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Templeton Global Macro is best known for its unconstrained approach to global fixed income investing, looking beyond traditional fixed income benchmarks for the most compelling opportunities. Led by macroeconomic and in-depth country research, the team makes active allocations across yield curve, currencies and credit to diversify and take advantage of different economic cycles around the world. The team’s investment insights come from their rigorous academic analysis and on-the-ground-research. Here, the team shares their views on various global economic topics.
Click here for the team’s current and past ESG Papers. Click here for the team’s current and past Global Macro Shifts papers.
Global Macro Insights: July 2026
July saw the renewed Middle East conflict weigh on financial markets, lift oil prices and push sovereign yields higher, according to the Templeton Global Macro team. We continue to favor select developed and emerging markets with positive fundamentals and particularly those that can leverage changes in the global supply chain.
Emerging markets: Resilience and divergence in the face of the latest oil shock
Emerging markets have grown more resilient, according to the Templeton Global Macro team, and the Iran-driven oil shock is a fresh test. Impacts will likely diverge between oil importers and exporters and vary widely within each group.
An update on our ESG scores: April 2026
In their latest publication, Templeton Global Macro highlights recent changes for developed and emerging markets in its ESG Index, including an increasing number of countries with positive momentum.
Quarterly Economic Outlook: First quarter 2026
Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2026, Templeton Global Macro CIO Michael Hasenstab believes there are several sources of potential economic policy concern in major economies. Find out more.
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AI analysis
AI-generated from the report above · not a translation and not the institution's wording · verify against the official source
Key arguments
- The renewed Middle East conflict in July lifted oil prices and pushed sovereign yields higher.
- The team favors select developed and emerging markets with positive fundamentals and supply chain leverage.
- Emerging markets have grown more resilient, but the Iran-driven oil shock will have divergent impacts on importers and exporters.
- Several sources of potential economic policy concern are expected in major economies in Q1 2026.
Risks
- Escalation of the Middle East conflict could further lift oil prices and weigh on risk assets.
- Divergent impacts of the oil shock may create uncertainty for emerging markets.
- Potential policy missteps in major economies could affect global growth.