Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Invesco's August 2026 commentary argues that the bull market has repeatedly defied bearish concerns—AI demand is real and broadening, valuations are supported by rapid earnings growth, market breadth is healthy with equal-weight indexes outperforming, and…
SMBC's US Rates Strategy report discusses the limitations of AI-based inflation forecasts, favors steepening the 5s30s curve, and expects modest improvements in inflation and labor data to keep the Fed on hold. The report also highlights opportunities in swap…
July retail spending was weak, with headline retail sales down 0.6% MoM and the control component down 0.4%, trimming Q3 real PCE tracking to +2.2%. Despite the slowdown, SMBC remains optimistic on Q3 GDP and consumer outlook, expecting a rebound in August…
SMBC notes that July 2026 healthcare PPI inflation slowed to 0.12% MoM, the lowest since February 2026. As healthcare prices feed directly into PCE, this is likely to keep the Fed's preferred inflation measures contained, with forecasts of 0.15% headline and…
PIMCO notes that recent U.S. labor market data show a rare divergence: falling unemployment alongside a declining employment-to-population ratio, driven by structural labor supply contraction (especially retirements of older workers). This has tempered labor…
MUFG forecasts July 2026 CPI data with headline at 0.12% MoM (3.4% YoY) and core at 0.17% MoM (2.4% YoY), in line with consensus. The base case expects a modest rebound in core CPI due to normalization in auto insurance and wireless phone services, leading to…
OCBC Research flags that the July US jobs report appears weak despite a lower unemployment rate, as falling labor force participation masks underlying hiring stalls. The firm argues this supports the Fed holding rates steady in September and questions the…
Invesco's global market strategist argues that despite dramatic headlines on oil, inflation, Fed policy, tech consolidation, and Japan, the broader market backdrop remains constructive. The report emphasizes that these disruptions are unlikely to change the…
SMBC anticipates modest July inflation and retail sales prints, expects the Treasury to maintain bill issuance and higher Q4 net supply, and highlights elevated implied volatility and term premium due to Fed communication uncertainty. They propose an auction…
PIMCO's analysis suggests that underlying U.S. inflation is running around 2.2%-2.8% through June 2026, well below the 3.3% core PCE rate, which appears to be an outlier on the high side. The firm maintains a base case that core inflation will cool over time…
Nomura argues that despite rising AI-related layoff announcements and survey concerns, hard US labor market data show minimal broad disruption. Employment and wages in AI-exposed sectors remain resilient, with layoffs broad-based rather than concentrated. AI…