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Fixed Income Commentary September 3, 2026 Debt Research Bonds/Rates 【 Fixed Income Commentary 】 Differences of opinion among central bank policymakers and implications for term premia (original Japanese report issued on September 3, 2026) Key points ■ Recent…
UBS CIO discusses the recent rise in global bond yields and its complex impact on currencies, highlighting that not all high yields support currencies. They favor NOK, NZD, GBP, and CNY for their attractive carry and fiscal foundations, expect EURUSD to move…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 2 September 2026 Daily Treasury Outlook Highlights Global: US equities sold off broadly at the start of September as a deepening global bond rout and…
Scotiabank Economics reports that bonds and stocks are simultaneously cheapening due to renewed Iran hostilities and inflation concerns, while central banks like the Bank of Canada, RBNZ, and RBA are making key decisions amidst mixed economic data. The BoC is…
Natixis expects the August US Employment Situation Report to show nonfarm payroll gains of only 25k, below the consensus of 55k, with the unemployment rate rising slightly to 4.2% due to higher prime-age labor force participation. The report indicates…
Natixis reports that Hong Kong's re-export trade is being rewired: it plays a smaller role in distributing Chinese-made goods but a larger role in sourcing foreign goods for China and intermediating trade between overseas markets. This shift is driven by tech…
Westpac IQ's review of NZ building consents for July 2026 indicates residential consent levels remain elevated despite a monthly slip, with a positive outlook for home building activity into 2027, supported by strong regional growth in Auckland and…
Westpac comments on the RBNZ September 2026 MPS, viewing it as balanced with a hawkish bias. The bank expects the OCR to remain on hold in October and then be hiked in December, with upside risks to inflation keeping the option for further hikes alive.
MUFG notes the yen strengthened overnight as hawkish Bank of Japan comments, including from Governor Ueda, boosted expectations for a rate hike at the upcoming September meeting. However, the yen rally has been limited by surging energy prices due to…
Important disclosures and certifications are contained from page 8 of this report. https://research.danskebank.com Macro Research August inflation is expected to show core inflation at 0.74% year -on -year, CPIF at 1 .00 % and CPI at 0.59%. All tax cuts and…
Natixis analyzes the proposals from French far-left parties to cancel or restructure France's public debt held by the Eurosystem/Bank of France. The report argues that such proposals are legally, institutionally, and financially problematic, likely to…
In August 2026, Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.26% y/y, above Natixis's estimate of 3.20%, while core inflation fell to 2.41% y/y, below the forecast of 2.50%. Energy price growth accelerated significantly, offsetting easing services inflation.…
Westpac reports a 3.6% month-on-month decline in total Australian dwelling approvals for July, with the annual pace easing to 9.0%yr. Weakness was driven by a 4.2%mth fall in private detached dwelling approvals, while private unit approvals edged down 0.4%mth…
OCBC's Daily Treasury Outlook covers market reactions to renewed US-Iran hostilities, which lifted oil prices and weighed on US equities, while global data showed India's strong GDP growth, China's PMI improving but still in contraction, and Japan's retail…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…
Scotiabank Economics reports that Chile's GDP contracted 1.5% y/y in July 2026, with rising risks of a third consecutive quarterly contraction in Q3-26, and expects the central bank to slash its 2026 growth forecast to 0.25%-0.75% in next week's MPR. In Peru,…
MUFG has revised its USD/PHP forecasts slightly higher, expecting the pair to trade around 62.00 in 2H 2026 before declining to 61.00 by 1H 2027. The revision reflects USD/PHP breaking above 62.00, elevated oil prices, and sticky US yields. However, MUFG…
MUFG's FX Daily Snapshot discusses the muted US dollar gains following Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech, as rising energy prices and upcoming central bank meetings across G10 curtail dollar buying. The report highlights a close call for Fed rate…
GLOBAL ECONOMICS Visit our website at scotiabank.com/economics | Follow us on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics | Contact us by email at scotia.economics@scotiabank.com SCOTIABANK FORECAST September 9, 2026 Contributors Olivier Gervais Director, Modelling and…
Invesco's Global Head of Research, Benjamin Jones, analyzes the Federal Reserve's stance after Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, expecting the Fed to remain on hold for the rest of the year. He anticipates reduced forward guidance to widen outcome…