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A summer cocktail of earnings data, geopolitical headlines, and “policy events” has prompted investors to increasingly scrutinise equity and bond markets. On the one hand, equities have held up, even advanced, on the back of a strong earnings season, which…
1 FX Focus │9th September 2026 FX Focus Navigating the fallout for the FX market from bond market sell-off 9 th September 2026 • Global bond yields have risen to fresh highs over the summer, driven mainly by higher energy prices &…
Visit our website at scotiabank.com/economics | Follow us on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics | Contact us by email at scotia.economics@scotiabank.com Contributors Derek Holt VP & Head of Capital Markets Economics Scotiabank Economics 416.863.7707…
Summary: The market took almost all the premium out of Wednesday and stacked it onto Friday’s inflation print. Underneath a quiet index, single names moved double digits in both directions. MARKET REGIME: LOW VOL BULL | VIX 15.72 | TERM STRUCTURE: CONTANGO…
Article | 9 September 2026 1 THINK Economic and financial analysis Article | 9 September 2026 FX FX Daily: Dollar price action quite poor Despite higher energy prices and firm short-dated US interest rates, the dollar remains soft. Wild swings in USD/JPY…
1 9th September 2026 JPY strengthens in anticipation of policy changes in Japan 9 th September 2026 USD/JPY: Scott Bessent fuels speculation over policy shift to support JPY The yen has continued to strengthen overnight resulting in USD/JPY falling back…
• Macro: Strikes on Iranian tankers pushed energy costs higher and hardened expectations of another rate rise • Equities: US stocks fell as oil and rate fears rose, Europe was flat, Asian chips outperformed despite stronger oil • Volatility: Equity fear…
• USD strength has been delayed by softer US data and intervention to support the yen. • CommBank expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates more than markets have priced. • AUD is still expected to weaken as US rates rise and…
1 Asia FX Talk │9 September 2026 Asia FX Talk A keen eye on Japanese Yen strength 9 September 2026 Market Highlights The focus in our part of the world is still on the ongoing strength in the Japanese Yen, while also…
1 09 September 2026 Middle East Daily 09 September 2026 COMMODITIES / ENERGY Oil nears USD 100/b as US-Iran escalation deepens Hormuz risks. Oil extended gains, with Brent approaching USD 100/b and WTI trading near USD9 4/b, after US strikes destroyed five…
ECONOMIC AND MARKET COMMENTARY Welcome Back, Balanced Portfolio Balanced portfolios are back: Higher bond yields are restoring fixed income’s role as both a potential source of income and a powerful diversifier. Lotfi Karoui, Michael Puempel 9/8/2026 | 11 min…
Gold has come under renewed pressure over the past two weeks amid rising US Treasury yields, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and stronger-than-expected US payroll data. Following a 15% gain in the first three weeks of August, gold…
Oil prices have remained below their April high, energy flows have recovered, and supply chains have adapted — suggesting energy concerns may be more manageable than headlines imply. A 10-year Treasury yield near 4.75% appeared less alarming alongside 6.6%…
Investment Bank Impact Series 15 The global energy race Barclays Research believes markets may be underestimating the scale of the impact of the next energy demand cycle. 2 3 Foreword Welcome to the fifteenth edition of the Impact Series from Barclays…
The Japanese yen extended its rebound, pushing USD/JPY below 153.00 for the first time since February, driven by technical breaks, hawkish BoJ repricing, and supportive domestic data. The MoF confirmed record intervention, and the US appears to have pressured…
Copper hit a record high on tight supply and US tariff expectations, while the yen strengthened sharply for a fifth day. Oil held near USD 98 as Hormuz tensions persisted, and gold stayed above USD 4,400. US markets were closed for Labor Day, and European…
USD/JPY broke below 155, driven by a combination of US Treasury Secretary Bessent's comments urging Japan to shift from reflationary policies, growing BOJ rate hike expectations, revived speculation about GPIF asset allocation changes, and a softening of Fed…
1 08 September 2026 Middle East Daily 08 September 2026 COMMODITIES / ENERGY Oil heads for strong weekly gain as US intensifies pressure on Iran. Brent held near USD 100/b, and WTI approaching USD 93/b, as traders weighed renewed US- Iran tensions…
UBS CIO revises its Fed forecast to two rate hikes in 2026 (September and December) following strong August payrolls and hawkish signals, while maintaining a constructive view on equities and adjusting bond and currency strategies.
The global economy remains resilient in the face of a succession of shocks. While the energy shock is back with a vengeance, its effects are more idiosyncratic now, and much more impactful for Europe than the US. Meanwhile, a capex troika centred…