfares offer some relief. Core PPI is…
Schroders' July 2026 commentary analyzes the AI-driven semiconductor selloff, attributing it to stretched positioning, rising bond yields, and AI profitability concerns. The fund turned cautious early, then bought the dip, increasing equity, credit, and…
SMBC anticipates modest July inflation and retail sales prints, expects the Treasury to maintain bill issuance and higher Q4 net supply, and highlights elevated implied volatility and term premium due to Fed communication uncertainty. They propose an auction…
Invesco's SteelPath team discusses the midstream energy sector, emphasizing its decoupling from crude oil prices, the growth driven by LNG exports and data center power demand, the resilience in inflationary environments via CPI/PPI-linked fees, and the…
Schroders' July commentary argues that bond markets have stopped trusting central bank guidance, with the Fed's hold despite hawkish dissent being read as jawboning rather than action, while the RBA's soft inflation data suggests its tightening cycle is…