Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
French bond market turbulence is weighing on the euro via a contained fiscal risk premium and a sharp repricing of ECB rate expectations, leaving EUR/USD risks skewed to the downside toward 1.110 or 1.100. The dollar stays broadly supported, the BoE speaker…
Treasury yields reached two-decade highs, with the 10Y at 5.31% and 30Y at 5.67%, while tech-led gains lifted the S&P 500 to near a record high. The dollar extended a three-week rally, nearing its strongest 2026 levels. Brent fell 1.9% to $100.32 after Saudi…
MUFG argues Asia FX can outperform in the near term, favoring tech-linked TWD and KRW, then MYR and SGD, as strong AI exports and a less acute regional diesel supply picture support resilience. European political and fiscal risks dominate EUR, prompting a…
The yen gave back recent gains after a Bloomberg report that Japan's GPIF did not discuss portfolio allocation at last month's meeting, lifting USD/JPY back above 158.00. MUFG notes the yen remains the best-performing G10 currency since end-August, with…
Pictet keeps an overweight stance on global equities despite a two-decade-narrow earnings yield gap versus bonds, citing over 30% MSCI World earnings growth this year and over 65% for emerging markets. It holds neutral duration on DM government bonds and…
J.P. Morgan keeps a positive relative stance on developed-market SMID caps versus large caps, noting the Russell 2500 rose ~16% year to date as of September 16 versus ~10% for the S&P 500. Easing wage inflation, favorable debt structures, heavy…
Advanced economies show resilient growth despite oil price shocks, driven by AI-related capital spending. Inflation exceeds targets in the US, UK, and eurozone, expected to peak in late 2026 or early 2027, with risk of energy inflation broadening. Higher…
Wellington Management has downgraded global equities from overweight to moderately overweight, while upgrading US and UK government bonds to moderately overweight, as higher oil prices, rising bond yields and a hawkish policy backdrop weaken near-term…
UBS CIO keeps a constructive 6-12 month view on risk assets after Brent fell 0.7% to USD 101.5/bbl, Middle East crude exports topped pre-war levels on four of the last seven September days, and the G7 agreed to release 100 million barrels of diesel and crude…
MUFG expects the 10-year JGB yield to stay elevated with an upward bias in October, as concerns persist that the BoJ will tighten too slowly. The Fed is projected to hike 25bp on Oct 28 while the BoJ holds on Oct 29-30. Fiscal policy is the key: the FY27…
The report argues that resilient nominal growth, not inflation or fiscal fears, is driving Treasury yields higher, with the 10-year near 5%. Higher borrowing costs are pressuring low-quality credit and narrowing market breadth, yet stocks have stayed near…
Latin American equities stood out as a diversifier in Q3 2026, supported by attractive valuations and an improving policy mix, while global equities stayed resilient despite higher yields. US Q2 GDP grew 2.2% annualised, core inflation reached 3.0%, but…
Markets enter the week cautiously after Friday's weak 29k US payrolls print, with politics dominating. Quebec votes tonight: the separatist PQ may win around 30% and a minority or slim majority, yet majorities oppose both the PQ and separation. Quebec already…
Foreign investors held about $9.2 trillion of US Treasury debt at end-2025, roughly 31% of publicly held debt, but foreign holdings have grown more slowly than total Treasury supply. Within foreign holdings, private investors now account for 58.1% versus…
The Iran war and lost Russian refining capacity pushed diesel prices far beyond the move implied by crude oil, flipping the historical diesel-oil spread correlation positive. Using local projections that isolate diesel-specific shocks, Scotiabank estimates a…
The report highlights that a softer US September labor market update and downward PCE inflation revisions dramatically lowered market expectations for an October Fed rate hike, aligning with the house view. In Australia, the RBA delivered its fourth hike of…
A weak US September payrolls print of 29k cooled October Fed hike odds to 20%, lifting the Nasdaq 100 to a record close. The euro fell to a new cycle low of 1.1161 against the dollar, pressured by French fiscal turmoil and widening OAT-Bund spreads, which…
The euro is repricing lower on French fiscal risk, driving broad euro weakness and pushing the dollar index to new 2026 highs. The ECB's tightening cycle is seen as more vulnerable to repricing than the Fed's, leaving EUR/USD under pressure with a 1.1100/1120…
Saudi Aramco's deep OSP cut to Asia and a fresh 100m bbl G7 strategic reserve release push December Brent down 0.7% to USD 101.56/b and WTI to about USD 90/b. Gold opens at USD 4,133/oz, down 0.2% after a 3.4% weekly loss, with sub-20% odds priced for a Fed…
US headline PCE inflation held at 3.4% YoY and core at 3.0% in August, still above the Fed's 2% goal, with energy rebounding 2.3% MoM and goods inflation rising to 3.6% from 3.3%. Pay growth slowed to 0.1% MoM and 3.0% YoY, signaling labor slack. Australia's…