Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Schroders argues Australia's equity market faces higher-for-longer bond yields, with Australian bonds at 5.4% and Japan's 10-year yield above 3%. The ASX200 rose 2.7% over the past year but fell in September. Firmus's $8b IPO, the second-largest in Australian…
Markets enter the week cautiously after Friday's weak 29k US payrolls print, with politics dominating. Quebec votes tonight: the separatist PQ may win around 30% and a minority or slim majority, yet majorities oppose both the PQ and separation. Quebec already…
The report highlights that a softer US September labor market update and downward PCE inflation revisions dramatically lowered market expectations for an October Fed rate hike, aligning with the house view. In Australia, the RBA delivered its fourth hike of…
Australian credit markets face persistent inflation, renewed rate volatility and record issuance. The RBA raised the cash rate 25bp to a 15-year high, with markets pricing a terminal rate near 5%. Index spreads widened 3bps, with higher-beta names…
With 10-year yields above 5% in the US and Australia, the manager argues high-quality bonds again offer income plus a hedge if synchronized tightening into an oil supply shock slows growth. It favours front-end Australian government bonds, expects RBA cuts in…
September brought a violent global bond repricing, with the US 10-year yield rising over 50bp to 5.28% and the 30-year to 5.63%, on strong US growth, an oil supply shock and a hawkish Fed hike to 4%. Equities held up at the index level (S&P 500 -0.35%, Nasdaq…
Renewed Gulf conflict pushed oil above US$100 and drove developed-market bond yields to multi-decade highs. The Fed, ECB, RBA and BOJ all tightened as markets priced further hikes. Schroders argues elevated starting yields — portfolio yield ~6.5% — provide an…
New Zealand's recovery is uneven but resilient, with filled jobs up 0.9% in the year to August and agriculture driving regional growth. Inflation pressures persist in rate-insensitive sectors; annual CPI hit 4.1% in June and fuel costs are rising again.…
Westpac reads the RBA's September 2026 unanimous 25bp hike to 4.60% as opening the door to a follow-up move in November, absent a lasting resolution of the Middle East conflict or another event that significantly lowers Australia's energy cost outlook. The…
The global FX market is being reshaped by the worst bond sell-off in decades. The 10-year UST yield reached 5.34%, a 24-year high, after its sharpest quarterly rise in 32 years. This lifted the dollar, with EUR/USD at 1.1259 after touching 1.1215, its lowest…
The RBI is widely expected to begin tightening with a 25bp hike to 5.5%, as rising oil and food prices push CPI above target. Philippine inflation is seen rising to 6.8% YoY on fuel and El Niño food pressures. Japan's data point to weak consumption and a…
Westpac's Cliff Notes flags a 25bp RBA hike to 4.60%, with a follow-up in November viewed as likely if Middle East conflict does not resolve. Underlying CPI rose 0.2% m/m (3.4% y/y). US PCE eased but core stays at 3.0% y/y; Japan's Tankan supports a possible…
EURUSD hit new one-year lows, driven mainly by broad USD strength, while the euro has only begun to reflect Eurozone sovereign stress. The France-Germany 10-year yield spread widened above 130bp from roughly 85bp in early September. French 10-year yields…
Global markets in late September 2026 show a synchronized hawkish pivot: the FOMC, ECB and BoJ have all hiked rates, pushing UST 10Y to a 2026 high of 5.24%, mostly from higher real yields. OCBC adds a 25bp Fed hike in 4Q2026, one BoE hike by year-end, two…
MUFG's October 2026 FX outlook sees a US dollar-led world: DXY closed September up 2.0% after the Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00%, with 10-year UST yields up 53bps. Six G10 central banks hiked, and the unresolved Strait of Hormuz closure keeps energy prices elevated.…
Interest rates have risen across developed markets, but credit fundamentals remain resilient: strong earnings, healthy bank capital and liquidity have kept credit anchored. US high-yield revenue rose over 10% and operating profit over 14% year over year,…
Major central banks now reference broader financial conditions when setting policy. Using the Fed's FCI-G, PIMCO estimates conditions were about 50 bps too easy at end-2Q, implying a 70-bp rise in the 10-year Treasury yield, a 9% equity decline, or a 4%…
Softer US data pressured yields: Conference Board confidence fell 6.7 points to 81.9 and JOLTS openings dropped to 7.08m, while NY Fed's Williams saw no urgency to tighten further, cutting next-meeting hike odds to near 50%. The RBA raised its cash rate 25bp…
CBA will pass through the RBA's 0.25% p.a. cash rate increase to eligible variable-rate business lending, lifting its Variable Base Rate, Commercial Variable Base Rate, Residential Equity Rate, Commercial Residential Equity Rate, Overdraft Reference Rate and…
Commonwealth Bank will raise variable home loan rates by 0.25% per annum, matching the RBA's 0.25% cash rate increase. The changes take effect 9 October 2026. CBA cites persistent inflation and global uncertainty as drivers of broader economic pressure. The…