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Brent dropped below $99/bbl and WTI traded near $89/bbl, extending a six-session losing streak with cumulative losses above 9.5%. The sell-off followed the restart of Saudi Arabia's 7m b/d East-West pipeline, signs of US-Iran diplomatic progress, and an…
Despite a $20+ oil surge, a 60bp rise in 2-year Treasury yields, Fed tightening, and the bombing of the Saudi East-West Pipeline, the S&P 500 sits only 2.07% below its August 13 record. Invesco argues bullish fundamentals—strong nominal growth, outsized…
Natixis sees Asian growth bifurcating: China softens and drags exposed sectors, while North Asia, India and parts of ASEAN accelerate. Exports are China's key engine on a competitive real exchange rate, but ageing cuts its growth to around 1% by 2050. Japan's…
The Fed raised rates 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, its first hike since 2023, with a hawkish message; markets price at least three more hikes by mid-2027. The dollar rallied, front-end Treasury yields rose, Wall Street fell while Europe advanced. Brent dropped below…
Oil prices surged again, with ICE Brent settling more than 6% higher and nearing $110/bbl in early trading, as the market reprices the duration and severity of the Middle East conflict. Flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain well below pre-war levels, and…
Intesa Sanpaolo argues that the war in Iran has caused a smaller-than-expected global crude deficit because non-OPEC supply, demand destruction, and strategic reserve releases have offset lost Hormuz flows, while Europe's gas crisis deepens due to low…
Brent crude crossed USD 100 after US strikes on Iranian tankers near Kharg Island, lifting the 10-year Treasury yield to a 2023 high of 4.845% and pushing the S&P 500 to a third straight decline of 0.48%. Dispersion dominated: Meta rose 6.55% on its Muse…
• Macro: US-Iran escalation drove supply-risk fears while weak ADP payrolls and a disappointing Treasury buyback lifted yields. • Equities: US and European equities fell as $100 oil revived inflation fears, while Asia extended the risk-off move. • Volatility:…
Article | 10 September 2026 1 THINK Economic and financial analysis Article | 10 September 2026 COMMODITIES DAILY The Commodities Feed: Brent breaks above $100/bbl amid US-Iran escalation Oil prices continued to climb, with Brent breaking above $100/bbl, as…
Summary: The market took almost all the premium out of Wednesday and stacked it onto Friday’s inflation print. Underneath a quiet index, single names moved double digits in both directions. MARKET REGIME: LOW VOL BULL | VIX 15.72 | TERM STRUCTURE: CONTANGO…
• Macro: Strikes on Iranian tankers pushed energy costs higher and hardened expectations of another rate rise • Equities: US stocks fell as oil and rate fears rose, Europe was flat, Asian chips outperformed despite stronger oil • Volatility: Equity fear…
The world is struggling to make enough diesel fuel to meet demand, pushing U.S. diesel exports to a record high and driving up costs for businesses and consumers at home. The oil-supply shock created by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz…
Investment Bank Impact Series 15 The global energy race Barclays Research believes markets may be underestimating the scale of the impact of the next energy demand cycle. 2 3 Foreword Welcome to the fifteenth edition of the Impact Series from Barclays…
• Sub-USD 100 Brent masks deeper energy stress, with diesel, jet fuel and European gas trading at substantial premiums. • Refining capacity is the critical weak link, as Gulf and Russian disruptions combine with restrained Chinese fuel exports. • Gas is…
OCBC forecasts August headline CPI at 0.4% MoM and 3.4% YoY, with core CPI at 0.3% MoM and 2.5% YoY. Motor fuel is expected to rise about 2.9% MoM after falling 3.0% in July, adding roughly 0.12 ppt to headline, while shelter is forecast to rise 0.35% MoM and…
Article | 4 September 2026 1 THINK Economic and financial analysis Article | 4 September 2026 COMMODITIES DAILY The Commodities Feed: Oil maintains gains amid Persian Gulf escalation Oil prices are still holding most of their recent gains, but those could…
ING raises its energy price forecasts due to the ongoing US-Iran stalemate, expecting Brent to average $80/bbl in Q4 2026, up from $74/bbl previously. The report highlights acute diesel tightness from Persian Gulf and Russian supply disruptions, and…
Middle East tensions drive crude, diesel, and European gas prices sharply higher. Gold slips on rising rate concerns, while soybeans hit multi-year highs on biofuel policy support and weather risks.
Saxo Bank reports that oil prices surged above USD 95 on heightened US-Iran tensions, which fanned inflation and rate-hike fears, leading to a global selloff in equities and bonds. The yen showed strength on hawkish BoJ rhetoric, and the NZ dollar fell after…
Saxo Bank reports that the commodity rally broadened in August 2026, with precious metals and agriculture outperforming energy. The BCOM TR index is on track for its best month on record, up ~31% YTD. Precious metals rose ~15% on fiscal sustainability…