Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Markets fully price a consensus 25bp Fed hike to 4.0%, with 52bp by year-end and 89bp by June. A surprise hold would hit the dollar hard via front-end repricing and a Treasury selloff, but the Fed is mindful of that risk, keeping a hold unlikely and arguing…
Brent retreated toward USD 107/b and WTI traded near USD 104/b after a supply-driven rally looked technically stretched, with API data showing US crude inventories up 7.1mb plus gasoline and distillate builds. Supply risks persist: Saudi Arabia's East-West…
Markets brace for an almost certain 25bp Fed hike to 3.75–4.00% after hot core CPI. The 10-year Treasury briefly breached 5%, a 2007 high, before easing; the 2-year hit 4.686%. Equities fell as oil and yields rose. Brent settled near $109, up ~20% in…
The Fed raised its policy rate 25bp in September, and the SEP signals another hike this year and possibly one more in 2027 if inflation does not cool quickly. Core PCE has reaccelerated above 3% y/y, while headline inflation is elevated by energy. Chair Warsh…
Markets had a quiet but nervous overnight session. Brent settled 2.7% higher near US$108.5/bbl as the Saudi East-West pipeline closure increasingly looks likely to last weeks, not days, and Saudi crude cargo cancellations were reported at a key port. Higher…
A 25bp Fed hike is almost fully discounted, taking the funds target range to 3.75-4%. ING calls 25bp but flags a 50bp 'insurance hike' as the move that could give Chair Warsh control and tame the back end, at the risk of market instability. Term premium can…
Wellington argues the Hormuz closure and oil spike matter less as a rate-hike trigger than as a lens on a structural shift: supply-chain fragmentation, fiscal deficits, deglobalization and AI/infrastructure capital demand are all raising the cost of capital.…
SMBC argues the Fed is unlikely to stop at one hike: historically it has only reversed a single 25bp move once, in 1997, when the Asian crisis intervened. With inflation above target for nearly six years, demand strengthening, and Chicago Fed financial…
State Street's Investment Solutions Group keeps an overweight equity allocation, citing resilient activity, a stable labor market and improving risk appetite, with its Market Regime Indicator at its lowest since early 2024. Still, expected equity returns…
Oil is higher but modest, with Brent at US$106 and WTI at US$102, pressing long-end bond yields on inflation fears. Markets price each of the Fed, BoC, ECB, BoE and BoJ for roughly 50bps of hikes by year-end. Equities slip broadly. Canadian existing home…
State Street expects the FOMC to hike on September 16 and again in December after August core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, though it disputes the case for tightening. The ECB delivered a second 25bp hike to a 2.50% deposit rate and signalled more. The BoJ is expected…
The chip complex fell 5.9% and Nvidia 3.4%, while software rose 5.04% and healthcare 1.45%; the S&P 500 lost 0.48% but its equal-weighted version added 0.04%. VIX closed 17.10, above the top of its weekly range, while overnight about 10 points of volatility…
Ahead of the September 2026 FOMC, Intesa Sanpaolo calls the decision a close call, with markets assigning roughly 90% probability to a hike to 3.75-4% and fully pricing two hikes by year-end. The report had previously expected a December move but now sees a…
Barclays publishes a treasurer's playbook for the full M&A lifecycle. Early decisions on credit strategy, leverage, liquidity and funding mix can shape transaction success; planning around timelines, deleveraging and contingencies improves execution…
Escalating Middle East conflict, including constrained flows through Hormuz and the Saudi East-West pipeline, points to higher-for-longer energy prices. ABN AMRO revises eurozone inflation to peak near 4% and return to target only by Q4 2027, with 2027…
In August 2026, EM debt proved resilient. Hard currency sovereigns returned +0.89% (JP Morgan EMBI GD), led by spread tightening of 10bps to ~235bps, as Treasury yields steadied at 4.75% on the 10-year. Local currency debt returned +0.90% (GBI-EM GD), driven…
Emerging market hard currency bonds outperformed in August 2026, with shorter-maturity bonds leading year-to-date as higher US Treasury term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks under pressure long duration. The 10-year US Treasury ended at 4.75%,…
Short-dated EM hard currency bonds outperformed longer-dated paper over the first eight months of 2026, as rising US 10-year Treasury yields, higher term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks tested duration. EM hard currency spreads stayed firm,…
AI-slowdown warnings hit semiconductors and lifted volatility, while markets priced a 92% chance of a 25bp Fed hike to 3.75%-4.00%. The US 10-year yield cleared 5.02% for its highest since 2007. Brent stayed below $110 for a fourth day on Middle East supply…
QQQ closed at USD 709.18 on 14 September 2026 as the VIX rose about 8% to 17.10 and crude settled at USD 104.01, up 3.96%. Yet QQQ implied volatility was only 18.26%, with an implied volatility rank of 26, about a quarter up its one-year range. The 16 October…