Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
ING expects the ECB to raise rates by 25bp next week as an insurance move against energy-driven inflation, but doubts further hikes beyond September because the economy is resilient rather than overheating. They emphasize the importance of avoiding additional…
The report from OCBC Research on 2 September 2026 highlights a risk-off day in markets, driven by US-Iran conflict escalation and a global bond rout, leading to surging oil prices and higher Treasury yields. Credit spreads widened in IG and HY, while Asia USD…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 2 September 2026 Daily Treasury Outlook Highlights Global: US equities sold off broadly at the start of September as a deepening global bond rout and…
Scotiabank Economics reports that bonds and stocks are simultaneously cheapening due to renewed Iran hostilities and inflation concerns, while central banks like the Bank of Canada, RBNZ, and RBA are making key decisions amidst mixed economic data. The BoC is…
The global economy shows resilience despite geopolitical uncertainty and rising energy prices. The Fed is expected to cut rates in December, while the ECB may hike precautionarily. Swedish GDP growth is revised up to 2.7% in 2026. The Riksbank is expected to…
Important disclosures and certifications are contained from page 9 of this report. https://research.danskebank.com Macro Research • Economic activity has proved more resilient than expected over the summer despite negative supply shocks from higher energy…
Natixis expects the August US Employment Situation Report to show nonfarm payroll gains of only 25k, below the consensus of 55k, with the unemployment rate rising slightly to 4.2% due to higher prime-age labor force participation. The report indicates…
Natixis reports that Hong Kong's re-export trade is being rewired: it plays a smaller role in distributing Chinese-made goods but a larger role in sourcing foreign goods for China and intermediating trade between overseas markets. This shift is driven by tech…
Intesa Sanpaolo expects structurally high real EUR swap rates in 2027, with the 10-year real rate gradually declining to 0.99% by December 2027. The 10-year EUR inflation swap is seen stabilising around 2.2% in late 2026 and falling below 2% by end-2027. The…
MUFG notes the yen strengthened overnight as hawkish Bank of Japan comments, including from Governor Ueda, boosted expectations for a rate hike at the upcoming September meeting. However, the yen rally has been limited by surging energy prices due to…
Natixis analyzes the proposals from French far-left parties to cancel or restructure France's public debt held by the Eurosystem/Bank of France. The report argues that such proposals are legally, institutionally, and financially problematic, likely to…
In August 2026, Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.26% y/y, above Natixis's estimate of 3.20%, while core inflation fell to 2.41% y/y, below the forecast of 2.50%. Energy price growth accelerated significantly, offsetting easing services inflation.…
Headline eurozone inflation rose to 3.3% in August, the highest since the start of the Middle East war, driven by energy prices, while core inflation fell back to 2.4%, indicating limited pass-through. The ECB may hike in September, but the benign core rate…
Amundi expects France's GDP to grow modestly at 0.6% in 2026 and around 1.0% in 2027, with inflation easing to 1.7% by Q4 2027. The fiscal position is under scrutiny, with debt at 118% of GDP and a deficit of 5.1%. The 2027 budget is pivotal; credible…
The dollar is struggling to hold gains despite hawkish Fed expectations, with long-end Treasury yields and the debasement trade weighing on it. However, ING expects hawkish Fed repricing to support USD this week, with DXY potentially reclaiming 100.0. EUR/USD…
Saxo Bank reports renewed US-Iran hostilities lifting crude above $91, while global bond yields spike with the US 10-year topping 4.75% for the first time in 19 months. Equities decline amid inflation concerns, crypto equities rebound, and gold steadies after…
ING Think's report re-examines Europe's productivity gap with the US, arguing that the gap is concentrated in the digital sector, that policy reforms could yield larger gains in Europe, that institutional improvements since the euro crisis have strengthened…
Eurozone inflation rose to 3.3% y/y in August 2026, driven entirely by energy prices, with core inflation easing. Intesa Sanpaolo expects the ECB to hike rates once more in September, but sees reduced odds of further increases unless Middle East conflicts…
ING highlights divergent dynamics across the yield curve: while front-end rates remain anchored by hawkish central bank pricing, long-end yields face upward pressure from fiscal deficits, supply concerns, and tech-driven growth expectations, with US…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…