353 structured institutional reports.
Natixis assesses the far-left French proposals to cancel or restructure French public debt held by the Eurosystem, concluding that such measures would be legally, institutionally, and financially counterproductive, with limited benefits and high risks of…
Euro area headline inflation accelerated to 3.26% yoy in August 2026, above expectations, driven by a sharp energy price increase, while core inflation declined to 2.41% yoy. Natixis projects 2026 average headline and core inflation at 2.8% and 2.4%…
Natixis' Middle East Weekly Tracker highlights continued diplomatic talks alongside renewed military attacks. Oil prices rose due to re-emerging Hormuz risk premium, GCC CDS remained stable, equity markets were mixed, foreign investment outflows eased, and…
SMBC's US Rates Strategy report explores the use of AI and large language models in analyzing and simulating FOMC meetings. It finds that while AI like ChatGPT can accurately classify the hawkishness of Fed commentary, simulating FOMC deliberations is less…
This paper by AQR examines how widely used portfolio carbon metrics such as carbon footprint and carbon intensity can improve due to rising equity valuations even when company emissions stay flat, and argues that financed emissions offer a more direct link to…
RBC Economics expects Canada's housing market to recover gradually in 2026-2027, with national resales and prices declining in 2026 before growing in 2027, while regional differences and risks remain.
UBS CIO expects elevated bond yield volatility near term, with 30-year and 10-year US Treasury yields ending 2025 at 5% and 4.5% respectively. However, shorter-dated government bond yields should decline, supporting a preference for short- to…
ING THINK reports that the Czech manufacturing PMI rose to 54.1 in August, driven by strong output, new orders, and renewed employment growth, signaling a robust expansion. However, the Czech government's proposed 2027 deficit of CZK389bn exceeds the level…
ING Think's analysis of August US economic data highlights a robust manufacturing sector driven by tech investment, yet a subdued jobs market with low wage pressure. The ISM manufacturing index at 54.6 signals ongoing expansion, but employment remains weak,…
Saxo Bank's September 2026 report highlights a collision between rising commodity prices and higher interest rates. Energy and agricultural commodities are driving inflation up, while gold and silver face headwinds from tighter monetary conditions. Industrial…
ING expects Italian GDP to expand by 0.2% in Q3 2026, similar to Q2, supported by domestic demand but with risks from energy-driven inflation. They maintain 2026 average GDP growth at 0.9% and average inflation at 2.7%.
ING Think revises Hungary's 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.7%, citing consumption as the main driver while investment remains weak due to project suspensions and demographic headwinds. Growth is expected to accelerate to around 3.0% in 2027-2028, but long-term…
Man Institute's proprietary MacroScope model finds current market conditions most resemble May 1997 (pre-Asian crisis) and February 2013 (pre-taper tantrum), implying a fragile equilibrium where widely known risks are not yet disruptive. The firm adopts…
ING Think reports that Dutch headline inflation fell to 2.8% y/y in August, driven by easing services and food inflation, but energy inflation accelerated to double digits. The report cautions that this decline is temporary, with upside risks from energy…
Headline eurozone inflation rose to 3.3% in August, the highest since the start of the Middle East war, driven by energy prices, while core inflation fell back to 2.4%, indicating limited pass-through. The ECB may hike in September, but the benign core rate…
Amundi expects France's GDP to grow modestly at 0.6% in 2026 and around 1.0% in 2027, with inflation easing to 1.7% by Q4 2027. The fiscal position is under scrutiny, with debt at 118% of GDP and a deficit of 5.1%. The 2027 budget is pivotal; credible…
The dollar is struggling to hold gains despite hawkish Fed expectations, with long-end Treasury yields and the debasement trade weighing on it. However, ING expects hawkish Fed repricing to support USD this week, with DXY potentially reclaiming 100.0. EUR/USD…
Saxo Bank reports renewed US-Iran hostilities lifting crude above $91, while global bond yields spike with the US 10-year topping 4.75% for the first time in 19 months. Equities decline amid inflation concerns, crypto equities rebound, and gold steadies after…
ING Think's report re-examines Europe's productivity gap with the US, arguing that the gap is concentrated in the digital sector, that policy reforms could yield larger gains in Europe, that institutional improvements since the euro crisis have strengthened…
Commonwealth Bank forecasts a deeper and broader Australian housing downturn, with national dwelling prices expected to fall around 9% from peak to trough. The correction has spread to Brisbane, Perth, and Adelaide, with sharper declines in Sydney and…