Commonwealth Bank forecasts a deeper and broader Australian housing downturn, with national dwelling prices expected to fall around 9% from peak to trough. The correction has spread to Brisbane, Perth, and Adelaide, with sharper declines in Sydney and…
Westpac reports a 3.6% month-on-month decline in total Australian dwelling approvals for July, with the annual pace easing to 9.0%yr. Weakness was driven by a 4.2%mth fall in private detached dwelling approvals, while private unit approvals edged down 0.4%mth…
Westpac reports that Australian dwelling prices fell 0.9% in August, deepening the correction with annual growth slowing to 2.7% and prices now 3.6% below the March peak. Declines are widespread, affecting 93% of capital city suburbs, with Sydney and…
Saxo Bank's report 'Mapping the energy sector' advises investors to treat energy as a multi-faceted opportunity rather than a single trade. It highlights geopolitical risks (Middle East tensions, Strait of Hormuz) that could push oil prices higher despite…
OCBC's Daily Treasury Outlook covers market reactions to renewed US-Iran hostilities, which lifted oil prices and weighed on US equities, while global data showed India's strong GDP growth, China's PMI improving but still in contraction, and Japan's retail…
Natixis assesses the US dual mandate in August 2026, noting a clear cooling in the labor market with July nonfarm payrolls at -23k and unemployment at 4.1%, while inflation is easing gradually with headline CPI at 0.07% m/m and core at 0.22% m/m. The Fed is…
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income sees global central banks entering a more complicated phase, balancing sticky inflation, uneven growth, and regional pressures. The firm highlights a stagflationary backdrop, with the US economy resilient, Europe facing an…
Franklin Income Investors, with over 75 years of multi-asset income expertise, sees opportunities from elevated single-stock volatility and higher yields on hyperscaler debt, advocating flexibility and selectivity. CIO Ed Perks emphasizes balance,…
Invesco's analysis suggests the Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh will likely keep rates unchanged for the rest of 2026, despite a hawkish tone at Jackson Hole. The removal of forward guidance could widen outcome ranges, raise term premiums, and push…
Amundi's report discusses the resilient global growth and inflation above target six months into the Iran conflict, with equities benefiting from AI-driven earnings and bonds pressured by fiscal concerns. The report emphasizes diversification and selectivity…
Scotiabank Economics reports that Peruvian direct loan growth accelerated to 8.7% y/y in July, driven by strong household and business lending, and forecasts growth of 8.0% y/y by end-2026.
BNP Paribas reports improved Eurozone survey data and inflation, keeping the ECB on track for a September hike. US growth slowed but remains resilient, with sticky inflation and a mixed labor market. The UK sees solid growth but sticky inflation, with the BOE…
BNP Paribas warns that central bank independence is facing its most severe stress test in a century, driven by high sovereign debt, supply-shock inflation, and political attacks. The erosion of credibility could unanchor inflation expectations, raise risk…
PIMCO assesses that U.S. corporate issuers can generally digest higher refinancing costs, with limited debt servicing risk for most IG and HY issuers. However, CCC-rated borrowers face acute pressure as maturing debt coupons could double if refinanced at…
UBS CIO notes that while the US-Venezuela oil agreement is strategically significant, it is unlikely to materially affect oil markets in the near term due to Hormuz disruption, slow Venezuelan output gains, and uncertain legal durability. They maintain a…
German headline inflation rose slightly to 2.9% YoY in August, driven by higher energy prices, while core and services inflation remained contained. ING expects headline inflation to stay above 3% until year-end due to persistent oil prices and potential gas…
Poland's GDP growth was revised up to 3.9% YoY in Q2 2026 from a flash estimate of 3.8%, driven by a rebound in fixed investment and positive net exports. Despite global headwinds from the Middle East conflict, ING maintains its 2026 GDP growth forecast of…
Saxo Bank highlights the growing importance of custom AI chips as a second growth engine alongside Nvidia’s GPUs, with Broadcom and Marvell competing for Big Tech designs. Marvell’s recent earnings beat and raised outlook still led to a 10% share drop due to…
State Street's report highlights a hawkish speech by Fed Chair Warsh at Jackson Hole, which raises the odds of further rate hikes, despite expectations of a pause in September. It also notes strong Canadian Q2 GDP growth, driven by consumption and investment,…
State Street notes that REITs have outperformed broader equities in 2026 despite elevated interest rates, driven by improving property fundamentals, secular growth themes (AI, demographics), and healthy balance sheets. Interest rates remain a headwind but are…