Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Wellington argues the Hormuz closure and oil spike matter less as a rate-hike trigger than as a lens on a structural shift: supply-chain fragmentation, fiscal deficits, deglobalization and AI/infrastructure capital demand are all raising the cost of capital.…
MUFG revises its BoJ policy rate scenario and now expects the next hike at the September 17-18 MPM to 1.25%, followed by 1.50% in January 2027 and a terminal rate of 1.75% in June 2027. The revision reflects Governor Ueda's pledge to hold a thorough…
The Bank of Japan is expected to raise its policy rate 25bp to 1.25% on 18 September, the shortest interval this cycle, pressured by coordinated US-Japan yen intervention, Washington's call for higher rates and a hawkish Board tilt. With wages and producer…
SMBC argues the Fed is unlikely to stop at one hike: historically it has only reversed a single 25bp move once, in 1997, when the Asian crisis intervened. With inflation above target for nearly six years, demand strengthening, and Chicago Fed financial…
State Street's Investment Solutions Group keeps an overweight equity allocation, citing resilient activity, a stable labor market and improving risk appetite, with its Market Regime Indicator at its lowest since early 2024. Still, expected equity returns…
Oil is higher but modest, with Brent at US$106 and WTI at US$102, pressing long-end bond yields on inflation fears. Markets price each of the Fed, BoC, ECB, BoE and BoJ for roughly 50bps of hikes by year-end. Equities slip broadly. Canadian existing home…
State Street expects the FOMC to hike on September 16 and again in December after August core CPI rose 0.3% m/m, though it disputes the case for tightening. The ECB delivered a second 25bp hike to a 2.50% deposit rate and signalled more. The BoJ is expected…
The chip complex fell 5.9% and Nvidia 3.4%, while software rose 5.04% and healthcare 1.45%; the S&P 500 lost 0.48% but its equal-weighted version added 0.04%. VIX closed 17.10, above the top of its weekly range, while overnight about 10 points of volatility…
Ahead of the September 2026 FOMC, Intesa Sanpaolo calls the decision a close call, with markets assigning roughly 90% probability to a hike to 3.75-4% and fully pricing two hikes by year-end. The report had previously expected a December move but now sees a…
Barclays publishes a treasurer's playbook for the full M&A lifecycle. Early decisions on credit strategy, leverage, liquidity and funding mix can shape transaction success; planning around timelines, deleveraging and contingencies improves execution…
Escalating Middle East conflict, including constrained flows through Hormuz and the Saudi East-West pipeline, points to higher-for-longer energy prices. ABN AMRO revises eurozone inflation to peak near 4% and return to target only by Q4 2027, with 2027…
In August 2026, EM debt proved resilient. Hard currency sovereigns returned +0.89% (JP Morgan EMBI GD), led by spread tightening of 10bps to ~235bps, as Treasury yields steadied at 4.75% on the 10-year. Local currency debt returned +0.90% (GBI-EM GD), driven…
Emerging market hard currency bonds outperformed in August 2026, with shorter-maturity bonds leading year-to-date as higher US Treasury term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks under pressure long duration. The 10-year US Treasury ended at 4.75%,…
Short-dated EM hard currency bonds outperformed longer-dated paper over the first eight months of 2026, as rising US 10-year Treasury yields, higher term premia, fiscal concerns and hawkish Fed remarks tested duration. EM hard currency spreads stayed firm,…
Europe has lifted defence spending from roughly 1.4% of GDP in 2019 to an estimated 2.4% in 2026, en route to 3.5% by 2035, ING writes. The remaining 1.1 percentage points implies only about 0.1pp of GDP per year, or roughly €50 per person annually over a…
UK private sector payrolls fell another 34k in August, down 0.8% year-on-year, with retail and hospitality job losses exceeding 3% annualised. Private sector wage growth appears to have floored at 2.9%, or about 3.3% adjusted for compositional effects. ING…
AI-slowdown warnings hit semiconductors and lifted volatility, while markets priced a 92% chance of a 25bp Fed hike to 3.75%-4.00%. The US 10-year yield cleared 5.02% for its highest since 2007. Brent stayed below $110 for a fourth day on Middle East supply…
QQQ closed at USD 709.18 on 14 September 2026 as the VIX rose about 8% to 17.10 and crude settled at USD 104.01, up 3.96%. Yet QQQ implied volatility was only 18.26%, with an implied volatility rank of 26, about a quarter up its one-year range. The 16 October…
The dollar finally aligned with supportive drivers: elevated front-end rates, oil near $107, and soft risk sentiment. DXY notched its strongest session since the Jackson Hole speech. USD/JPY briefly hit 155 and may extend to 156-157. The Fed hiked as…
Citi's Supply Chain Financing report finds global trade durable through 2025 tariff shocks. Payment flows stayed strong; shipping normalized. From 2019-2024, North & East Asia exports shifted to emerging markets (Latin America +59%, Middle East & Africa +52%,…