UBS CIO expects the US dollar to soften over time amid fiscal concerns and moderating data, while recommending selective positioning in high-yielding currencies, gold, and broad commodities. The report highlights opportunities in GBP, NOK, AUD, NZD, CNY, and…
SMBC notes that July 2026 healthcare PPI inflation slowed to 0.12% MoM, the lowest since February 2026. As healthcare prices feed directly into PCE, this is likely to keep the Fed's preferred inflation measures contained, with forecasts of 0.15% headline and…
PIMCO notes that recent U.S. labor market data show a rare divergence: falling unemployment alongside a declining employment-to-population ratio, driven by structural labor supply contraction (especially retirements of older workers). This has tempered labor…
OCBC Research's Daily Treasury Outlook for 13 August 2026 covers mixed US equities with benign CPI data easing Fed hike concerns, while geopolitical risks persist. Key topics include China's PBOC reinterpreting loan growth signals, Indonesia's ethanol fuel…
Standard Chartered argues that the primary risk for AI investments is overcommitment to long-dated capital, not low returns. Despite recent equity corrections, AI monetization is improving, with cloud demand and enterprise adoption strong. The bank estimates…
UBS CIO expects global stocks to continue rallying after recent highs, driven by moderating US inflation and broad earnings strength. They see further gains for the S&P 500 but highlight attractive opportunities in Europe, Japan, and Asia ex-Japan.…
J.P. Morgan has revised its 2026 silver price forecast downward to a yearly average of $70/oz from $84/oz, citing a normalization of physical market tightness, softening industrial demand (particularly from solar), and expected Fed rate hikes. The bank sees…
SMBC Nikko expects the US intraday repo market to grow to as much as $1 trillion, roughly one-third of overnight SOFR volumes, driven by efficiency gains in liquidity and collateral management, with rates likely below pro-rated overnight rates and capped by…
RBC Economics reports that Canadian consumer spending remained resilient in Q2 2026, driven by savings drawdowns and higher debt, despite weak real wage gains and elevated energy costs. Core retail sales excluding gas stations rose 2.4% Q/Q, with…
The report highlights that US equities slipped amid pre-CPI caution and the Strait of Hormuz impasse, with small-business surveys showing a tight labor market but no renewed inflationary pressure. The RBA held rates but maintained a hawkish tone, while…
Standard Chartered's Q3 2026 review highlights significant regulatory and market developments that are expanding the offshore RMB ecosystem. Key measures include QFI access to CGB futures, the launch of HKEX CGB futures, expanded HKMA RMB liquidity facility,…
UBS CIO expects cooling core inflation to allow the Fed to hold rates steady through year-end, supporting quality fixed income. They favor short- to medium-maturity bonds as high starting yields provide a cushion against further rate increases. Oil price…
OCBC Research's Daily Treasury Outlook for 11 August 2026 highlights that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, have driven Brent crude up 5% to $87.72/bbl, reviving inflation concerns ahead of the US CPI release.…
Citi's Markets Edition provides a macro overview covering the Fed's policy path, Japan's outlook, and FX carry strategies. The report discusses Fed easing expectations, Japanese market dynamics, and opportunities in carry trades, while highlighting key risks…
AQR's Nathan Sosner, guest co-editor of a special issue of The Journal of Wealth Management, synthesizes ten principles for managing concentrated wealth. The core message is that concentrated positions should be managed thoughtfully over time, aligning…
Man Group's framework, based on Coasean transaction cost economics, argues AI simultaneously lowers contract enforcement costs (favoring outsourcing/fragmentation) and coordination costs (favoring integration/consolidation). The net effect depends on industry…
UBS CIO assesses the AI trade amid circular financing concerns. Robust demand, strong monetization, and rising advance orders support a constructive view on AI infrastructure. Despite risks from circular financing and hyperscaler free cash flow, the bank…
China's central bank accelerated gold purchases in July, adding 640,000 ounces, marking the 21st consecutive month of buying. This reflects a strategic diversification of reserves amid price weakness. Other key insights include softer July inflation data,…
OCBC Research flags that the July US jobs report appears weak despite a lower unemployment rate, as falling labor force participation masks underlying hiring stalls. The firm argues this supports the Fed holding rates steady in September and questions the…
Apollo highlights sports as a $2.5 trillion global industry with media rights exceeding $60 billion annually, noting assets compounding at 13% per year for six decades. Institutional capital entry is still early, and most franchises remain under-levered at…