Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Westpac's NZ Weekly Economic Insight examines the trend of rising global interest rates and questions whether New Zealand rates should follow them higher. The note does not present specific forecasts or targets, instead framing the debate around the…
MUFG's FX quant framework argues the 2026 yen appreciation differs from past corrections: the traditional drivers of structural yen weakness have shifted. The US-Japan 10-year nominal yield differential has narrowed to roughly 209bps from about 399bps during…
The global fixed income sell-off continues without clear resolution, with the US dollar strengthening as US yields rose across the curve. The 2-year Treasury yield has climbed roughly 60bps this month, approaching the scale of the March move after the…
Rising oil prices, strong US PMI data, hawkish Fed Governor Barr comments and weak demand at a five-year Treasury auction pushed the US 10-year yield back above 5.0%, pressuring global equities and lifting the dollar. Brent rose 4.2% to US$103/bbl after…
Scotiabank's daily notes flag a 'funny season' for manipulated markets before the US midterms, with Trump jawboning oil lower on Iran talks despite unchanged nuclear stockpiles and war risk. Potash and diesel threats appear empty: Belarus has no surplus and a…
The US dollar strengthened modestly even as Brent crude fell around 4%, after US and Iranian officials met at the UN General Assembly and indirect talks were described as very productive. Optimism on a deal to halt the conflict, and reports Iran may reopen…
Australian state budgets are set to deteriorate by $13.5bn over four years versus published 2026 budgets, mainly in FY2027, as a 60bps average rise in sovereign bond yields since budget publication adds about $3.5bn to interest costs and a sharper housing…
Mixed US-Iran headlines left market pricing of geopolitical risk little changed: Trump's UN threat to "annihilate" Iran was offset by reports of "very productive" official talks. Brent fell 1.9% to US$98.5/bbl; LME copper rose 0.6% to US$14,748/mt on firmer…
Risk sentiment improved on positive US-China summit headlines, a fourth straight Brent decline to $101.9 and lower long-end Treasury yields; the S&P 500 rose 1.5% and Nasdaq 2.3%, US IG spreads held at 75bp while US high yield tightened 3bp to 264bp. Asia USD…
Wall Street rallied on AI and semiconductor strength, with the Nasdaq Composite closing at a record and the Nasdaq 100 up 2.83%. Meta and AMD led gains, AMD crossing a $1 trillion market value. Oil rebounded after four sessions, Brent at $102 and WTI at…
The US dollar has strengthened after the Fed began tightening, pushing the dollar index back above 100.00 for the first time since early August, with 101.80 as next resistance. The move is supported by a roughly 55bp rise in the 2-year Treasury yield since…
Cooling oil and signs of productive US-China talks on AI, trade and investment ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting lifted sentiment, with technology leading gains. The S&P 500 rose 1.5% and the NASDAQ 2.3%. The US curve flattened, the 2-year unchanged and the…
Oil's roughly $3/barrel decline drove lower sovereign yields across Europe and North America, with major equities up 0.75-1% while the dollar was little changed. Weekend hints of US-China progress precede Thursday's Xi-Trump meeting, though the note flags an…
Westpac's review of Australia's 2026 Intergenerational Report flags AI as a potential productivity game-changer, but stresses gains depend on widespread adoption, and estimates are uncertain. Ageing lifts health, aged care and pension costs while shrinking…
New Zealand's production-based GDP rose 0.2% in Q2 2026, beating the RBNZ's flat forecast and leaving the level about 0.5% above its estimate, though retail spending fell 0.9% in August and house prices declined 1.4% year-on-year. Westpac expects the recovery…
The yen weakened sharply after the BoJ's September policy update, with USD/JPY hitting 158.05, before rebounding toward 157.00 after reports the BoJ conducted a rate check. MUFG reads this as a signal of limited tolerance for renewed yen weakness near 160.00.…
Fed hike pushes US 10-year Treasury yield to 5.0%, with markets pricing ~33bp more tightening by end-2026 and ~85bp by end-2027. Aussie OIS implies a 4.76% cash rate by year-end. BoJ hiked 25bp to 1.25%, yet the yen weakened on cautious Ueda guidance and two…
Westpac brings forward its call for the next RBA cash rate hike to September from November, seeing scope for internal Monetary Policy Board members to muster a majority. It flags no change to the pencilled-in start of eventual cuts in August 2027, but says…
The Bank of England left Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, with three members preferring a hike. The statement flagged upside inflation risks greater than in July while noting little evidence so far of material second-round effects; November pricing slipped…
Westpac argues Asian growth forecasts have been revised higher, yet regional currencies have largely failed to reflect these fundamentals. Capital allocation decisions increasingly offset trade strength. India's FCNR(B) scheme attracted US$127.2bn in…