Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
PIMCO expects a K-shaped economic recovery to persist, favoring high quality and senior tranches in asset-based finance over subprime exposure, with subprime stress seen as idiosyncratic and not systemic.
ING argues that rising US long-term yields are driven by inflation and fiscal deficits, with real yields playing a dominant role due to issuance pressure and AI-driven productivity optimism. The base case sees the 10-year Treasury yield testing 5%, while…
UBS CIO discusses the recent rise in global bond yields and its complex impact on currencies, highlighting that not all high yields support currencies. They favor NOK, NZD, GBP, and CNY for their attractive carry and fiscal foundations, expect EURUSD to move…
The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% but delivered a hawkish shift, removing language that the rate was appropriate and warning that upside risks to inflation have increased. This opens the door for rate hikes as early as October, with markets…
PIMCO economist Tiffany Wilding analyzes the inflation versus wage puzzle, arguing that current above-target inflation is driven by profit margins rather than labor costs. She outlines three scenarios for resolving the price/labor-cost gap, favoring the…
ING believes the dollar is poised to strengthen further due to a hawkish Federal Reserve under Chair Kevin Warsh, supported by rising energy prices. The Fed is expected to hike rates in September, which will likely overshadow fiscal concerns. Key levels and…
Middle East tensions drive crude, diesel, and European gas prices sharply higher. Gold slips on rising rate concerns, while soybeans hit multi-year highs on biofuel policy support and weather risks.
The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 2.25% for the seventh consecutive meeting in September 2026, balancing domestic recovery against elevated risks from US tariffs and higher energy prices. RBC expects rates to remain unchanged through 2026, with…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 2 September 2026 Daily Treasury Outlook Highlights Global: US equities sold off broadly at the start of September as a deepening global bond rout and…
Scotiabank Economics reports that bonds and stocks are simultaneously cheapening due to renewed Iran hostilities and inflation concerns, while central banks like the Bank of Canada, RBNZ, and RBA are making key decisions amidst mixed economic data. The BoC is…
Saxo Bank reports that oil prices surged above USD 95 on heightened US-Iran tensions, which fanned inflation and rate-hike fears, leading to a global selloff in equities and bonds. The yen showed strength on hawkish BoJ rhetoric, and the NZ dollar fell after…
The global economy shows resilience despite geopolitical uncertainty and rising energy prices. The Fed is expected to cut rates in December, while the ECB may hike precautionarily. Swedish GDP growth is revised up to 2.7% in 2026. The Riksbank is expected to…
MUFG's Middle East Daily for September 2, 2026, highlights surging oil prices due to renewed US-Iran hostilities, with Brent near $96/b and WTI near $91/b amid heightened Strait of Hormuz risks. Gold declines as inflation and rate hike concerns intensify,…
It makes sense to ask whether stocks can add to the double-digit gains they have delivered so far this year in the face of a steady increase in government bond yields. Rising yields lead to higher commercial borrowing costs and also reduce…
Natixis expects the August US Employment Situation Report to show nonfarm payroll gains of only 25k, below the consensus of 55k, with the unemployment rate rising slightly to 4.2% due to higher prime-age labor force participation. The report indicates…
Gold set a record high in January, but uncertainty about US interest rates and disruption from the Iran war have led to an “elongated pause” in the rally, according to Tony Kim, global head of Metals Trading in Goldman Sachs FICC and…
Julius Baer analysts assess whether equities can withstand rising bond yields, concluding that despite a hawkish Fed and higher yields, resilient economic growth and strong earnings (S&P 500 median growth ~12%, European upgrade cycle) support equity markets.…
Equities are flat early amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices, with investors weighing strong earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks while monitoring geopolitical tensions. The 10-year yield's highest close since late 2023 and crude's jump near $90…
Charles Schwab's options market update highlights strong earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks, rising crude oil prices, and elevated Treasury yields. Notable options activity suggests bullish sentiment in Dell and Cheniere Energy, bearish positioning in…
Charles Schwab's analysis indicates that Treasury yields have been rising due to a hawkish Fed, persistent inflation, robust nominal growth, and fiscal concerns. The Treasury's buyback program is too small to reverse these forces. The firm expects yields to…