Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Scotiabank's weekly preview argues Canadian core inflation remains at or above the BoC's 2% target, with traditional core running near 3% m/m SAAR for four straight months and another firm print expected, supporting the view that policy is too loose. BoC…
Rate decisions dominate Asia's week: BSP is expected to hike 25bp due to strong September inflation, while Bank Indonesia holds at 5.75% and Bank of Korea holds at 3.0%. China's Q3 GDP is seen at 4.4% YoY, with retail sales and industrial production…
MUFG expects the Philippine central bank to raise its policy rate 25bp to 5.25% on higher oil prices and Super El Niño risk, while the Bank of Korea is seen holding at 3.00% after back-to-back hikes. Bank Indonesia is widely expected to hold at 5.75%, though…
Asia's economy stays supported by a robust AI investment cycle, though momentum is moderating and benefits remain concentrated in semiconductors. Inflation is broadening across most of Asia, with core pressures firming in Taiwan, Singapore and the…
Westpac's October 2026 Outlook says markets have had little respite: bond yields have jumped, led by US 10-year benchmarks up 27bps above 5% and French bonds up 40bps, driven by real yields after the Fed's September hike. Westpac expects one more Fed hike,…
The dollar gave back gains made after a stronger-than-expected September US CPI, with the index falling from a year-to-date high of 102.95 toward 102.00. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped about 18bps to 4.95% post-CPI before retreating to near 4.70%. MUFG…
MAS sprang a surprise by leaving its exchange-rate policy stance unchanged in October, versus consensus for very slight tightening. MUFG reads the forward guidance as implying Singapore's central bank stays on hold, with the appreciating S$NEER band leaning…
Korean chip stocks fell 6.12% overnight, breaking the Kospi below 6,000 and triggering a sell-side curb, while the S&P 500 closed virtually unchanged at 7,807.24. The divergence reflected low three-month implied correlation (11.75) and dispersion, not a broad…
Scotiabank keeps its broad growth outlook largely unchanged: US activity is more resilient than earlier estimated after upward revisions (Q2 GDP +2.2%), while Canadian growth holds up and is expected to accelerate in 2027. Tighter financial conditions partly…
MUFG argues AI's capital-intensive expansion has become a singular secular theme pushing global capital markets into a new regime. Combined annual debt and equity issuance is seen exceeding $5 trillion in 2026 (equity $462bn, debt $3.6tn annualized), while…
ING's October 2026 Asia FX outlook sees more two-way risk in USD/CNY after the pair stabilised near 6.70, with 6.67 flagged as the likely lower end of this year's range and a 6.67-6.92 band for 2026. The won stays resilient on a broadening chip export boom,…
MUFG expects Asia FX to trade range-bound in the week ahead, driven by US September CPI, Treasury yields and China activity, inflation and credit data. A softer US inflation print would support high-yielding Asian currencies and help stem equity outflows,…
A reported shortfall in OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate near USD 50 billion triggered a 3.4% drop in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, with Broadcom, AMD, and Nvidia leading declines. Despite the selloff, VIX sits at its three-month median (15.41),…
Reports that OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate is near USD 50 billion, below earlier estimates of about USD 70 billion, reignited doubts about AI capital spending and drove a semiconductor-led selloff: SOX -3.4%, NDX -1.39%. US jobless claims fell to…
US equities closed mixed: S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq -1.3%, Dow +0.1%, with the semiconductor index down 3.4% on AI-revenue concerns. Brent rose 4.1% above USD104/bbl and WTI 3.6% to USD91.49 on Middle East tensions, though Trump ruled out strikes on Iran before…
Nomura forecasts fewer rate hikes than markets price, viewing this as a resumption of hiking cycles with policy rates near or above neutral and inflation largely cost-push. It expects a Fed hike in December then an extended hold, two ECB hikes to a 3.00% depo…
September 2026 was the worst month of the year for US IG (-2.72%), US HY (-2.52%) and Asia IG (-2.04%) total returns, with Asia USD HY relatively resilient at -1.20%. The Fed's first hike in roughly three years pushed the 10Y UST to a 2026 high of 5.29% (30Y…
Natixis' Q2 2026 EV quarterly reports China EV exports surged more than 120% in H1 2026 while domestic car sales fell over 20% YoY, lifting EVs above 45% of China's car exports. NEV penetration reached 27% globally in Q2 2026, up from 26% in Q1, though NEV…
US headline PCE inflation held at 3.4% YoY and core at 3.0% in August, still above the Fed's 2% goal, with energy rebounding 2.3% MoM and goods inflation rising to 3.6% from 3.3%. Pay growth slowed to 0.1% MoM and 3.0% YoY, signaling labor slack. Australia's…
September US nonfarm payrolls rose just 29k versus 90k consensus, with unemployment at 4.2% and wage growth at 0.1% m/m, weakening the case for an October Fed hike. Yet the 10-year Treasury yield rebounded intraday from 5.15% to about 5.29% and the 2-year…