Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
MUFG's JPY Monthly report for September 2026 highlights the impact of coordinated Japan-US FX intervention (JPY15.4tn since late July) in containing yen weakness, with markets now expecting a BOJ rate hike in September (over 90% priced in) partly due to US…
UBS CIO discusses the recent rise in global bond yields and its complex impact on currencies, highlighting that not all high yields support currencies. They favor NOK, NZD, GBP, and CNY for their attractive carry and fiscal foundations, expect EURUSD to move…
The report from OCBC Research on 2 September 2026 highlights a risk-off day in markets, driven by US-Iran conflict escalation and a global bond rout, leading to surging oil prices and higher Treasury yields. Credit spreads widened in IG and HY, while Asia USD…
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% but adopted a hawkish tone, removing language that the current rate is appropriate and warning of increased upside risks to inflation. This has led markets to price in 75-100 bps of hikes by mid-2027, with…
It makes sense to ask whether stocks can add to the double-digit gains they have delivered so far this year in the face of a steady increase in government bond yields. Rising yields lead to higher commercial borrowing costs and also reduce…
Natixis expects the August US Employment Situation Report to show nonfarm payroll gains of only 25k, below the consensus of 55k, with the unemployment rate rising slightly to 4.2% due to higher prime-age labor force participation. The report indicates…
Natixis reports that Hong Kong's re-export trade is being rewired: it plays a smaller role in distributing Chinese-made goods but a larger role in sourcing foreign goods for China and intermediating trade between overseas markets. This shift is driven by tech…
Natixis argues that global AI will not fracture into sealed blocs but will undergo an asymmetric split: hardware and infrastructure bifurcate between the US and China, while the software layer remains porous. The report questions Europe's strategic position…
Natixis analyzes the proposals from French far-left parties to cancel or restructure France's public debt held by the Eurosystem/Bank of France. The report argues that such proposals are legally, institutionally, and financially problematic, likely to…
In August 2026, Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.26% y/y, above Natixis's estimate of 3.20%, while core inflation fell to 2.41% y/y, below the forecast of 2.50%. Energy price growth accelerated significantly, offsetting easing services inflation.…
OCBC's Daily Treasury Outlook covers market reactions to renewed US-Iran hostilities, which lifted oil prices and weighed on US equities, while global data showed India's strong GDP growth, China's PMI improving but still in contraction, and Japan's retail…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…
OCBC Research notes a hawkish rate repricing causing bear flattening in credit markets, favoring quality high-yield (HY) over duration-heavy investment-grade (IG) bonds. Carry is preferred over spread compression due to tight valuations. Banks benefit from…
GLOBAL ECONOMICS Visit our website at scotiabank.com/economics | Follow us on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics | Contact us by email at scotia.economics@scotiabank.com SCOTIABANK FORECAST September 9, 2026 Contributors Olivier Gervais Director, Modelling and…
Invesco's Global Head of Research, Benjamin Jones, analyzes the Federal Reserve's stance after Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, expecting the Fed to remain on hold for the rest of the year. He anticipates reduced forward guidance to widen outcome…
BNP Paribas reports improved Eurozone survey data and inflation, keeping the ECB on track for a September hike. US growth slowed but remains resilient, with sticky inflation and a mixed labor market. The UK sees solid growth but sticky inflation, with the BOE…
OCBC Research's Daily Treasury Outlook for 31 August 2026 highlights a hawkish Fed stance, with increased probability of a September rate hike, and key economic data releases ahead, including US CPI and nonfarm payrolls. The report also covers regional…
China's August PMIs showed mixed signals: manufacturing rebounded but stayed contractionary, while non-manufacturing remained weak, indicating sluggish domestic demand and limited rebound.
OCBC Research's Weekly Research Views covers macro, geopolitical, and credit developments, highlighting a hawkish Fed, US-Iran conflict, and resilient Asia growth. Key forecasts include RBA hike, BNM hold, BoT normalization, BSP hikes, and Singapore/HK growth…
Commonwealth Bank's Luke Yeaman argues that the global economy has entered a new era of heightened uncertainty and volatility driven by four structural forces: geopolitical rivalry, AI and robotics, the Net Zero transition, and demographic shifts. These…