Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
MUFG keeps a cautious IDR bias, expecting USD/IDR at 18,350 in Q4 2026 and 18,500 in Q1 2027. Drivers include elevated US yields, an oil-driven trade balance squeeze, a harder Bank Indonesia trade-off and MSCI's consultation on reclassifying Indonesia from…
Scotiabank's weekly preview argues Canadian core inflation remains at or above the BoC's 2% target, with traditional core running near 3% m/m SAAR for four straight months and another firm print expected, supporting the view that policy is too loose. BoC…
US September CPI accelerated to 3.7% y/y, with core at 2.6% y/y and 0.3% m/m, as price pressures broadened across goods, shelter and services. PPI jumped 1.3% m/m (6.3% y/y). Retail sales rose 0.8%, but ex-auto/gas gained just 0.2%. TD expects the Fed to skip…
US September inflation drifted higher, yet Natixis argues a Fed pause is more likely than not, giving room to complete scaling into 2yr longs. Treasuries rallied despite bad inflation data and a silent Warsh, suggesting the market is forming a floor. The bank…
Fed Chair Warsh refused to prejudge upcoming meetings or offer forward guidance, while repeating upbeat US outlook views. BoC Governor Macklem said the Bank has not yet raised rates but is asking whether energy-driven inflation will force a hike. US Commerce…
FX markets are caught between hot inflation, which argues for tighter Fed policy, and an AI-related tech selloff that could force a softer stance. ING expects the dollar to consolidate near recent highs, sees DXY capped at 102.40/50, and flags defensive Swiss…
Brent crude holds above USD 105/b even as prices drift about 0.6% lower to USD 105.33/b, with WTI down 0.7% at USD 97.30/b and on track for a near 6% weekly gain after Hurricane Isaias. EIA data show a 300k b/d US production drop, an 8.6m bbl fall in…
Rate decisions dominate Asia's week: BSP is expected to hike 25bp due to strong September inflation, while Bank Indonesia holds at 5.75% and Bank of Korea holds at 3.0%. China's Q3 GDP is seen at 4.4% YoY, with retail sales and industrial production…
US producer prices rose 1.3% MoM in September, the largest monthly gain since March 2022, with PPI at 6.3% YoY; retail sales beat at 0.8%. Despite hot inflation data, the 10-year Treasury yield fell roughly 15bps to around 5.04%, its largest single-day…
Fed Chair Warsh gave no policy guidance, which markets read as endorsing current pricing; the October hike probability dropped from 26% to 14% and the 2-year yield fell 3-4bps. The dollar was broadly unchanged. Warsh dwelt on AI, calling it a near-term…
MUFG expects the Philippine central bank to raise its policy rate 25bp to 5.25% on higher oil prices and Super El Niño risk, while the Bank of Korea is seen holding at 3.00% after back-to-back hikes. Bank Indonesia is widely expected to hold at 5.75%, though…
A technology-led equity selloff drove a haven bid into Treasuries, pushing the 2-year yield down to about 4.7% and reversing the post-CPI rise, while the 10-year fell to roughly 5.05%. Lower US yields broadly relieved Asian currencies, but record foreign…
MUFG reports the USD is on course to weaken this week, ending four straight weekly gains. After jumping to a fresh year-to-date high on stronger September US CPI, the dollar quickly gave back those gains. The Fed is widely expected to hold rates this month;…
Sovereign bonds are rallying while equities waver, with Treasury yields down 6–10bps in a bull flattener and the US 10-year 22bps below its peak ten days ago. The article questions whether this is a durable rotation into bonds or a brief hiccup. It previews…
Higher bond yields normally lift bank earnings via wider net interest margins, yet in September 2026 the global financial sector underperformed global equities even as the US 10-year yield hit a 19-year high. Standard Chartered sees this weakness as an…
The report expects the Fed to hold in October and hike 25bp in December, with no further tightening in 2027 despite market pricing of 50bp. The ECB is seen hiking in December, not October, though surging German yields already deliver tightening equivalent to…
A hot US CPI initially lifted the dollar and Treasury yields, but both reversed sharply lower, with the 10-year yield closing below 5.10%. US equities sold off, challenging the usual dollar-risk correlation. Weak Australian jobs data and softer risk sentiment…
Brent trades near USD 104.70/b and WTI near USD 94.32/b as demand concerns offset Middle East geopolitical risk; the IEA now sees 2026 oil demand falling 2.6m b/d. Gold slumped over 1.3% to USD 4,105/oz after US September core CPI accelerated to 2.6% y/y,…
September US headline CPI reaccelerated to 3.7% year on year, above the 3.6% forecast, with gasoline up 34.2%. The 2-year Treasury yield spiked 16bp before reversing to about 4.73%, and the 10-year fell below 5.11% as weak risk sentiment drove a haven bid.…
AI demand remains strong, but investors are increasingly focused on valuations, debt financing and returns. CoreWeave's bonds yielding near 15% signal credit scrutiny, though a systemic AI credit crisis is not evident. Hot September US CPI at 3.7% headline…