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Gold trades near USD 4,262/oz, down about 4% this month, pressured by rising Treasury yields, an 18-year-high 10-year real yield of ~2.78%, and a ~1.5% stronger dollar. Yet gold ETFs added almost 50 tonnes in September and Chinese demand topped 1,000 tonnes…
US flash composite PMI rose to 58.4 in September, with services at 58.7 and manufacturing at 57.0, prompting a sharp sell-off in Treasuries. The 10-year yield closed above 5.11%, a post-GFC high, and the 2-year reached 4.89%. Equities fell, the dollar…
Citi argues tokenization of collateral has moved from concept to practical use. Four case studies show real-time margining, US Treasuries mobilized across a 24-hour cycle without leaving the Federal Reserve, tokenized money market funds, and pre-IPO private…
Strong US PMIs and rising oil prices deepened the Treasury selloff, lifting 2-year yields 14bp to about 4.9% and the 10-year above 5.0%. Markets price roughly 37bp of additional Fed tightening by December 2026. The DXY rose 0.5%, pressuring most Asian…
MUFG's Middle East Daily reports Brent pulling back toward USD 102/b and WTI near USD 91/b after a 4% surge, as continued Strait of Hormuz transits (up to 17mb/d per US Treasury Secretary Bessent) and a gradually restarting Saudi East-West pipeline ease…
The JSDA's August 2026 investor-category data show city banks swung to heavy net buying of medium-term JGBs (JPY1,210.9bn) as the 10-year yield rose to 2.940%, while non-residents sold medium-term paper for a third month (JPY1,045.3bn). Foreigners turned net…
Rising oil prices, strong US PMI data, hawkish Fed Governor Barr comments and weak demand at a five-year Treasury auction pushed the US 10-year yield back above 5.0%, pressuring global equities and lifting the dollar. Brent rose 4.2% to US$103/bbl after…
Invesco argues that alarming headlines over AI bubbles, 5% Treasury yields, debt and oil are mostly attention-seeking rather than informative. Hyperscaler capex remains funded by strong operating cash flows, keeping capex-to-cash ratios below 1.0. AI…
A strong September US composite PMI (58.4) pushed the US 10-year Treasury yield back above 5%, breaching 5.1%, with October rate-hike odds above 70%. Euro rates also rose, with Euribor 10-year above 3.5%, and higher rates can widen eurozone government bond…
Bitcoin has rallied about 37% and ethereum about 46% from mid-August lows, taking total digital asset market capitalisation back above USD 3 trillion for the first time since January. The move was triggered by the US Treasury's 19 August decision to at least…
The US Treasury curve bear-flattened as 2s10s narrowed to 19bp from 40bp; the 2-year yield rose 38bp to 4.8% while the 30-year was unchanged at 5.29%, with both real rates and inflation expectations contributing. Intesa Sanpaolo expects gradual declines over…
Fed Chair Warsh has shifted away from neutral-rate framing to focus on financial conditions, saying they are not restrictive. PIMCO expects one or two more 25bp hikes through early next year to prevent further easing, but sees this as a recalibration rather…
Policymakers appear to be trying to contain 30-year Treasury volatility through buybacks, support for the yen, a more credible hawkish Fed and active curve management. But none of this removes the fiscal deficit, heavy Treasury issuance or AI-driven corporate…
Brent fell below USD 99/b and WTI traded near USD 90/b as Saudi Arabia moved toward restoring its 7m b/d East-West pipeline and US-Iran contacts were described as 'very productive.' Gold edged lower to about USD 4,340/oz on Fed restrictive-rate signals,…
SMBC's Joseph Abate examines the trajectory of US Treasury debt service costs. Net interest expense is projected to rise to 4.6% of GDP by 2036 from 3.2% currently, exceeding the 1991 peak when debt/GDP was 44% versus 100% today. Higher rates and a rising…
Risk sentiment improved on positive US-China summit headlines, a fourth straight Brent decline to $101.9 and lower long-end Treasury yields; the S&P 500 rose 1.5% and Nasdaq 2.3%, US IG spreads held at 75bp while US high yield tightened 3bp to 264bp. Asia USD…
Wall Street rallied on AI and semiconductor strength, with the Nasdaq Composite closing at a record and the Nasdaq 100 up 2.83%. Meta and AMD led gains, AMD crossing a $1 trillion market value. Oil rebounded after four sessions, Brent at $102 and WTI at…
US equities rallied as AI optimism, easing energy prices and positive US-China trade headlines lifted sentiment. S&P 500 rose 1.5% and Nasdaq advanced 2.3% to a record close; Meta jumped 11% on its Muse AI agent, while AMD passed USD1t market cap. Brent fell…
Oil rebounded from four declines, with Brent above USD 101/b and WTI near USD 98/b, as Hormuz, Saudi export, Libyan and Red Sea disruptions offset US-Iran diplomatic hopes. Gold edged up to about USD 4,360/oz as lower oil eased inflation and Fed tightening…
The US dollar has strengthened after the Fed began tightening, pushing the dollar index back above 100.00 for the first time since early August, with 101.80 as next resistance. The move is supported by a roughly 55bp rise in the 2-year Treasury yield since…